Pseudo-bayes estimation of multinomial proportions

In the simultaneous estimation of multinomial proportions, two estimators are developed which incorporate prior means and a prior parameter which reflects the accuracy of the prior means. These estimators possess substantially smaller risk than the standard estimator in a region of the parameter space and are much more robust than the conjugate Bayes estimator with respect to parameter values far from the prior mean. When vague prior information is available, these estimators and confidence regions derived from them appear to be attractive alternatives to the procedures based on the standard estimator.     

Robust test for means when population variances are unequal

We consider the problem of testing the equality of two population means when the population variances are not necessarily equal. We propose a Welch-type statistic, say T^* _c, based on Tiku!s ‘1967, 1980’ modified maximum likelihood estimators, and show that this statistic is robust to symmetric and moderately skew distributions. We investigate the power properties of the statistic T^* _c; T^* _c clearly seems to be more powerful than Yuen's ‘1974’ Welch-type robust statistic based on the trimmed sample means and the matching sample variances. We show that the analogous statistics based on the ‘adaptive’ robust estimators give misleading Type I errors. We generalize the results to testing linear contrasts among k population means     

On concurrence of several linear regressions and applications to problems of enzyme kinetics

In comparing several regressions E(y_ij) =α_i + β_ix_ij i = 1, 2, ..., k, j = 1,2, ..., n_i, researchers are generally interested in the following five problems: whether they have (1) equal slope, (2) equal intercept, (3) coincidence, (4) common intersection on X-axis, and (5) common intersection on (X,Y) - plane. Problems (1) - (3) can be put into the framework of the general linear hypothesis and the F-test can be used. However, problems (4) and (5) cannot be put into the general linear hypothesis because they are ratios of parameters. Hence, in this paper we consider the generalized likelihood ratio test for hypothesis testing. An application to an enzyme kinetics problem in Aniline Metabolism is demonstrated     

Structural properties and estimation in m|EK| 1 queue

In this paper we study the distribution of the number of customers served in a busy period in the framework of modified power series distribution introduced by Gupta (197U) and obtain the moments and probability generating function of this distribution. We also study the maximum likelihood estimation of the parameter θand the variance and the asymptotic bias of the MLE are also obtained. The minimum variance unbiased estimate of θ^ris investigated and an estimate of the probabilities is given.     

Time series analysis of stratospheric ozone

Time series analyses of monthly average total ozone measured at 37 stations throughout the world were used to estimate the extent to which the average ozone trend correlates with the depletion curve hypothesized as due to chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs). Statistical characteristics of stations in the ensemble were used to help define appropriate model and station selection criteria. The maximum likelihood procedure developed herein estimates the weighted average trend, its. variance, and the intra- and inter-station variance components of the trend. Correlations among trends at different stations are also taken into account. The models were subjected to much checking and criticism. Variations in statistical methodology are used to show that the results are insensitive to details of the model selection criteria. The method does not discriminate well between the hypothesized CFC trend and a linear trend. The trend estimates represent the sum of all long-term global effects. The variance includes all effects that differ from station-to-station. The estimated trend and 2α limits for 14 stations with 20-year records (1958-79) is an ozone increase through 1979 of (1.5+1.0) percent. At the 23 stations with shorter records, the trend is (1.0=1.7) percent. It is concluded that no significant depletion in stratospheric ozone has occurred from any cause through the end of 1979.     

Estimation of the mean of the exponential distribution with an outlying observation

Given a life testing experiment consisting of n items, n-1 of which have the expected life λ while one could have an expected life λ/α with 0 < α < 1 the problem is. to find a mean square error (MSE) minimizing estimation function. The standard estimators for the homogeneous case (α = 1) overestimate the expected life and their MSE tend to infinity when a tends to 0.

Looking at the estimation problem as an insurance (see Anscombe (1960)) two different “testimators” are compared with respect to their MSE, Numerical results show that an estimation function based on the “Epstein-statistic” x_(n)/[xbar] is the best one.     

Standard and goodness-of-fit parameter estimation methods for the three-parameter lognormal distribution

A class of goodness-of-fit estimators is found to provide a useful alternative in certain situations to the standard maximum likelihood method which has some undesirable estimation characteristics for estimation from the three-parameter lognormal distribution. The class of goodness-of-fit tests considered include the Shapiro-Wilk and Filliben tests which reduce to a weighted linear combination of the order statistics that can be maximized in estimation problems. The weighted order statistic estimators are compared to the standard procedures in Monte Carlo simulations. Robustness of the procedures are examined and example data sets analyzed.     

Asymptotic distribution of regression type estimators of parameters of stable laws

Asymptotic distributions of regression-type estimators for the parameters of stable distributions am obtained. The asymptotic normalized standard deviations of the estimators are computed for various values of the parameters and various choices of the number of points used in getting the regression estimates.     

Using the singly truncated normal distribution to analyze satellite data

This paper proposes the singly truncated normal distribution as a model for estimating radiance measurements from satellite-borne infrared sensors. These measurements are made in order to estimate sea surface temperatures which can be related to radiances. Maximum likelihood estimation is used to provide estimates for the unknown parameters. In particular, a procedure is described for estimating clear radiances in the presence of clouds and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic is used to test goodness-of-fit of the measurements to the singly truncated normal distribution. Tables of quantile values of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic for several values of the truncation point are generated from Monie Carlo experiment Mnally a numerical emample using satetic data is presented to illustrate the application of the procedures.     

Sufficiency of a sufficient statistic for equivariant estimation

Suppose an estimation problem is invariant under a group of transformations and one is interested in finding an optimal equivariant estimator. The usual proactice is to confine attention to non-randomized equivariant estimators based on a minimal sufficient statistic. A justification of this restriction to a smaller clas of estimators is given in this paper under certain conditions.