高校日常法制教育实效性再探

高校日常法制教育,既影响着＂总体性的人＂的培育,又关系着社会主义和谐社会构建的法治精神基础的奠定。探讨日常法制教育存在的问题及成因,是要超越传统法制教育的知性化、工具化模式,找寻日常法制教育的自省与变革之路径。而以法治文化教化与文化启蒙作为日常法制教育的核心价值,将日常法制教育的生活化品性作为其内容要旨,注重与日常道德教育相融合,日常法制教育才可能充分展示其素质教育内涵,承载起促动社会文化转型和培育具有现代法治精神的＂总体性的人＂的价值理想。     

邓小平对外开放思想的历史定位

邓小平把对外开放作为我国的一项基本国策,是邓小平对外开放思想的历史定位.这一政策的定位是邓小平在汲取马克思列宁主义和毛泽东思想有关对外开放思想的精髓,立足世界经济发展的潮流,总结社会主义建设的经验的基础上的所得出的重要结论.邓小平对外开放思想对于推动我们今天的改革开放事业有很大裨益.     

清代三峡地区的食盐问题探析

三峡地区是一个复杂的地理和行政区划环境。因清政府实行不同的销售政策导致了该地区食盐问题的错综复杂，贫困民众为生活用盐付出了沉重的代价。本文分析了清代不同社会背景下的人民食盐问题以及由此而引起的相关问题，并作出了深刻反思以启迪现实。     

Modified Wilcoxon–Mann–Whitney Test and Power Against Strong Null

The Wilcoxon–Mann–Whitney (WMW) test is a popular rank-based two-sample testing procedure for the strong null hypothesis that the two samples come from the same distribution. A modified WMW test, the Fligner–Policello (FP) test, has been proposed for comparing the medians of two populations. A fact that may be under-appreciated among some practitioners is that the FP test can also be used to test the strong null like the WMW. In this article, we compare the power of the WMW and FP tests for testing the strong null. Our results show that neither test is uniformly better than the other and that there can be substantial differences in power between the two choices. We propose a new, modified WMW test that combines the WMW and FP tests. Monte Carlo studies show that the combined test has good power compared to either the WMW and FP test. We provide a fast implementation of the proposed test in an open-source software. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.     

The Impact of Portfolio Location Uncertainty on Probabilistic Seismic Risk Analysis

Probabilistic seismic risk analysis is a well‐established method in the insurance industry for modeling portfolio losses from earthquake events. In this context, precise exposure locations are often unknown. However, so far, location uncertainty has not been in the focus of a large amount of research. In this article, we propose a novel framework for treatment of location uncertainty. As a case study, a large number of synthetic portfolios resembling typical real‐world cases were created. We investigate the effect of portfolio characteristics such as value distribution, portfolio size, or proportion of risk items with unknown coordinates on the variability of loss frequency estimations. The results indicate that due to loss aggregation effects and spatial hazard variability, location uncertainty in isolation and in conjunction with ground motion uncertainty can induce significant variability to probabilistic loss results, especially for portfolios with a small number of risks. After quantifying its effect, we conclude that location uncertainty should not be neglected when assessing probabilistic seismic risk, but should be treated stochastically and the resulting variability should be visualized and interpreted carefully.     

Wavelet‐based estimators for mixture regression

We consider a process that is observed as a mixture of two random distributions, where the mixing probability is an unknown function of time. The setup is built upon a wavelet‐based mixture regression. Two linear wavelet estimators are proposed. Furthermore, we consider three regularizing procedures for each of the two wavelet methods. We also discuss regularity conditions under which the consistency of the wavelet methods is attained and derive rates of convergence for the proposed estimators. A Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted to illustrate the performance of the estimators. Various scenarios for the mixing probability function are used in the simulations, in addition to a range of sample sizes and resolution levels. We apply the proposed methods to a data set consisting of array Comparative Genomic Hybridization from glioblastoma cancer studies.     

Re-approaching interview data through qualitative secondary analysis: interviews with internet gamblers

ABSTRACT

This paper addresses two interrelated questions concerning what interview data are and how researchers might use them. The first considers the value of a shift from a predominant or exclusive focus upon how data are constructed and produced at interview, and towards how such data might be apprehended through different forms of engagement. The second question relates to how and what qualitative secondary analysis (QSA) might be used to tell about the social world. In exploring this, we advance a critique of the divide between primary and secondary analysis, recasting the debate in terms of different degrees and qualities of ‘proximity’ and ‘distance’ from the formative contexts of data generation, and the distinctive analytical affordances that relate to these. Using QSA of interview data from a study of problem internet gambling as an empirical crucible, we consider the kinds of participation that interviewees develop through reciprocal engagement with interviewers. We illustrate how participants reflexively negotiate the affordances and limits to the narratives through which they frame and recount their experiences. Finally, we show how interview data can be used both to speak of the temporal, relational, spatial, epistemic contexts of their production, and also to contexts and questions beyond these.     

能源与经济危机——对当前世界经济大危机的“另类”解读

把次贷危机当作当前经济危机的唯一原因是不够的，能源问题也是经济危机的重要原因。能源问题还制约甚至决定着经济危机的发展前景和最终解决，因而从某种程度上应把当前经济危机看作是能源危机。能源问题引起经济危机的原因一个是因为石油生产的停滞不前，另一个是由于能源体系转型对现有经济结构进行的调整。能源问题的解决是解决当前经济危机的基本前提，而解决能源问题的途径在于大力发展新能源经济。     

Predicting Problem Gambling in Australian Adults Using a Multifaceted Model of Impulsivity

Impulsivity is a factor that has been linked strongly to problem gambling; however, conceptualization problems have impeded research in this area. Research suggests that there may be as many as five impulsivity subtypes and that some but not all of these subtypes are involved in problem gambling. This cross-sectional and correlational study used the multifaceted UPPS-P Impulsive Behaviour Scale as a predictor of problem gambling in a community (N = 200) sample of Australian adult gamblers. Of the five impulsivity subtypes, negative urgency, positive urgency and sensation seeking were found to be positively related to problem gambling, while lack of premeditation and lack of perseverance were unrelated. Multiple regression analyses revealed that positive urgency and negative urgency were the only significant predictors of problem gambling, suggesting that individuals who have the tendency to act rashly when in a positive or negative mood are more likely to display problem gambling behaviour. The results provide further evidence of the significant role of strong emotions in problem gambling. Further, it appears that problem gambling can be motivated both by the impulsive desire to avoid negative mood states and by the impulsive desire to maintain and enhance positive mood states.     

由基函数选择辅助线性算子的方法

本文研究了同伦分析方法中由基函数选择有效的辅助线性算子的方法，并将其应用到同伦分析方法中，求解了一个非线性偏微分方程边值问题，并且获得了收敛的级数解．结果表明此方法是有效的，也有利于同伦分析方法的进一步研究．