长三角一体化背景下的江苏有线网络发展研究

长三角一体化的发展给江苏有线网络带来难得的发展机遇的同时,也提出了严峻的挑战.江苏各级政府及其有关部门应统一思想,提高认识,大力促进全省有线网络又好又快地发展.应采取的对策包括融通资金渠道、加快台网分离步伐、打造有竞争力的传媒集团、加快"三网融合"进程、引导有线网络向农村辐射、推进相关产业发展以及促进有线网络管理能力和竞争实力的提升等.     

P2P技术与网络传播的未来

伴随着P2P技术和商业应用的发展,P2P技术对于未来网络传播可能产生的影响也成为一个令 人关注的问题。从目前来看,P2P技术对于网络传播的影响主要包括以下几方面:网络信息共享与 利用的方式与程度将进一步改变;围绕P2P技术思想展开的软件与信息产品开发,将在一定程度上 决定作为媒体的网络的未来面貌;P2P带来的去中心化特点将使互联网管理的难度进一步增加; P2P可能成为媒体间的交流与合作的新平台,也可能加速媒体形态的演化。从总体看,P2P技术未 来的社会影响程度,取决于政治、经济等各种力量的博弈结果,而这也将最终影响着互联网的未来。     

技术载动社会：中国互联网接入二十年

人类社会创造了科学技术,科学技术又反过来造福于人类社会,技术与社会总是在相互作用中彼此推进的.互联网不同于以往人类历史上的任何一项技术创新,它对人类社会和生活所产生影响的深度和广度,都是前所未有的.互联网接入中国二十年的历史启示在于,其开放与协作的技术逻辑不仅始终引领互联网自身的发展,更是越来越深刻地影响并改变着我们社会的现在及未来.     

1958—1965年中国邮政网路发展及其影响探析

邮政网路是强化通信事业发展、促进社会进步的必要条件。自“一五计划”后的1958年至“文革”前的1965年,随着我国邮政网路的持续建设,邮政局所在精简中不断发展,且机动运输邮路取得长足进展,邮政运输工具特别是机械化工具获得了大幅进步,进而促进邮政相关业务发展,并对国民经济恢复和建设产生重要影响。     

改进的人工神经网络方法在农业现代化综合评价中的应用

该文将因子分析的方法引入人工神经网络,运用于农业现代化多指标综合评价,克服了人工神经网络在多指标情况下预测精度降低的不足,为农业现代化综合评价的研究方法提出了新的思路。     

Child protection decision-making

The effects of interagency collaboration on risk assessment in child protection practice were analysed in respect of the decision-making processes in child death inquiries. Universal features in the assessment of risk as identified in psychological literature were applied; in particular, the concepts of ‘groupthink’, the ‘certainty effect’ and ‘group polarization’. It is suggested that case conference decisions are inherently more risky than those taken by professionals with individual responsibility because of the way in which cases are framed in terms of losses.     

Modeling Demand For Unionization With Nontraditional Data Analysis Methods

Upon reviewing the extant literature on determinants of unionism, it becomes clear that many areas that have had a plethora of research attention do not converge upon singularly directional findings. This study explores a potential cause of such an apparent anomaly: nonlinearity of data. An exploratory examination of correlation coefficients among typical union determinant variables seems to show different patterns of relationships at different levels of union demand. Thus, a break from traditional linear data analysis techniques is explored in the interest of explaining more variance with typical, theoretically derived variables by using neural network analysis. Results of analyses on industry level data reveal that using neural network analysis to model union demand explained over four times as much variance as multiple regression analysis.     

Job loss and family adjustments in work and schooling during the Mexican peso crisis

We use individual data from a panel of families during the depth of the peso crisis in Mexico to investigate whether the transition of the male household head from employment into unemployment affects the labor force participation of his spouse and children. We find that significant added-worker effects are in operation especially for adult females (wives), but no evidence that the labor force participation, the school attendance, and the likelihood of advancing to the next school grade of teenage males are influenced by the event of unemployment of the household head. The head's unemployment is significantly associated with a higher probability that teenage females do not attend school. However, lower attendance does not appear to impede their advancement to the next grade.

数字经济对地区经济增长差距的影响效应分析

文章基于中国30个省(自治区、直辖市)2013—2020年的面板数据,运用固定效应模型、中介效应模型和空间杜宾模型等方法,实证检验了数字经济发展对地区经济的影响及其传导机制。研究发现,数字经济发展显著缩小地区之间的经济差距,运用工具变量估计、替换被解释变量、剔除异常值等方法进行稳健性检验后,该结论依然成立。中介效应分析表明,地区创新能力是数字经济缩小地区间经济差距的重要机制。空间溢出效应分析表明,数字经济发展对地区间经济增长差距的缩小具有负向的溢出效应。空间异质性分析表明,东部地区数字经济发展对地区经济增长差距的缩小效应相比中部、西部地区更显著;南、北方的异质性分析表明,北方地区数字经济发展对地区经济增长差距的缩小的积极作用比南方更显著。最后,为我国发展数字经济、充分发挥数字经济对缩小地区经济差距,实现地区间协调发展提出政策建议。     

校园媒体对大学校园文化建设的功能探析

校园媒体对大学校园文化建设的主要功能是舆论引导功能和文化上的同构建设功能。深受世界范围内媒体环境变革的影响,校园媒体对校园文化建设的功能面临新挑战。为应对这一挑战,校园媒体在舆论引导功能上要加强舆论导向与传播效果的统一、党性原则与受众意识的统一;在媒介文化建设上要深入研究“三贴近”方法,办有亲和力的校园权威媒体。本文同时还探讨了新形势下校园媒体新作用的正负效应及相应对策。