Testing the dilation order by using cumulative residual Tsallis entropy

In this paper, we introduce a new test for the dilation order based on cumulative residual Tsallis entropy of order α. The effect of the values of parameter α on the power of the test statistics is numerically investigated. The asymptotic distribution of the test statistic is given. The performance of the test statistic is evaluated using a simulation study. Finally, some numerical examples illustrating the theory are also given.     

A misspecification test for the higher order co-moments of the factor model

The traditional estimation of higher order co-moments of non-normal random variables by the sample analog of the expectation faces a curse of dimensionality, as the number of parameters increases steeply when the dimension increases. Imposing a factor structure on the process solves this problem; however, it leads to the challenging task of selecting an appropriate factor model. This paper contributes by proposing a test that exploits the following feature: when the factor model is correctly specified, the higher order co-moments of the unexplained return variation are sparse. It recommends a general to specific approach for selecting the factor model by choosing the most parsimonious specification for which the sparsity assumption is satisfied. This approach uses a Wald or Gumbel test statistic for testing the joint statistical significance of the co-moments that are zero when the factor model is correctly specified. The asymptotic distribution of the test is derived. An extensive simulation study confirms the good finite sample properties of the approach. This paper illustrates the practical usefulness of factor selection on daily returns of random subsets of S&P 100 constituents.     

Accurate computation of single and product moments of order statistics under progressive censoring

An accurate procedure is proposed to calculate approximate moments of progressive order statistics in the context of statistical inference for lifetime models. The study analyses the performance of power series expansion to approximate the moments for location and scale distributions with high precision and smaller deviations with respect to the exact values. A comparative analysis between exact and approximate methods is shown using some tables and figures. The different approximations are applied in two situations. First, we consider the problem of computing the large sample variance–covariance matrix of maximum likelihood estimators. We also use the approximations to obtain progressively censored sampling plans for log-normal distributed data. These problems illustrate that the presented procedure is highly useful to compute the moments with precision for numerous censoring patterns and, in many cases, is the only valid method because the exact calculation may not be applicable.     

A new aging concept derived from the increasing convex ordering

In this paper, a comparison between the life distribution of a new unit with that of a used unit in the increasing convex order is made leading to a new class of life distributions which we call “new better than used in convex ordering of second order”. This class includes as subclasses the NBU and the NBUC and is a subclass of the NBUCA class. Preservation properties under convolution, random maxima, mixing and formation of coherent structures are established. Stochastic comparisons of the excess lifetime when the inter-arrival times belong to the NBUC(2) class are developed. Some applications of Poisson shock models and a test of exponentiality against NBUC(2) alternative are presented.     

信息不对称下价格随机的应急数量折扣契约研究

以市场需求和市场价格随机波动的二级供应链为研究对象,寻找其在信息不对称条件下绩效优化的路径。通过显示原理分别构建生产成本和销售成本信息不对称时应急供应链的数量折扣契约模型,得到最优订货量与最佳批发价策略。通过具体的算例加以验证,分析了信息不对称程度对供应链上成员及整个供应链绩效的影响。研究结果表明：当突发事件造成市场价格随机波动和市场需求变化时,供应链上的跟随者能从隐瞒私人信息中获利。但当市场需求增大时,整个供应链绩效受损,反之则反是。这与以往研究在市场需求随机、市场价格固定和信息不对称条件下的结论迥异。     

连续物料订单分拣完全-并行限定(k=1)轮询控制机理

中国是粮食生产大国和人口大国,粮食问题对于我国经济社会的发展具有举足轻重的影响。现有粮食供应链"层层批发"的流通体制不能满足消费者个性化需求。所以,本文基于客户的个性化需求,应用轮询系统理论来研究面粉、大米等粮食连续物料的订单分拣自动化控制机理。本文根据实际业务需求设定普通订单、优先订单,对优先订单的分拣实行完全服务控制策略,对普通订单分拣实行限定（k=1）服务控制策略,建立完全-并行限定（k=1）的二级优先级订单分拣轮询控制系统模型,确保优先业务订单顾客得到更优质服务,同时保证订单分拣系统的公平性。采用嵌入式Markov链、多维概率母函数和拉式变换求解理论模型,并通过数值计算分析,精确求解其一阶系统特性、二阶系统特性等关键性能参数,从而深入研究连续物料订单分拣的控制机理。     

单窃听双跳协作网络的中继选择方案及其性能分析

研究了安全通信意义下,单向译码转发（decode-and-forward,DF）协作无线网络的中继选择问题。针对窃听者既能获得信源发出的信号,又能窃取中继节点转发数据的通信系统,提出了3种中继选择方案来对抗窃听者,增强系统物理层安全性。其中,方案一选择到窃听者信噪比（signal-to-noise ratio,SNR）最小的中继节点;方案二为最大最小（max-min）选择方案,即选择信源到中继节点和中继节点到信宿的较差信噪比中最大值所对应的中继节点;方案三根据窃听信道和主信道的瞬时信道状态信息（channel state information,CSI）选择使得窃听网络有最大保密容量的中继节点。在对各方案的性能分析过程中,得到了各中继选择方案拦截概率的闭式表示,进一步对拦截概率作渐近分析,获得了各中继选择方案的分集阶数。具体地,方案一的分集阶数为1,另外2个中继选择方案的分集阶数均为中继节点个数M。数值结果验证了理论分析得到的结论。     

良知与全球秩序的构建

人类在“现代性”催动下的互动日益频繁,相互依赖更加深入,松散没有统一秩序但又紧密不可分割的人类共同体正在形成之中,人类共同体的伦理与法律秩序也在慢慢衍生。伦理秩序建设中的首要问题是共同的基础性的道德价值认知的协调与确认;从对康德和罗尔斯的批判考察看,法律秩序的基础也要回溯到文化观念的协调与认同上来。这样,一个普遍性的超越区域与个别宗教但又能起到沟通联结作用的基础性的道德概念急需建立,儒家的“良知”概念可以发挥这一方面的作用。     

日语的强调表达方式

在现代日语中,强调表达方式呈现多样化。本文以现代日语强调表达方式作为考察对象,指出日语表达方式的多样性。     

数字化时代网络信息传播秩序重构的内在逻辑与行动策略

数字技术使信息传播渠道从单一向“网络立体化”转变,信息传播主体从“中心化”向“分散化”转变,信息传播环境从“真实化”向“拟态化”转变,信息传播出现了“混沌”与“失序”现象。“坚持人本理念”是网络信息传播秩序重构的基本逻辑,“信息资源与要素的再整合”是网络信息传播秩序重构的基础条件,“智能化信息平台决策机制”是网络信息传播秩序重构的保障。在信息传播秩序重构的过程中,需要强化技术体系与网络体系的链接,搭建多层次信息流动与传播的网络空间;需要加强对社会生活空间与产业的数字化改造,促使现实世界向虚拟世界迁移;需要催生全新的元宇宙信息场域,构建与现实世界映射与交互的虚拟世界。