全文获取类型
收费全文 | 8123篇 |
免费 | 320篇 |
国内免费 | 132篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 3060篇 |
民族学 | 10篇 |
人才学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 106篇 |
丛书文集 | 312篇 |
理论方法论 | 430篇 |
综合类 | 3204篇 |
社会学 | 584篇 |
统计学 | 868篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 20篇 |
2023年 | 149篇 |
2022年 | 116篇 |
2021年 | 118篇 |
2020年 | 277篇 |
2019年 | 277篇 |
2018年 | 269篇 |
2017年 | 296篇 |
2016年 | 299篇 |
2015年 | 309篇 |
2014年 | 454篇 |
2013年 | 768篇 |
2012年 | 497篇 |
2011年 | 481篇 |
2010年 | 405篇 |
2009年 | 377篇 |
2008年 | 393篇 |
2007年 | 403篇 |
2006年 | 409篇 |
2005年 | 392篇 |
2004年 | 329篇 |
2003年 | 286篇 |
2002年 | 218篇 |
2001年 | 202篇 |
2000年 | 119篇 |
1999年 | 104篇 |
1998年 | 63篇 |
1997年 | 52篇 |
1996年 | 46篇 |
1995年 | 49篇 |
1994年 | 57篇 |
1993年 | 48篇 |
1992年 | 36篇 |
1991年 | 32篇 |
1990年 | 40篇 |
1989年 | 23篇 |
1988年 | 34篇 |
1987年 | 24篇 |
1986年 | 19篇 |
1985年 | 13篇 |
1984年 | 19篇 |
1983年 | 17篇 |
1982年 | 17篇 |
1981年 | 16篇 |
1980年 | 1篇 |
1979年 | 1篇 |
1977年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有8575条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
Michael Greenberg Anthony Cox Vicki Bier Jim Lambert Karen Lowrie Warner North Michael Siegrist Felicia Wu 《Risk analysis》2020,40(Z1):2113-2127
As part of the celebration of the 40th anniversary of the Society for Risk Analysis and Risk Analysis: An International Journal, this essay reviews the 10 most important accomplishments of risk analysis from 1980 to 2010, outlines major accomplishments in three major categories from 2011 to 2019, discusses how editors circulate authors’ accomplishments, and proposes 10 major risk-related challenges for 2020–2030. Authors conclude that the next decade will severely test the field of risk analysis. 相似文献
2.
周亮 《河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2020,45(1):108-119
现代经济主体间网络关联性越来越强,风险很容易在不同行业间扩散,因此有效识别并分析系统性风险是防范金融危机的关键步骤。基于条件风险价值(CoVaR)和边际期望损失(MES)两个指标,对巨潮行业指数系统性风险的静态和动态特征进行了研究。结果发现,各行业间系统性风险的相关性较强,动态特征显示2009年年初和2016年3月为系统性风险的两个峰值;从分行业来看,材料行业的系统性风险最高,而消费和医药行业的系统性风险最低。采用动态面板模型分析影响行业系统性风险的市场面因素发现,短期涨幅较高、长期涨幅较低及流动性较充分的行业,其系统性风险往往更低。因此,应加强对系统性风险较高行业的监管力度,建立好金融防火墙,防止外部金融风险的过度传染;同时应加强对各行业的实时监控,尤其是关注短期暴涨暴跌及流动性充分与否的监控。 相似文献
3.
目前,我国在页岩气开发的环境保护方面存在着大量的法律空白,往往只能参照环境保护法和矿产资源法中的相关规定进行规制,无法有效解决页岩气开发暴露出来的环境问题。页岩气开发环境风险的法律规制,核心目的就是解决当前页岩气开发中的环境风险,促进页岩气开发与环境保护相协调,实现能源开发的可持续发展。在页岩气开发环境风险的法律规制方面,英美两国已经探索出一些经验和制度。积极借鉴国外有益经验,努力改进和完善我国应对页岩气开发环境风险的法律规制,对实现我国页岩气开采的经济效益、社会效益和环境效益三者的统一具有重要的现实意义。 相似文献
4.
