中国货币财政政策有效性的比较检验

货币政策和财政政策是政府干预宏观经济最重要、使用最频繁的两大工具。改革开放以来,我国政府综合运用货币政策和财政政策调控经济运行,促进经济增长。为检验中国1978～2006年间经济增长中货币政策和财政政策有效性的差异性特征,应用脉冲响应函数研究它们之间的动态特性后发现:无论是短期还是长期,积极货币政策对于经济增长均有正效应,而积极财政政策仅在短期内有效,长期内呈现负效应且随时间推移逐渐显著。积极财政政策长期失效的原因有多方面,主要是财政支出的供给范围不合理和支出管理失控产生的效率损失。     

刑事证人不出庭作证制度研究--证人问题研究的新视角

在我国刑事诉讼改革的进程中,证人出庭问题始终是个不容回避的问题。它对我国庭审方式的改革和一系列相关制度的建立和完善有举足轻重的作用。而当前我国对证人出庭问题的研究明显存在偏差,没有区分不出庭证人的具体情况,忽视证人不出庭价值的研究和证人不出庭制度的完善。本文没有具体论述证人不出庭的制度,只是引出问题解决的思路,起个抛砖引玉的作用。     

Churning races in Canada: Visible minority response change between 2006 and 2011

Why do most people have stable responses to census race questions, while some do not? Using linked Canadian data, we examine personal, social, and economic characteristics that predict response stability as White or as one of six large visible minority groups, versus a change in response to/from White or to/from another visible minority group. Response change rates in Canada are generally comparable to those in the US, UK, and New Zealand. Likely reflecting the centuries-old hegemony of Whites in these countries, White is the most stable response group in Canada as well as the US, UK, and New Zealand. Multiple-race response groups are among the newest and least stable response groups. Social statuses and experiences (mixed ethnic heritage, immigration status, and exposure to own-group members) are generally more predictive of race response stability and change than economic (income level and change in income) or personal statuses (education, age). This highlights the socially-constructed nature of race group boundaries. Joining and leaving a group are often predicted by the same status/characteristic and in the same direction, hinting that the status/characteristic adds complexity to the race-related experiences of constituents.     

Narrative persuasion,identification, attitudes,and trustworthiness in crisis communication

The purpose of this study is to test the effects of narratives in crisis communication. This research assesses how organizations benefit from using stories in their media responses, relative to sharing nonnarrative information. The theory of crisis response narratives (Heath, 2004) holds that ethical narratives are effective because they enhance trustworthiness, attitudes toward the spokesperson, and identification with the spokesperson. Normative crisis communication theory exhorts disclosing truthful information rather than spinning. In an online experiment, participants (N = 365) watched a news interview in which a scandalized company’s spokesperson responded to a journalist’s questions with (a) ethical narratives, (b) unethical (spin) narratives, or (c) nonnarrative information. Multiple mediator modeling assessed identification with the spokesperson, attitudes toward the spokesperson, and perceived trustworthiness of the spokesperson. Results indicate ethical narratives are more effective than unethical narratives. However, nonnarrative information most effectively enhances trustworthiness and bolsters identification.     

越南濒危民族语言的现状及应对濒危语言的政策

由于交际环境变小、与其它人口多的民族杂居等原因,越南的尔都、布依、仡佬、阿连和马良等少数民族的语言正在出现逐渐消亡的危机。要保留和发展这些濒危语言,笔者认为这些民族必须得到良好的普通话(即国家通用语言)教育,以便创造与各民族进行平等交际的环境。同时,要多种形式地组织这些民族的传统文化活动,为他们使用母语进行交际创造环境。     

鲁迅与波德莱尔的话语共鸣

《野草》和《巴黎的忧郁》是鲁迅和波德莱尔的散文诗集,两位伟大的作家选择了相同的文体,运用象征手法,选择特有的意象,表达时代的抑郁和苦闷。由此形成了两者的话语共鸣,体味出新的审美典范。散文诗以其特殊的话语形态表达作者的心理情感及其想像空间,鲁迅与波德莱尔一方面具备写作散文诗的特质,另一方面时代也促成了他们选择这样的话语形态,由此透过两位大作家的文字,我们体味到两者文本之中的话语共鸣——精神的忧郁、心灵的苦闷;同时也体味到世界文学的共鸣。     

入境旅游市场需要引导消费——以嵩山少林寺为例

从“旅游消费心理”和“旅游环境”两个方面分析旅游消费者的决策心理和郑州市旅游业的资源条件及发展现状。依据知觉、动机、决策等心理学理论,对入境旅游市场的吸引力和少林禅宗文化的影响力进行分析,提出以嵩山少林寺为重点,突出专题旅游资源,抓住龙头打造中原旅游精品,引导旅游消费的基本对策。     

物联网在灾害救助物资管理中的应用

救援物资的管理是应急管理中的一项重要工作,物联网的泛在性特别适合用于救援物资的管理。物联网在应急物资管理中的应用可以分为针对静态信息、动态信息的管理,也可以根据不同的应急管理阶段进行划分,在事前准备、事中救助、事后分析等三个阶段发挥作用,以上分析将为物联网技术应用于救灾物资管理提供具体的指导和部署意见。     

称赞语应答的语体特征分析

称赞语的应答是常用的交际技巧,但是制约应答方式的因素却有很多,要做到应答得体在一定程度上非常困难。本文通过分析称赞语应答的语体特征的构成、对称赞语回应的影响和作用,从中找出称赞语回应的共同特征和应该遵守的潜规则,指导人们如何在交际中得体回应别人的称赞。     

我国农业保险的经济学分析

农业是国民经济的基础,是人们生存、经济发展、社会稳定的根本保障.农业保险是世界各国支持和稳定农业生产的重要政策性措施之一,而我国目前的农业保险却陷入了"供给不足,需求有限"的两难困境,文章对农业保险的供给和需求进行了分析,并提出了建设措施.