全文获取类型
收费全文 | 5423篇 |
免费 | 178篇 |
国内免费 | 45篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 471篇 |
民族学 | 2篇 |
人口学 | 58篇 |
丛书文集 | 61篇 |
理论方法论 | 60篇 |
综合类 | 876篇 |
社会学 | 49篇 |
统计学 | 4069篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 1篇 |
2023年 | 35篇 |
2022年 | 46篇 |
2021年 | 46篇 |
2020年 | 103篇 |
2019年 | 190篇 |
2018年 | 206篇 |
2017年 | 335篇 |
2016年 | 172篇 |
2015年 | 143篇 |
2014年 | 177篇 |
2013年 | 1371篇 |
2012年 | 470篇 |
2011年 | 172篇 |
2010年 | 191篇 |
2009年 | 197篇 |
2008年 | 188篇 |
2007年 | 171篇 |
2006年 | 172篇 |
2005年 | 168篇 |
2004年 | 141篇 |
2003年 | 116篇 |
2002年 | 104篇 |
2001年 | 95篇 |
2000年 | 80篇 |
1999年 | 84篇 |
1998年 | 74篇 |
1997年 | 60篇 |
1996年 | 38篇 |
1995年 | 39篇 |
1994年 | 34篇 |
1993年 | 29篇 |
1992年 | 36篇 |
1991年 | 16篇 |
1990年 | 23篇 |
1989年 | 14篇 |
1988年 | 19篇 |
1987年 | 13篇 |
1986年 | 6篇 |
1985年 | 7篇 |
1984年 | 16篇 |
1983年 | 15篇 |
1982年 | 8篇 |
1981年 | 5篇 |
1980年 | 1篇 |
1979年 | 7篇 |
1978年 | 6篇 |
1977年 | 3篇 |
1975年 | 2篇 |
1973年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有5646条查询结果,搜索用时 46 毫秒
1.
When a candidate predictive marker is available, but evidence on its predictive ability is not sufficiently reliable, all‐comers trials with marker stratification are frequently conducted. We propose a framework for planning and evaluating prospective testing strategies in confirmatory, phase III marker‐stratified clinical trials based on a natural assumption on heterogeneity of treatment effects across marker‐defined subpopulations, where weak rather than strong control is permitted for multiple population tests. For phase III marker‐stratified trials, it is expected that treatment efficacy is established in a particular patient population, possibly in a marker‐defined subpopulation, and that the marker accuracy is assessed when the marker is used to restrict the indication or labelling of the treatment to a marker‐based subpopulation, ie, assessment of the clinical validity of the marker. In this paper, we develop statistical testing strategies based on criteria that are explicitly designated to the marker assessment, including those examining treatment effects in marker‐negative patients. As existing and developed statistical testing strategies can assert treatment efficacy for either the overall patient population or the marker‐positive subpopulation, we also develop criteria for evaluating the operating characteristics of the statistical testing strategies based on the probabilities of asserting treatment efficacy across marker subpopulations. Numerical evaluations to compare the statistical testing strategies based on the developed criteria are provided. 相似文献
2.
A. M. Abd El-Raheem 《Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation》2019,89(16):3075-3104
The generalized half-normal (GHN) distribution and progressive type-II censoring are considered in this article for studying some statistical inferences of constant-stress accelerated life testing. The EM algorithm is considered to calculate the maximum likelihood estimates. Fisher information matrix is formed depending on the missing information law and it is utilized for structuring the asymptomatic confidence intervals. Further, interval estimation is discussed through bootstrap intervals. The Tierney and Kadane method, importance sampling procedure and Metropolis-Hastings algorithm are utilized to compute Bayesian estimates. Furthermore, predictive estimates for censored data and the related prediction intervals are obtained. We consider three optimality criteria to find out the optimal stress level. A real data set is used to illustrate the importance of GHN distribution as an alternative lifetime model for well-known distributions. Finally, a simulation study is provided with discussion. 相似文献
3.
