A test statistic for weighted runs

A new test statistic based on runs of weighted deviations is introduced. Its use for observations sampled from independent normal distributions is worked out in detail. It supplements the classic χ² test which ignores the ordering of observations and provides additional sensitivity to local deviations from expectations. The exact distribution of the statistic in the non-parametric case is derived and an algorithm to compute p-values is presented. The computational complexity of the algorithm is derived employing a novel identity for integer partitions.     

河道冰体的可爆性研究

冰是一种特殊的固体介质,具有非均匀性、各向异性、应变速率及温度敏感性等特点。本文以黄河爆炸破冰为背景,针对-10℃冰体结构与物理力学性能进行检测,以及冰体在不同加载条件下,所表现的响应特征与破坏特征进行了试验研究。通过分析冰晶体结构与冰内气泡特征,冰体在静载条件下的塑性破坏特征,以及对冰体对爆炸冲击载荷的响应特征,获得冰体的可爆性能与破碎单位体积冰体所需炸药能量计算公式。研究成果可为黄河冰体爆破作业提供理论依据。     

BAYES EMPIRICAL BAYES APPROACH TO ESTIMATION OF THE FAILURE RATE IN EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION

ABSTRACT

In the empirical Bayes (EB) decision problem consisting of squared error estimation of the failure rate in exponential distribution, a prior Λ is placed on the gamma family of prior distributions to produce Bayes EB estimators which are admissible. A subclass of such estimators is shown to be asymptotically optimal (a.o.). The results of a Monte Carlo study are presented to demonstrate the a.o. property of the Bayes EB estimators.     

对质条款在中国的实现

美国的刑事司法制度和美国宪法渊源深厚,对质条款是美国宪法的一个重要条款,对美国刑事司法制度尤其是对抗制体系的影响极其深远。作为刑事被追诉人的一项最低限度的权利保障,对质权已经为国际公约、地区性条约和许多国家的宪法或刑事诉讼法所确认并加以保护,研究对质条款具有重大的理论和现实意义。我们应通过对美国这一宪法权利的内容功能分析,重点探讨其在中国的合理适用,提出完善我国的对质制度从而保障被告人诉讼权利的方案。     

社会工作伦理守则的执行与问责体系探析

本文归纳了社会工作伦理守则的执行与问责体系,以有助于我国建立社会工作的专业自律体系的建立。伦理守则的落实需要静态的规范系统和动态行动体系来支持。其中,规范体系包括教育课程方面、职业资格认证方面、实践标准方面、机构规章及国家政策法规方面等;行动体系则是指社会工作机构、同事、伦理守则的制定机构及其伦理委员会、职业责任险的提供者、社会工作者个人等方面。问责体系主要通过一定的投诉和制裁程序来体现,其一般程序包括提出申请及初步审议、小组委员审议及裁决、公布及执行裁决结果等。     

Gendering (Trans)National Advocacy

Whether lauded or deplored, transnational organizing among non-governmental organizations (NGOs) generally, and women's NGOs specifically, is recognized as an active player in debates about international economic policy. In this article, I turn attention toward one consequence of women's transnational NGO organizing that has been under-analyzed: the impact that transnational activism has on domestic political organizations and opportunities. The recent increase in activism on gender and policies of free trade in the USA is the product of women's transnational political organizingover the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). In the case of NAFTA, theoretical insights about the ways that gendered categories undergird the economy were made visible by and through the transnational advocacy in which feminists engaged.And, this article indicates, these transnational advocacy efforts have helped to shift the domestic political terrain of women's organizing in the United States. I argue that as women's rights advocates in the United States were confronted with the realization that the nexus between gender and trade policy was important to many women's rights and feminist activists around the world, they began to question why the gendered implication of trade policy did not hold a comparable place in the US feminist arena. Thus, changes in the domestic political landscape of non-governmentalactivismmay be one of the longest lasting (and most overlooked) consequences of transnational political engagement.     

中国人口项目实施的效果与宏观政策环境

中国生育率变动的曲折有政策的原因 ,但更与政策实施的宏观环境有关 ,或者说我国人口政策对人口转变的作用随着外部政策实施环境的变化而变化。在此分析中国生育率变动的阶段性特征和我国计划生育在不同实施阶段的整体外部环境的变化 ,一种有效的社会政策除了其本身的公平性和合理性以外 ,对政策执行环境和政策实施手段的充分考虑是必不可少的。我国 2 0世纪 70年代末 80年代初“独生子女政策”的提出和实行正是在这些方面存在明显的不足     

永葆先进性：中国共产党成功之本

90年来,正因为我们党具有并始终保持和不断发展马克思主义政党的先进性,才能够成为领导中国人民不断开创事业发展新局面的核心力量,团结带领全国各族人民不断取得革命、建设、改革的伟大成就。正因为我们党建成了一个先进的工人阶级政党,并始终保持和发展其先进性,才使我们能够天翻地覆站起来、改革开放富起来、继往开来强起来、惠泽民生乐起来。     

Writing from practice

This study investigates the effects of integration change on the integration success of German acquisitions in Poland. It is argued that the degree of integration change has a positive impact on two success measures, namely, economic growth and efficient co-operation, in the acquisition target. It is further argued that process transparency, participation and positive reinforcement are moderators in this relationship between degree of integration change and integration success. Hypotheses are tested on 521 Polish employees from twenty-nine German acquisitions made in Poland between 1991 and 1999. The results show that there was a positive relationship between degree of integration change and integration success as expected and that only process transparency emerged as a significant moderator of this relationship. Consequences for post-acquisition management after German acquisitions in Poland and limitations of the study are discussed.