对美国战略评估的再思考：理论与方法

战略评估是指关于战略制定和实施的综合评价和衡量,主要体现为大国对世界发展趋势的一种综合分析。战略评估是整个战略决策流程中的重要部分,高质量的战略评估并不能保证高质量的最终战略决策,但是最终战略决策和外交政策必须依赖战略评估。当代美国的战略评估制度,有一套完备体系和科学手段。内容上涵盖了长时间、大空间和多重领域,对政治、经济、军力、科技甚至产业现状和未来趋势做出评估。本文从美国战略评估理论的发展、战略评估的特点出发,以净评估方法为例,深入探讨美国战略评估的方法,进而讨论如何应用这些方法来分析美国国家安全战略报告。只有掌握美国战略评估的理论、逻辑和方法,才能够更好地理解美国战略评估的文本背后的政策含义,从而为应对来自美国的外部挑战提供更为准确的对应措施,也能够进一步推动国际关系理论的发展。     

违反安全保障义务侵权责任研究

安全保障义务具有多重性质。不仅包括法定义务,也包括约定义务和合同的附随义务,安全保障义务的性质不同,产生的法律责任也不同。安全保障义务的主体不仅仅限于经营者和社会活动的组织者,开启公共交通的人、实施了先行危险行为的人、实施职业活动的人和在婚姻家庭中有密切关系的人都应当承担安全保障义务。这些开启或制造了危险的人,应该对他人因此而受到的损害承担侵权责任。     

西北民族地区县级政府公共服务财政保障能力的困境与对策——以甘肃省临夏回族自治州为例

公共服务供给水平的差异很大程度上是由地方政府公共服务财政保障能力不同所致。民族地区县级政府公共服务财政保障能力,直接制约和影响民族地区公共服务供给水平。本文基于甘肃省临夏回族自治州8县（市）数据资料,对西北民族地区县级政府公共服务财政保障能力面临的困境进行了研究。研究发现,西北民族地区县级政府财政收入水平总体低下且存在很大差异,导致公共服务财政保障能力严重不足与失衡状况并存,使得政府公共服务能力陷入举步维艰的两难困境。最后,从完善地方财政体系角度,就提升民族地区县级政府公共服务财政保障能力提出了若干对策建议。     

基于HM—FF3模型的社保基金选股择时能力分析

文章运用HM—FF3模型研究了社保基金投资管理人近五年的择时、选股能力及其变化。研究结果表明我国社会保障基金具有显著的选股能力,但择时能力并不明显,研究结论不支持社保基金通过提前获得内幕消息获取超额收益的猜测。     

爱尔兰国家养老储备基金制度及其启示

全国社保基金理事会与爱尔兰国家养老储备基金（NPRF）是在同一时期成立的,至今爱尔兰国家养老储备基金的运行模式比较成功.我国社会保障基金的筹资、投资和监管方面有向其借鉴的必要性.本文介绍了爱尔兰国家养老储备基金建立的背景、管理框架、筹资以及投资策略,参考爱尔兰基金成功的运行经验,提出完善我国社保基金管理的建议.     

‘Hanging by Rubber’: How Cash Threatens the Agricultural Systems of the Siang Dayak

An unprecedented increase in industrial activity, particularly coal mining, is transforming Murung Raya Regency in Central Kalimantan Province, Indonesia. New opportunities to participate in the market economy are enticing many people in the area to move away from subsistence horticulture and towards generating cash income through various means, particularly the trade in rubber. The move away from subsistence horticulture, which is performed collectively, towards rubber tapping, which is done individually, alters social exchange relationships. This article examines the way in which integration with the market economy leads to the increasing dominance of individual modes of being over collective, and the constraints on both. The way in which these shifts threaten food security is also considered. The situation of the Siang of Murung Raya is contrasted with the Kantu’ of West Kalimantan.     

The Clash between Social Policy and Traditional Values: Unmet Welfare Needs Sustained by the Culture of Familism in South Korea

Drawing from a wider study of the ideas of poverty and inequality in South Korea, this paper reports on the lived experiences of disadvantaged South Koreans and their relationship to the National Basic Livelihood Security System (NBLSS), a flagship social assistance program aimed at addressing poverty and inequality. Utilizing a cultural approach to understanding and analysing policy responses to poverty, the impact of familism in the application of the NBLSS safety net is examined. Research data is presented through the testimonies, obtained through qualitative research interviews, of disadvantaged research participants and those who work with them, as well as policy‐makers' perspectives, revealing key flaws in the current NBLSS policy objectives. It is clearly evident that, by clinging to outdated Confucian conceptualizations of familial piety as a justification for highly selectivist access to what is no more than a subsistence level of financial support for poor people, the proposition of a poverty safety net is compromised and is widely missing its aim of reducing poverty and inequality in contemporary South Korea.     

我国多层次资本条件下转板机制的构建

转板是指根据信息披露质量、财务规模、股份构成等情况,公司可以在不同证券市场或同一证券市场不同层次市场之间转换上市或挂牌进行股份交易或转让。转板机制是我国当前加紧构建的多层次资本市场的核心制度。一个真正的多层次资本市场,不同板块之间的直接转板机制应该是畅通的。我国《证券法》目前对于转板存在一定的法律障碍。鉴于实际操作中还不允许转板,不利于多层次资本市场的建设,也不利于交易(场)所之间的竞争,因此,建议在修改《证券法》时扫除转板的法律障碍,增加转板的有关规定。     

农产品价值增值的路径和制度保障——兼论粮食安全、食品安全、食品质量的关联性

基于农业多功能性的理论,农产品的价值不仅体现在通过食品供应满足人类相关的需求,同时也涉及其在环境保持、文化传承方面的作用。有鉴于此,农产品政策和法律不应仅着眼于解决食用农产品供应相关的问题,包括粮食安全、食品安全和食品质量,还应该将环境、文化关怀这些因素融入到农业发展中,在实现农业的可持续发展的同时,通过借助这些因素提升农产品的价值来满足消费者日益增长的环境、文化需求。在这个方面,欧盟通过农产品质量项目的整合将上述各因素转换为实现农产品价值增值的路径,包括农业环境的补贴、关注传统文化的质量标志和追求差异性的私人标准及认证体系,进而为农产品价值增值的路径和制度保障提供了启示。     

Managing Employee Compliance with Information Security Policies: The Critical Role of Top Management and Organizational Culture*

We develop an individual behavioral model that integrates the role of top management and organizational culture into the theory of planned behavior in an attempt to better understand how top management can influence security compliance behavior of employees. Using survey data and structural equation modeling, we test hypotheses on the relationships among top management participation, organizational culture, and key determinants of employee compliance with information security policies. We find that top management participation in information security initiatives has significant direct and indirect influences on employees’ attitudes towards, subjective norm of, and perceived behavioral control over compliance with information security policies. We also find that the top management participation strongly influences organizational culture which in turn impacts employees’ attitudes towards and perceived behavioral control over compliance with information security policies. Furthermore, we find that the effects of top management participation and organizational culture on employee behavioral intentions are fully mediated by employee cognitive beliefs about compliance with information security policies. Our findings extend information security research literature by showing how top management can play a proactive role in shaping employee compliance behavior in addition to the deterrence oriented remedies advocated in the extant literature. Our findings also refine the theories about the role of organizational culture in shaping employee compliance behavior. Significant theoretical and practical implications of these findings are discussed.