We study interdependent risks in security, and shed light on the economic and policy implications of increasing security interdependence in presence of reactive attackers. We investigate the impact of potential public policy arrangements on the security of a group of interdependent organizations, namely, airports. Focusing on security expenditures and costs to society, as assessed by a social planner, to individual airports and to attackers, we first develop a game-theoretic framework, and derive explicit Nash equilibrium and socially optimal solutions in the airports network. We then conduct numerical experiments mirroring real-world cyber scenarios, to assess how a change in interdependence impact the airports' security expenditures, the overall expected costs to society, and the fairness of security financing. Our study provides insights on the economic and policy implications for the United States, Europe, and Asia. 相似文献
5.
施婉蓉 《淮海工学院学报(社会科学版)》2015,(2)
随着房地产调控和城市化进程的加快,商业地产越来越受到开发商的青睐。城市综合体作为商业地产的典型代表以其多结构多层级的功能组合迅速提升区域价值而拥有了“城中之城”的美誉,在东部地区二三线城市大量涌现。但城市综合体带动城市发展的同时,也引发了一系列风险亟待关注。 相似文献
6.
波特竞争模型将市场竞争看成一种零和博弈,但是,近年来,合作越来越受到企业的认可,合作带来的收益远大于竞争所带来的收益。本文将合作因素引入波特竞争模型,解释了企业间的合作现象,同时对合作所引起的收益与风险进行了探讨,指出我国企业参与国际竞争必须走合作之路。 相似文献
7.
谭露 《长江大学学报(社会科学版)》2002,(1)
本文首先探讨了证券市场化解股份有限公司代理人道德风险问题的作用机制 ,并进一步详尽地分析了该机制发挥作用需要具备的条件 ,包括 :证券市场存在、证券市场具有完善的信息交流功能、证券市场有效性较高等。文章继而对照上述条件分析了我国证券市场的现状。最后提出了改进的对策 相似文献
8.
Aviation insurance premiums have become a heavy burden for the airline industry since September 11, 2001. Although the industry must constantly balance its operations between profitability and safety, the reality is that airlines are in the business of making money. Therefore, their ability to reduce cost and manage risk is a key factor for success. Unlike past research, which used subjective judgment methods, this study applied quantitative historical data (1999–2000) and gray relation analysis to identify the primary factors influencing ratemaking for aviation insurance premiums. An empirical study of six airlines in Taiwan was conducted to determine these factors and to analyze the management strategies used to deal with them. Results showed that the loss experience and performance of individual airlines were the key elements associated with aviation insurance premiums paid by each airline. By identifying and understanding the primary factors influencing ratemaking for aviation insurance, airlines will better understand their relative operational strengths and weaknesses, and further help top management identify areas for further improvement. Knowledge of these factors combined with effective risk management strategies, may result in lower premiums and operating costs for airline companies. 相似文献
9.
Seismic risk can be reduced by implementing newly developed seismic provisions in design codes. Furthermore, financial protection or enhanced utility and happiness for stakeholders could be gained through the purchase of earthquake insurance. If this is not so, there would be no market for such insurance. However, perceived benefit associated with insurance is not universally shared by stakeholders partly due to their diverse risk attitudes. This study investigates the implied seismic design preference with insurance options for decisionmakers of bounded rationality whose preferences could be adequately represented by the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). The investigation is focused on assessing the sensitivity of the implied seismic design preference with insurance options to model parameters of the CPT and to fair and unfair insurance arrangements. Numerical results suggest that human cognitive limitation and risk perception can affect the implied seismic design preference by the CPT significantly. The mandatory purchase of fair insurance will lead the implied seismic design preference to the optimum design level that is dictated by the minimum expected lifecycle cost rule. Unfair insurance decreases the expected gain as well as its associated variability, which is preferred by risk-averse decisionmakers. The obtained results of the implied preference for the combination of the seismic design level and insurance option suggest that property owners, financial institutions, and municipalities can take advantage of affordable insurance to establish successful seismic risk management strategies. 相似文献
10.
Barbara Chaulk Phyllis J. Johnson Richard Bulcroft 《Journal of Family and Economic Issues》2003,24(3):257-279
Family development and prospect theory were used as a framework to predict variability in individuals' subjective financial risk tolerance within distinct family structures. Gender, age, and income were expected to interact with the main effects of family structure (marital status and children). Theory-generated hypotheses were examined in Study 1 (data from university housing respondents, n = 76) and Study 2 (the 1998 Survey of Consumer Finances, n = 4,305). One family structure main effect (child presence) was significant for investment risk tolerance in both studies. Family structure interactions (marital status × age and child × income) were significant for employment risk (Study 1), and child × age was significant for investment risk in Study 2. 相似文献