在装备采购中,由于需求单位地域分布和担负的任务各不相同,对装备的品种、数量、时限要求也就不一样,如何使装备采购科学化、合理化,是一个涉及多变量、多目标的复杂系统问题。在综合考虑装备采购各项因素的基础上,构建多约束条件下的多目标模糊指派模型,提出了基于遗传算法的解决方案,最后通过案例进行仿真实验,验证该算法的可行性和有效性,解决了采用传统优化方法难以解决的装备采购优化决策问题。 相似文献
4.
Bioequivalence (BE) studies are designed to show that two formulations of one drug are equivalent and they play an important role in drug development. When in a design stage, it is possible that there is a high degree of uncertainty on variability of the formulations and the actual performance of the test versus reference formulation. Therefore, an interim look may be desirable to stop the study if there is no chance of claiming BE at the end (futility), or claim BE if evidence is sufficient (efficacy), or adjust the sample size. Sequential design approaches specially for BE studies have been proposed previously in publications. We applied modification to the existing methods focusing on simplified multiplicity adjustment and futility stopping. We name our method modified sequential design for BE studies (MSDBE). Simulation results demonstrate comparable performance between MSDBE and the original published methods while MSDBE offers more transparency and better applicability. The R package MSDBE is available at https://sites.google.com/site/modsdbe/ . Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
5.
Hadi Emami 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2020,49(8):1793-1800
AbstractIn this article we develop the minimax estimation approach of general linear models to the semiparametric linear models when the parameters are simultaneously constrained by an ellipsoid and linear restrictions. Combining sample information and prior constraints the minimax estimator is obtained and compared with partially least square estimator by theoretical and simulation methods. 相似文献
6.
依据GSM协议,结合GSM数字移动通信系统信号传输的特点,给出了基于GSM系统的带软输出结构的MLSE接收机的设计方案,阐述了MLSE接收机的实现算法。实际环境的试验结果表明:工程实现的MLSE接收机具有良好的工作性能和一定的实际应用价值。 相似文献
7.
SαS稳定分布是一类非常重要的非高斯随机分布,具有这类分布的噪声称为冲激噪声。在冲激噪声情况下,α阶以上的矩均不存在,导致基于二阶矩的高斯模型算法性能下降,甚至不能正常工作。该文提出了一种在冲激噪声环境下线性调频信号特征参数估计的算法,通过分析冲激噪声的具体特点,给出了修正的低阶矩模糊函数,并结合Radon变换估计了冲激噪声环境下LFM信号的参数。该算法既可应用于冲激噪声下,又可应用于高斯噪声环境,故具有较好的鲁棒性。最后用计算机仿真验证了该算法的有效性。 相似文献
8.
提出了一种基于小波变换的管理数据处理方法,把公司管理上的数据看成一个非平稳的时间序列,利用小渡函数将该时间序列分解到不同的频率通道上,然后将分解后的信号当作近似的平稳时间序列,用一些传统的统计方法进行预测,同时对中国足球彩票若干期的销售量数据进行了处理和预测,并将结果与实际销量以及用传统的AR模型的预测值进行了比较。 相似文献
9.
10.
OLIVIER CAPPÉ RANDAL DOUC ERIC MOULINES & CHRISTIAN ROBERT 《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》2002,29(4):615-635
While much used in practice, latent variable models raise challenging estimation problems due to the intractability of their likelihood. Monte Carlo maximum likelihood (MCML), as proposed by Geyer & Thompson (1992 ), is a simulation-based approach to maximum likelihood approximation applicable to general latent variable models. MCML can be described as an importance sampling method in which the likelihood ratio is approximated by Monte Carlo averages of importance ratios simulated from the complete data model corresponding to an arbitrary value of the unknown parameter. This paper studies the asymptotic (in the number of observations) performance of the MCML method in the case of latent variable models with independent observations. This is in contrast with previous works on the same topic which only considered conditional convergence to the maximum likelihood estimator, for a fixed set of observations. A first important result is that when is fixed, the MCML method can only be consistent if the number of simulations grows exponentially fast with the number of observations. If on the other hand, is obtained from a consistent sequence of estimates of the unknown parameter, then the requirements on the number of simulations are shown to be much weaker. 相似文献