Discrete Beta-Exponential Distribution

Consider the estimation of the regression parameters in the usual linear model. For design densities with infinite support, it has been shown by Faraldo Roca and González Manteiga [1] Faraldo Roca, P. and González Manteiga, W. 1987. “Efficiency of a new class of linear regression estimates obtained by preliminary nonparametric estimation”. In New Perspectives in Theoretical and Applied Statistics Edited by: Puri, M. L., Vilaplana, J. P. and Wertz, W. 229–242. New York: John Wiley.  [Google Scholar] that it is possible to modify the classical least squares procedure and to obtain estimators for the regression parameters whose MSE's (mean squared errors) are smaller than those of the usual least squares estimators. The modification consists of presmoothing the response variables by a kernel estimator of the regression function. These authors also show that the gain in efficiency is not possible for a design density with compact support. We show that in this case local linear presmoothing does not fix this inefficiency problem, in spite of the well known fact that local linear fitting automatically corrects the bias in the endpoints of the (design density) support. We demonstrate on a theoretical basis how this inefficiency problem can be rectified in the compact design case: we prove that presmoothing with boundary kernels studied in Müller [2] Müller, H.-G. 1991. Smooth optimum kernel estimators near endpoints. Biometrika, 78: 521–530. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar] and Müller and Wang [3] Müller, H.-G. and Wang, J.-L. 1994. Hazard rate estimation under random censoring with varying kernels and bandwidths. Biometrics, 50: 61–76. [Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar] leads to regression estimators which are superior over the least squares estimators. A very careful analytic treatment is needed to arrive at these asymptotic results.     

A reduced new modified Weibull distribution

The author proposes a reduced version, with three parameters, of the new modified Weibull (NMW) distribution in order to avoid some estimation problems. The mathematical properties and maximum-likelihood estimation of the reduced version are studied. Four real data sets (complete and censored) are used to compare the flexibility of the reduced version versus the NMW distribution. It is shown that the reduced version has the same desirable properties of the NMW distribution in spite of having two less parameters. The NMW distribution did not provide a significantly better fit than the reduced version.     

A note on the conditional residual lifetime of a coherent system under double monitoring

In this note, we derive some mixture representations for the reliability function of the conditional residual lifetime of a coherent system with n independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) components under the condition that at time t₁ the jth failures has occurred and at time t₂ the kth failures (j < k) have not occurred yet. Based on the mixture representations, we then discuss the stochastic comparisons of the conditional residual lifetimes of two coherent systems with i.i.d. components.     

On length and area-biased Maxwell distributions

This article addresses the various properties and different methods of estimation of the unknown parameter of length and area-biased Maxwell distributions. Although, our main focus is on estimation from both frequentist and Bayesian point of view, yet, various mathematical and statistical properties of length and area-biased Maxwell distributions (such as moments, moment-generating function (mgf), hazard rate function, mean residual lifetime function, residual lifetime function, reversed residual life function, conditional moments and conditional mgf, stochastic ordering, and measures of uncertainty) are derived. We briefly describe different frequentist approaches, namely, maximum likelihood estimator, moments estimator, least-square and weighted least-square estimators, maximum product of spacings estimator and compare them using extensive numerical simulations. Next we consider Bayes estimation under different types of loss function (symmetric and asymmetric loss functions) using inverted gamma prior for the scale parameter. Furthermore, Bayes estimators and their respective posterior risks are computed and compared using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. Also, bootstrap confidence intervals using frequentist approaches are provided to compare with Bayes credible intervals. Finally, a real dataset has been analyzed for illustrative purposes.     

Necessary and sufficient conditions for stochastic orders between (n − r + 1)-out-of-n systems in proportional hazard (reversed hazard) rates model

Consider two (n ? r + 1)-out-of-n systems, one with independent and non-identically distributed components and another with independent and identically distributed components. When the lifetimes of components follow the proportional hazard rates model, we establish a necessary and sufficient condition for the usual stochastic order to hold between the lifetimes of these two systems. For the special case of r = 2, some generalized forms of this result to the hazard rate, dispersive and likelihood ratio orders are also obtained. Moreover, for the case when the lifetimes of components follow the proportional reversed hazard rates model, we derive some similar results for comparing the lifetimes of two systems . Applications of the established results to different situations are finally illustrated.     

The influence of mapped hazards on risk beliefs: a proximity-based modeling approach

Interview findings suggest perceived proximity to mapped hazards influences risk beliefs when people view environmental hazard maps. For dot maps, four attributes of mapped hazards influenced beliefs: hazard value, proximity, prevalence, and dot patterns. In order to quantify the collective influence of these attributes for viewers’ perceived or actual map locations, we present a model to estimate proximity‐based hazard or risk (PBH) and share study results that indicate how modeled PBH and map attributes influenced risk beliefs. The randomized survey study among 447 university students assessed risk beliefs for 24 dot maps that systematically varied by the four attributes. Maps depicted water test results for a fictitious hazardous substance in private residential wells and included a designated “you live here” location. Of the nine variables that assessed risk beliefs, the numerical susceptibility variable was most consistently and strongly related to map attributes and PBH. Hazard value, location in or out of a clustered dot pattern, and distance had the largest effects on susceptibility. Sometimes, hazard value interacted with other attributes, for example, distance had stronger effects on susceptibility for larger than smaller hazard values. For all combined maps, PBH explained about the same amount of variance in susceptibility as did attributes. Modeled PBH may have utility for studying the influence of proximity to mapped hazards on risk beliefs, protective behavior, and other dependent variables. Further work is needed to examine these influences for more realistic maps and representative study samples.     

A Dynamic Discrimination Information Based On Cumulative Residual Entropy And Its Properties

In this article, we introduce a measure of discrepancy between two life-time distributions based on cumulative residual entropy. The dynamic form of this measure is considered and some of its properties are obtained. The relations between dynamic form and some well-known concepts in reliability such as mean residual life-time, hazard rate order, and new better (worse) than used are studied.     

A Kernel Smooth Approach for Joint Modeling of Accelerated Failure Time and Longitudinal Data

Joint likelihood approaches have been widely used to handle survival data with time-dependent covariates. In construction of the joint likelihood function for the accelerated failure time (AFT) model, the unspecified baseline hazard function is assumed to be a piecewise constant function in the literature. However, there are usually no close form formulas for the regression parameters, which require numerical methods in the EM iterations. The nonsmooth step function assumption leads to very spiky likelihood function which is very hard to find the globe maximum. Besides, due to nonsmoothness of the likelihood function, direct search methods are conducted for the maximization which are very inefficient and time consuming. To overcome the two disadvantages, we propose a kernel smooth pseudo-likelihood function to replace the nonsmooth step function assumption. The performance of the proposed method is evaluated by simulation studies. A case study of reproductive egg-laying data is provided to demonstrate the usefulness of the new approach.     

Estimation of life expectancy — cohort life table

Life tables are traditionally built with linear assumptions for the survival curve. Here, considering that survivors can remain at the end of the observation period, the author shows that non linear modeling is more appropriate. With data on cervix uteri cancer, e0 ≈ 12.5 years with standard error ≈ 2.8 years with infinite time horizon, but e0 ≈ 6.0 years with standard error ≈ 0.1 year in interval with finite time horizon [0, 12 years]. The average hazard function is introduced to estimate the life expectancy, and the actuarial estimate of the hazard function is showed to under‐estimate the true hazard values under the exponential distribution. Finally, a sensitivity analysis of the probabilities of death on the estimation of life expectancy completes the study.