国际女性恐怖犯罪及其对新疆的警示

自进入21世纪以来,国际恐怖组织和宗教极端组织逐渐将伊斯兰世界的女性推到恐怖活动的第一线,女性参与自杀性恐怖袭击的人数呈持续攀升态势.因此,剖析世界伊斯兰女性恐怖犯罪的成因与特点,研究分析国际恐怖组织发展女性的趋势,可以警示我们采取有效措施防范更多新疆的信仰伊斯兰教的少数民族女性成为“三股势力”的“殉道者”.     

试论阿以战争中的大国干预

大国干预地区事务体现在大国之间的横向互动以及大国与地区国家之间的纵向互动。大国干预具有制衡性、非对称性及强制性等特征,体现了大国干预的复杂动态过程。本文在叙述大国干预阿以战争的基础上,发现安全利益、威胁认知、文化认同等因素影响着大国干预地区事务的动机。当前巴以冲突中大国干预的影响依旧存在,且对阿以和平以及中东安全具有重要的历史和现实意义。     

日本军事力量发展的特点与动向分析 ——2020年版《防卫白皮书》解读

2020年版《防卫白皮书》总结了过去一年来日本的安全环境、防卫政策、军力建设与防务合作交流等问题。新版白皮书虽然在外表上刻意用粉色为底、附以梅花和富士山图案的封面营造出柔和印象,但在内容中一面渲染周边安全环境恶化,继续炒作“中国威胁论”,在对华认识上充斥着偏见与敌视,罔顾事实、故意给中日关系的正常发展制造矛盾,另一面突出“跨领域作战能力”的建设重点,大幅增加太空、网络、电磁波这些新领域中军事力量建设的“紧迫性”与进展情况的相关内容。从2020年版《防卫白皮书》所展现的内容来看,日本的军事力量发展早已突破了“专守防卫”限制,明显体现出进攻性特点,必将给东北亚地区的和平与稳定产生重大影响。     

The threat of monument designation as a technique for successful wilderness legislation: Using the Antiquities Act as a carrot or a stick

Congress provides the highest level of federal lands protection when it creates wilderness using the Wilderness Act. There are times, however, when Congress refuses or seems unwilling or unable to take such environmental policy action. In a handful of instances, presidents have strategically used the threat of or actual unilateral monument designation under the Antiquities Act to get Congress to create new wilderness under the Wilderness Act. Under the Antiquities Act presidents may, without stakeholder or congressional input or approval, unilaterally create national monuments covering public lands that fall within the parameters of its provisions, including lands that would be considered wilderness. This strategy may be used by future presidents that wish to encourage Congress to enact environmental policy protecting remaining pristine federal lands with a wilderness designation. This article analyzes three instances where this strategy was successfully used and identifies specific steps taken in each situation that ultimately led to congressional action creating new wilderness.     

The pressure cooker: When crisis stimulates explorative business model change intentions

How do firms respond to critical threats, such as regulatory turmoils or disruptive innovations? After more than three decades of contradicting theoretical arguments and inconsistent empirical results, this question remains unresolved. One view argues for and finds evidence for amplified propensity to engage in change when organization members perceive critical threat. The other view supports the threat-rigidity phenomenon, reinforcing resistance to change through a focus on habitual practices and routines. To resolve this puzzle, we draw on the multi-dimensional framework of ‘crisis’ strategic issues processing, supplemented with the behavioral decision making perspective. In particular, we investigate the conditions of emergence of radical (explorative) business model change intentions within organizations in response to major threats. The resulting model suggests that cognitive moderators – perceived predictability and time pressure – lead to highly divergent results of critical threat perception, such that low predictability and high time pressure attenuate the threat-induced explorative business model change intentions. The model is tested in two empirical contexts, real estate brokerage and higher education, finding strong empirical support.     

Assessing Adolescents Who Threaten Homicide in Schools

Psychoanalytic and psychiatric perspectives on children who threaten to kill others are reviewed in the context of the need for an interdisciplinary approach to the problem. Converging technologies derived from a Psychoanalytically informed social systems model are compared to law enforcement approaches, Psychoanalytic understanding of the individual dynamics of the child, and empirical research a conduct disordered adolescents. The interdisciplinary orientation of a broadly trained community psychoanalyst allows a unique contribution when trying to distinguish adolescents who make a threat from those who pose a threat. Case vignettes are used to illustrate the hypotheses. This article is reprinted with permission of The American Society of Psychoanalysis, Volume 62, Number 3, pp. 213–235 (2002). Two of the authors (SWT & FCS), participated in a conference held by the federal Bureau of Investigation in July 1999, in which 18 schools where there had been homicides as well as thwarted attacks were invited to a weeklong conference with many national experts and FBI profilers. Well over 100 individuals attended the meeting, including school principals, counselors, deans of students, district attorneys, and members of the police force in a think tank setting to understand the psychology of school violence and, in particular of the child who commits or threatens homicide in school called by the FBI a “school shooter”.     

意象与定见的强势传播——“中国军事威胁论”媒介话语成因考察

＂中国军事威胁论＂作为关于中国军事的一种认知思维、意图判断和话语建构,正在以意象和定见的方式在西方媒体中强势传播,使媒介话语成为＂中国军事威胁论＂诸多成因中的一个关键性考察节点。媒介话语逻辑陷阱、媒介话语权力失衡和媒介话语策略组合为其中的重要促成因素。尤其值得关注的是,对中国军事威胁的二元定型化表征陷阱在进入21世纪后呈现为媒介议题的事件化、戏剧化、常识化和利益化,加之维护性、协调性和对抗性三种媒介话语权力存在交锋失衡,虚拟与真实交织、肯定与否定并存,主流与边缘共进、合唱与独奏更替的＂组合太极拳＂正在挑战中国军方的媒介话语应对能力。     

"东方主义"与后冷战时期美国的"中国威胁论"

“权力话语方式”是萨义德所称的“东方主义”的含义之一。后冷战时期美国的“中国威胁论”——一个作为整体的有关“中国威胁”的理论和“话语体系”,是长久以来美国的“东方主义”的一部分。敌对的“二元对立式的”世界观和对至上权力的追求从深层次解释了后冷战时代美国出现鼓吹“中国威胁论”的原因     

When Catholics turn right: the effects of the Islamic terrorism threat on the fragmented Catholic Italian voters

Italy, as well as most European countries, has been hit by a wave of anxiety arising from groups such as ISIS and Al Qaeda, whose effects on political attitudes are still under-examined. This article investigates the effect of the perceived threat of Islamic terrorism as a potential driver for a ‘right turn’ in the Catholic Italian electorate with open-ended interviews and an Internet-based experiment in which voters were randomly assigned to a terrorism threat manipulation and to a control condition (N?=?138). The results show that the Islamic terroristic threat significantly increased the support for centre-right leaders who promoted in-group identity and out-group hostility towards Muslims. Implications for the debate about the effects of perceived threat on political opinions and the relevance of the findings beyond the Italian case are discussed at the end of the article.     

基于各国经济危机应对策略驳斥“中国威胁论”

基于对西方列强的殖民外贸策略与中国在经济危机时采用的国内外经济策略进行对比分析,阐述“中国威胁论”的荒谬,希望国际社会认清一些帝国主义国家的丑恶嘴脸,认清中国在经济发展中的真诚。任何国家与中国建立密切的外贸关系不仅不会受到“中国威胁”,还能在合作中享受到真正互惠,完全可以安心地与中国保持长期友好的经济贸易乃至更深层次的关系。