在模式识别下的萃取液温度控制方法研究

离子污染测试仪是用于对清洗后PCB板残存的离子污染物含量进行测试的仪器。由于萃取液温度直接影响离子污染物的溶解程度,因而需通过精确控制萃取液温度的方式来保证更高级别的污染物被检测到。在工程应用中,采用常规PID控制方法难以达到要求的控制精度。该文提出了一种基于模式识别的萃取液温度智能控制方法,通过对系统动态特征的模式分类,结合专家经验在线自动调整控制规律,使系统保持预定的温度。仿真研究表明,该方法与传统PID控制方法相比,具有更好的控制效果和更强的鲁棒性。实际应用时超调量小于0.5℃,控制精度可达±0.2℃,满足系统设计要求。     

Statistical Quantification of the Sources of Variance in Uncertainty Analyses

A statistical method using linear regression is shown for quantifying each variable's contribution to the uncertainty analysis in environmental health risk assessments. The method suggests that uncertainty analyses can be significantly simplified when a linear relationship can be established between risk or log(risk) and the independent variables.     

采用混合稀释法对受黄曲霉毒素污染饲料的利用

讨论了黄曲霉毒素对饲料的污染，采用混合稀释法对受污染饲料进行有效利用的基本原理和3种实际应用方法，以及采用该法应当注意的问题。     

Robust dual-CUSUM control charts for contaminated processes

ABSTRACT

In this article, we improve the efficiency of the Dual CUSUM chart (which combines the designs of two CUSUM structures to detect a range of shift) by focusing on its robustness, ability to resist some disturbances in the process environment and violation of basic assumptions. We do that, by proposing some robust estimators for constructing the chart for both contaminated and uncontaminated environments. The average run length is used as the performance evaluation measure of the charts. After comparing the performances of the proposed charts based on the estimators, it is noticed that the tri-mean estimator out-performs others in all ramifications. Next to it in performance is the Hodges-Lehmann and midrange estimators. We substantiated the simulation results of the study by applying the scheme on a real-life data set.     

The estimation of gross flows in the presence of measurement error using auxiliary variables

Classification error can lead to substantial biases in the estimation of gross flows from longitudinal data. We propose a method to adjust flow estimates for bias, based on fitting separate multinomial logistic models to the classification error probabilities and the true state transition probabilities using values of auxiliary variables. Our approach has the advantages that it does not require external information on misclassification rates, it permits the identification of factors that are related to misclassification and true transitions and it does not assume independence between classification errors at successive points in time. Constraining the prediction of the stocks to agree with the observed stocks protects against model misspecification. We apply the approach to data on women from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics with three categories of labour force status. The model fitted is shown to have interpretable coefficient estimates and to provide a good fit. Simulation results indicate good performance of the model in predicting the true flows and robustness against departures from the model postulated.     

On the Breakdown Properties of Some Multivariate M‐Functionals*

Abstract. For probability distributions on ? ^q, a detailed study of the breakdown properties of some multivariate M‐functionals related to Tyler's [Ann. Statist. 15 (1987) 234] ‘distribution‐free’ M‐functional of scatter is given. These include a symmetrized version of Tyler's M‐functional of scatter, and the multivariate t M‐functionals of location and scatter. It is shown that for ‘smooth’ distributions, the (contamination) breakdown point of Tyler's M‐functional of scatter and of its symmetrized version are 1/q and , respectively. For the multivariate t M‐functional which arises from the maximum likelihood estimate for the parameters of an elliptical t distribution on ν ≥ 1 degrees of freedom the breakdown point at smooth distributions is 1/( q + ν). Breakdown points are also obtained for general distributions, including empirical distributions. Finally, the sources of breakdown are investigated. It turns out that breakdown can only be caused by contaminating distributions that are concentrated near low‐dimensional subspaces.     

Omnibus testing and gene filtration in microarray data analysis

When thousands of tests are performed simultaneously to detect differentially expressed genes in microarray analysis, the number of Type I errors can be immense if a multiplicity adjustment is not made. However, due to the large scale, traditional adjustment methods require very stringen significance levels for individual tests, which yield low power for detecting alterations. In this work, we describe how two omnibus tests can be used in conjunction with a gene filtration process to circumvent difficulties due to the large scale of testing. These two omnibus tests, the D-test and the modified likelihood ratio test (MLRT), can be used to investigate whether a collection of P-values has arisen from the Uniform(0,1) distribution or whether the Uniform(0,1) distribution contaminated by another Beta distribution is more appropriate. In the former case, attention can be directed to a smaller part of the genome; in the latter event, parameter estimates for the contamination model provide a frame of reference for multiple comparisons. Unlike the likelihood ratio test (LRT), both the D-test and MLRT enjoy simple limiting distributions under the null hypothesis of no contamination, so critical values can be obtained from standard tables. Simulation studies demonstrate that the D-test and MLRT are superior to the AIC, BIC, and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. A case study illustrates omnibus testing and filtration.     

Reducing Drinking Water Supply Chemical Contamination: Risks from Underground Storage Tanks

Drinking water supplies are at risk of contamination from a variety of physical, chemical, and biological sources. Ranked among these threats are hazardous material releases from leaking or improperly managed underground storage tanks located at municipal, commercial, and industrial facilities. To reduce human health and environmental risks associated with the subsurface storage of hazardous materials, government agencies have taken a variety of legislative and regulatory actions—which date back more than 25 years and include the establishment of rigorous equipment/technology/operational requirements and facility‐by‐facility inspection and enforcement programs. Given a history of more than 470,000 underground storage tank releases nationwide, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency continues to report that 7,300 new leaks were found in federal fiscal year 2008, while nearly 103,000 old leaks remain to be cleaned up. In this article, we report on an alternate evidence‐based intervention approach for reducing potential releases from the storage of petroleum products (gasoline, diesel, kerosene, heating/fuel oil, and waste oil) in underground tanks at commercial facilities located in Rhode Island. The objective of this study was to evaluate whether a new regulatory model can be used as a cost‐effective alternative to traditional facility‐by‐facility inspection and enforcement programs for underground storage tanks. We conclude that the alternative model, using an emphasis on technical assistance tools, can produce measurable improvements in compliance performance, is a cost‐effective adjunct to traditional facility‐by‐facility inspection and enforcement programs, and has the potential to allow regulatory agencies to decrease their frequency of inspections among low risk facilities without sacrificing compliance performance or increasing public health risks.     

A Framework for Estimating the Adverse Health Effects of Contamination Events in Water Distribution Systems and its Application

Intentional or accidental releases of contaminants into a water distribution system (WDS) have the potential to cause significant adverse health effects among individuals consuming water from the system. A flexible analysis framework is presented here for estimating the magnitude of such potential effects and is applied using network models for 12 actual WDSs of varying sizes. Upper bounds are developed for the magnitude of adverse effects of contamination events in WDSs and evaluated using results from the 12 systems. These bounds can be applied in cases in which little system‐specific information is available. The combination of a detailed, network‐specific approach and a bounding approach allows consequence assessments to be performed for systems for which varying amounts of information are available and addresses important needs of individual utilities as well as regional or national assessments. The approach used in the analysis framework allows contaminant injections at any or all network nodes and uses models that (1) account for contaminant transport in the systems, including contaminant decay, and (2) provide estimates of ingested contaminant doses for the exposed population. The approach can be easily modified as better transport or exposure models become available. The methods presented here provide the ability to quantify or bound potential adverse effects of contamination events for a wide variety of possible contaminants and WDSs, including systems without a network model.