首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   2820篇
  免费   73篇
  国内免费   31篇
管理学   250篇
民族学   16篇
人口学   26篇
丛书文集   247篇
理论方法论   94篇
综合类   1390篇
社会学   65篇
统计学   836篇
  2024年   4篇
  2023年   9篇
  2022年   28篇
  2021年   24篇
  2020年   44篇
  2019年   41篇
  2018年   66篇
  2017年   126篇
  2016年   72篇
  2015年   80篇
  2014年   127篇
  2013年   436篇
  2012年   173篇
  2011年   136篇
  2010年   123篇
  2009年   135篇
  2008年   147篇
  2007年   152篇
  2006年   158篇
  2005年   174篇
  2004年   135篇
  2003年   119篇
  2002年   94篇
  2001年   89篇
  2000年   63篇
  1999年   34篇
  1998年   16篇
  1997年   13篇
  1996年   21篇
  1995年   9篇
  1994年   11篇
  1993年   15篇
  1992年   11篇
  1991年   3篇
  1990年   6篇
  1989年   6篇
  1988年   2篇
  1987年   2篇
  1986年   2篇
  1985年   2篇
  1984年   2篇
  1983年   4篇
  1982年   5篇
  1980年   1篇
  1978年   2篇
  1976年   1篇
  1975年   1篇
排序方式: 共有2924条查询结果,搜索用时 0 毫秒
121.
In this paper, we consider simultaneous confidence intervals for all-pairwise comparisons of treatment means in a one-way layout under heteroscedasticity. Two kinds of simultaneous intervals are provided based on the fiducial generalized pivotal quantities of the interest parameters. We prove that they both have asymptotically correct coverage. Simulation results and an example are also reported. It is concluded from calculational evidence that the second kind of simultaneous confidence intervals, which we provide, performs better than existing methods.  相似文献   
122.
Comparisons of best linear unbiased estimators with some other prominent estimators have been carried out over the last 50 years since the ground breaking work of Lloyd [E.H. Lloyd, Least squares estimation of location and scale parameters using order statistics, Biometrika 39 (1952), pp. 88–95]. These comparisons have been made under many different criteria across different parametric families of distributions. A noteworthy one is by Nagaraja [H.N. Nagaraja, Comparison of estimators and predictors from two-parameter exponential distribution, Sankhyā Ser. B 48 (1986), pp. 10–18], who made a comparison of best linear unbiased (BLUE) and best linear invariant (BLIE) estimators in the case of exponential distribution. In this paper, continuing along the same lines by assuming a Type II right censored sample from a scaled-exponential distribution, we first compare BLUE and BLIE of the exponential mean parameter in terms of Pitman closeness (nearness) criterion. We show that the BLUE is always Pitman closer than the BLIE. Next, we introduce the notions of Pitman monotonicity and Pitman consistency, and then establish that both BLUE and BLIE possess these two properties.  相似文献   
123.
In this paper, we investigate the selecting performances of a bootstrapped version of the Akaike information criterion for nonlinear self-exciting threshold autoregressive-type data generating processes. Empirical results will be obtained via Monte Carlo simulations. The quality of our method is assessed by comparison with its non-bootstrap counterpart and through a novel procedure based on artificial neural networks.  相似文献   
124.
In reliability theory, risk analysis, renewal processes and actuarial studies, the residual lifetimes data play an important essential role in studying the conditional tail of the lifetime data. In this paper, based on some observed ordered residual Weibull data, we introduce different prediction methods for obtaining prediction intervals (PIs) of future residual lifetimes including likelihood, Wald, moments, parametric bootstrap, and highest conditional methods. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to compare the performances of the so obtained PIs and one data analysis is performed for illustration purposes.  相似文献   
125.
ABSTRACT

We consider the use of modern likelihood asymptotics in the construction of confidence intervals for the parameter which determines the skewness of the distribution of the maximum/minimum of an exchangeable bivariate normal random vector. Simulation studies were conducted to investigate the accuracy of the proposed methods and to compare them to available alternatives. Accuracy is evaluated in terms of both coverage probability and expected length of the interval. We furthermore illustrate the suitability of our proposals by means of two data sets, consisting of, respectively, measurements taken on the brains of 10 mono-zygotic twins and measurements of mineral content of bones in the dominant and non-dominant arms for 25 elderly women.  相似文献   
126.
A simulation study was carried out to compare the performances of two different simple estimators of the location parameter for a three-parameter Weibull distribution Both Estimators have been suggested by recent paper in the literature. Bras and mean square error are examined for many different sample-size and shape-parameter-value combinations. Strong evidence of the domination of one estimator over the other is found.  相似文献   
127.
Some degree of error is inevitable in multi‐agent bioassays regardless of design or measurement technology. Estimation error can be reduced post facto by exploiting the matrix partial ordering of the bioassay survival estimates. The standard method for this is order‐restricted regression (ORR). If the joint action of the bioassay agents admits a tolerance‐based interpretation, additional structure beyond matrix partial ordering is available, leading to a new method of error reduction. This tolerance‐based error reduction (TBER) procedure almost always outperforms ORR. Like ORR, TBER applies to complete factorial bioassay designs and, using weighting, to incomplete designs.  相似文献   
128.
英汉名词性成分的语法化--兼论英语句法语序   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
英汉名词及名词词组的构造、语法化、词序与词序变化过程显示:语言结构从句法到词法的发展过程中,存在语序调整或不明显调整两种情况,并依不同语言的语法特点而定。英语从句法到词法过程中经历语序调整,汉语则呈现词序与句序相互映照的关系。语言间的这种不统一使得以今天的词法构拟远古句法的设想并不能在所有语言中都可靠。另外,某些表面似与句法有关的词语结构并不来自于句法的演变,这是又一使得以上设想不可靠的因素。  相似文献   
129.
This article examines how the sheer volume of personal information recorded and searchable online (online artifacts) has transformed the situated activity system central to Goffman's dramaturgical theories. In‐depth interviews reveal that individuals believe disembodied information based on online artifacts is a more accurate representation of others than embodied information from spatially and temporally bounded face‐to‐face (FTF) processes because they represent how others have behaved over time and are attested by their online contacts. However, the n‐adic structure of online interaction leads to mismatched expectations about whether disembodied information is taken into account during FTF encounters, and consequently can result in embarrassment.  相似文献   
130.
Children's self-attribution of social emotions was hypothesised (i) to be related to their second-order belief-understanding and (ii) to be more strongly related to social- conventional than moral rule violations. Thirty children aged between 4 and 7 years were presented with Sullivan, Zaitchik & Tager-Flusberg's (1994) second-order false belief task and with four hypothetical scenarios in which they were required to imagine that they had violated particular moral and social conventional rules. As predicted, the self-attribution of social emotions was significantly related to second-order belief understanding, primarily in social-conventional rather than moral contexts.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号