福建建设生态强省的战略思考与若干对策

分析了实现持续发展所面临的巨大挑战与压力。结合福建省实际 ,提出建设生态强省的内涵与意义 ,并较为系统地阐述了发展思路与若干对策     

生态文艺学:视域、范式与文本

“生态文艺学”作为一门新兴文艺学科 ,由于学者们所存在的视域差异及遵循的学术范式不同 ,其预构的文本存在着很多可写的形式 ,这本在人们的意料之中。然而 ,从学科的发展来看 ,这种状态毕竟是一种不利因素 ,我们应该对之进行必要的检视 ,使它朝着理想的文本模式发展     

新世纪宁波市城市建设的若干思考

文章对杭州湾跨海大桥建设对宁波影响、宁波与上海关系、新区建设与老城保护、宁波平原生态环境评价、城市特色塑造等今后城市发展的关键性问题提出了一些看法。     

藏族传统文化对青藏高原地理环境的解说

在藏族传统文化中 ,青藏高原藏族居住区域被命名为“神圣雪域”。藏族通过想象、语言、神话及象征符号将地理上的高原解释为“人类学的高原” ,使之成为神圣化的精神家园。因而 ,藏族传统文化中的青藏高原自然面貌与人文景观和谐地组合为一体 ,成为相互依存的完美整体。神圣生敬畏 ,敬畏生珍爱。对高原家乡神圣化的功能作用是珍爱保护它 ,是藏族人保护高原环境、美化家园的一种崇高愿望。通过自然禁忌行为和规范加强了对高原生态环境的保护     

我国期货市场的法规探讨

本文阐述了期货市场法律规范的基本原则和主要功能，介绍了我国期货市场的近期发展与法规现状，并对我国期贷市场法律规范的基本原则与体系设置作了探讨。     

Government Risk Management Priorities: A Comparison of the Preferences of Asian Indian Americans and Other Americans

A survey was conducted of approximately 200 Asian Indian Americans and 200 other residents of New Jersey in order to understand the risk management priorities that they want government to have. We found that Asian Indian Americans, especially younger women, focused on personal/family risks, such as alcohol and drug abuse, sexual abuse, and domestic violence. The New Jersey comparison group, in contrast, placed war/terrorism and loss of health care services and insurance at the top of their priorities for government. These results suggest stressful acculturation-related issues within the Asian Indian community. Both populations want more risk management from government than they believe government is currently providing. Respondents who wanted more from government tended to dread the risk, be fearful of the consequences, trust government, and have a feeling of personal efficacy. Within the Asian Indian American sample, wide variations were observed by language spoken at home and religious affiliation. Notably, Muslims and Hindi language speakers tended not to trust government and hence wanted less government involvement. This study supports our call for studies of recent migrant populations and Johnson's for testing ethnic identity and acculturation as factors in risk judgments.     

人才生态环境建构研究

人才成长、培养和使用的环境是否和谐,是否有利于人才的发展和转化,直接决定人才成长的速度、人才培养的质量和人才使用的价值。人才生态环境系统是一个可持续发展的能量交换体,人才在其中能够与人才群体、人才组织、人才社会各生态要素相互联系、相互影响和相互作用,以至形成综合的具有核心竞争能力的生态系统,最终促使人才自我价值的实现,从而有效提升人才的使用价值和社会价值。     

Bayesian validation assessment of multivariate computational models

Multivariate model validation is a complex decision-making problem involving comparison of multiple correlated quantities, based upon the available information and prior knowledge. This paper presents a Bayesian risk-based decision method for validation assessment of multivariate predictive models under uncertainty. A generalized likelihood ratio is derived as a quantitative validation metric based on Bayes’ theorem and Gaussian distribution assumption of errors between validation data and model prediction. The multivariate model is then assessed based on the comparison of the likelihood ratio with a Bayesian decision threshold, a function of the decision costs and prior of each hypothesis. The probability density function of the likelihood ratio is constructed using the statistics of multiple response quantities and Monte Carlo simulation. The proposed methodology is implemented in the validation of a transient heat conduction model, using a multivariate data set from experiments. The Bayesian methodology provides a quantitative approach to facilitate rational decisions in multivariate model assessment under uncertainty.     

Ranking Nuclear and Radiological Terrorism Scenarios: The Italian Case

A quantitative criterion for ranking the different scenarios of nuclear and radiological terrorism has been developed. The aim of the model is not to predict terroristic events but only to indicate which scenario has the higher utility from the point of view of a terroristic organization in terms of balance between factors favoring and discouraging the attack, respectively. All these factors were quantified according to a scoring system that takes into account the logarithmic relationship between perceptions and stimuli. The criterion was applied to several scenarios, each of which was modeled in a simple but not trivial way in order to estimate the expected damage in terms of probable life losses from both radiative and nonradiative effects. The outcome from the ranking method indicates that the attractive scenario appears to be the detonation of a low yield improvised nuclear device in the metropolitan area of a major city.     

高校内部审计风险原因及对策研究

内部审计机构的相对独立性、审计人员业务能力的局限性、审计方法及审计手段的落后状况等因素决定了内部审计风险的客观存在,目前高校办学和业务活动出现了一些新的特点,高校的内部审计工作不仅同样也存在风险,且较之以前有加大的趋势。本文论述了高校内部审计风险产生原因并相应提出了防范和控制风险的措施。