Repositioning prevention in child protection using performance indicators

ABSTRACT

Performance indicators have both technical and value dimensions, capable of providing data for monitoring and reporting in addition to framing policy problems and their solutions. This paper considers the performance indicators proposed in a recent child protection inquiry in Australia that recommended ‘decreasing the numbers of children in the child protection system’ as a primary policy objective. The paper examines the context in which the indicators were set, the values and theories they endorse, and how they position stakeholders. The analysis shows how the indicators communicate that child protection services should be only for the most serious cases of child maltreatment, and the reach of statutory services should be curtailed. Children who have been maltreated or who are at risk of harm from abuse or neglect should be diverted from the child protection system (positioned as bad) to the family support system (positioned as good), and at the same time from the state to the nongovernment sector. The shifting relations between government, service providers, and families signified by the indicators can be seen in a broader international context of tightening the boundaries around child protection and concurrently advancing concepts of compliance within family support.     

奈特不确定性下的资产及其组合的惰性区间

不确定性是证券市场的基本特征之一,是资产定价和投资者交易行为等研究的主要内容。标准期望效用理论认为投资者具有唯一的资产执行价格,当市场价格高于执行价格时,投资者出售资产;反之,则会购进。然而,源于不确定性的存在,资产的均衡价格或交易价格并非某一确定值而是某一区间;在此区间内,投资者无交易行为,我们称之为资产的惰性区间。本文假定投资者是不确定性规避型,基于可行域上的容度,引入测度奈特不确定性程度的等级参数,研究奈特不确定性下的资产及其组合的惰性区间。基于容度期望效用模型,利用容度代替概率测度表征投资者预期效用,提出奈特不确定性下投资者决策行为的偏好表达式;基于对偶测度构建资产交易的惰性区间,分析奈特不确定性程度与惰性区间的关系;最后,基于Black-Scholes期权定价模型,选择存续期为2008年10月-2011年8月的江铜认购权证和长虹认购权证为研究对象,以其单资产及不同比例资产组合的日收益数据为样本予以实证。结果表明：随着奈特不确定性程度的不断增强（减弱）,资产及其组合的惰性区间不断扩大（缩小）,市场流动性随之下降（上升）;随着奈特不确定性程度的增强,高价格、高波动率的资产及其组合的惰性区间变化更为明显;在适度的奈特不确定性程度范围内,高波动率的资产及其组合的交易相对活跃。研究解释了证券市场上的“非市场参与”之谜和“特质波动率”之谜,说明了证券市场上的“有限市场参与”特征,为资产定价与市场流动性关系的研究提供了参考。     

A randomized phase I Bayesian dose escalation design for the combination of anti‐cancer drugs

Nowadays, treatment regimens for cancer often involve a combination of drugs. The determination of the doses of each of the combined drugs in phase I dose escalation studies poses methodological challenges. The most common phase I design, the classic ‘3+3' design, has been criticized for poorly estimating the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) and for treating too many subjects at doses below the MTD. In addition, the classic ‘3+3' is not able to address the challenges posed by combinations of drugs. Here, we assume that a control drug (commonly used and well‐studied) is administered at a fixed dose in combination with a new agent (the experimental drug) of which the appropriate dose has to be determined. We propose a randomized design in which subjects are assigned to the control or to the combination of the control and experimental. The MTD is determined using a model‐based Bayesian technique based on the difference of probability of dose limiting toxicities (DLT) between the control and the combination arm. We show, through a simulation study, that this approach provides better and more accurate estimates of the MTD. We argue that this approach may differentiate between an extreme high probability of DLT observed from the control and a high probability of DLT of the combination. We also report on a fictive (simulation) analysis based on published data of a phase I trial of ifosfamide combined with sunitinib.Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于修正Russell方法的模糊决策单元的排序

文章首先建立基于修正Russell方法的超效率DEA模型,然后基于模糊数的比较,建立并求解模糊环境下的基于修正Russell方法的超效率DEA模型,从而解决了模糊决策单元的全排序问题。文末的算例将基于修正Russell方法的模糊超效率DEA模型,与基于CCR模型的模糊超效率DEA模型的结果进行了比较分析。     

我国专业学位硕士研究生奖助体系：理论探讨和策略完善

专业学位是相对于学术性学位而言的学位授予类型,为培养高层次应用型专门人才而设置,具有职业性、实践性和应用性等特征。现阶段我国研究生资助采用奖、助、贷、减、补并存的多元化模式。当前,我国专业学位研究生教育正处于起步阶段,尽管全日制专业学位硕士生的规模不断扩大,但是由于我国研究生教育的体制结构尚不成熟、全社会对专业学位的认识不足、专业学位硕士生在奖助激励体系中处于弱势地位等原因,在资助过程中出现了资助对象无差别化、资助理念和目标不明确、评估指标缺乏多维性、激励机制不完善等问题。完善我国全日制专业学位硕士生资助体系,要明确多元化的研究生奖助体系,建立长效机制,拓展奖学金来源渠道,建构科学的动态评估体系,规范人性化的管理体制,培养适应特定行业或职业实际工作需要的具有创新能力和实践能力的综合型人才。     

社区成员的社区教育满意度测量理论研究

社区成员对社区教育的满意度评价,是社区教育教育评价的重要组成。构建社区教育满意度测量指标,是满意度测量和评价的前提。本论文根据顾客满意度测量理论和教育满意度测量理论,分析了影响社区成员的社区教育满意度的各个要素．以社区教育服务的构成要素为测量点,建构了社区成员的社区教育满意度测量指标体系。     

On the Percentile Residual Lifetime of Parallel Systems

In this paper, we consider a parallel system consisting of n components. Then, the percentile residual lifetime of the system given survival of at least n ? r + 1, r = 1, 2, …, n component(s) has been introduced, and some properties of this measure have been investigated. We show that the system accommodates decreasing percentile residual lifetime function, provided the components have increasing hazard rate functions. Different parallel systems have been compared with each other in terms of the introduced measure. Furthermore, behavior of the percentile residual lifetime of the system and the components have been compared in terms of some reliability notions. Also, a characterization result has been presented.     

实现高校文档一体化管理的对策研究

在信息化社会高速发展的今天,随着办公自动化和电子政务的逐步普及,高校文书与档案工作长期实行分块管理的模式已不适应数字化校园的需要.因此,尽快实现文档一体化管理,是长期从事文件管理和档案管理工作者的义不容辞的责任.     

论高校党建工作的目标、制度与手段载体层面

为适应我国高校目前超速发展、大规模扩张的形势,高校党建工作要以“三个代表”重要思想为指导:在目标层面上,坚持为社会主义的办学方向和以教学科研为中心的学校发展大局提供优质服务和根本保证;在制度层面上,要发挥党委的中心作用,提高基层党支部组织的战斗力,落实党风廉政建设;在手段载体层面,要以丰富多样的活动、示范品牌的塑造、党建网页的建设,追求与高校文化优势完美结合的创新探索。     

略论科学教育与人文教育的融合

科学教育与人文教育的融合是高等教育现代化发展的必然趋势.科学教育与人文教育的融合有利于形成正确的人生追求;有利于形成完备的知识基础;有利于形成优秀的思维品质;有利于形成健康的生活方式;有利于形成和谐的个人同外界的关系.因此,实现科学教育与人文教育的融合有其重要价值.