中国海洋服务业关联度分析及对策建议

为了更准确地反映中国海洋服务业的发展动态及产业内部间的相互影响,本文采用灰色系统关联理论,分别以中国海洋服务业增加值和海洋服务业内部三种海洋产业作为参考亭列建立指标体系进行灰色关联度分析。研究结果表明,中国海洋服务业经济内部的优势产业依次为海洋科研教育管理服务业、海洋交通运输业、海洋旅游业,并据此提出了相关建议。     

大规模定制物流服务能力的构成分析

本文在界定大规模定制物流服务能力的基础上,通过分析大规模定制物流服务过程及其对能力要求,提出了大规模定制物流能力的一种综合能力,由技术能力、市场识拓子能力、组织管理在能力以及资源与流程子能力构成,各子能力需要不同的资源支撑,并分析了各子能力要素与资源的关系。     

Unemployed and their caseworkers: should they be friends or foes?

Summary.  In many countries, caseworkers in public employment offices have dual roles of counselling and monitoring unemployed people. These roles often conflict, which results in important caseworker heterogeneity: some consider providing services to their clients and satisfying their demands as their primary task. However, others may pursue their own strategies, even against the will of the unemployed person. They may assign jobs and labour market programmes without the consent of the unemployed person. On the basis of a very detailed linked jobseeker–caseworker data set for Switzerland, we investigate the effects of caseworkers' co-operativeness on the probabilities of employment of their clients. Modified statistical matching methods reveal that caseworkers who place less emphasis on a co-operative and harmonic relationship with their clients increase their chances of employment in the short and medium term.     

The forgotten half: analysing the politics of welfare services

Jensen C. The forgotten half: analysing the politics of welfare services Int J Soc Welfare 2011: 20: 404–412 © 2010 The Author(s), International Journal of Social Welfare © 2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd and the International Journal of Social Welfare. This article discusses the welfare state and argues that the service component has been neglected in the mainstream literature. A main reason for the neglect is the lack of theorising on the distinction between the politics of welfare services and the politics of transfers. An analytical framework that may help overcome this problem is presented.     

中巴自贸区服务贸易开放水平评估、提升方向及对策建议

借鉴卡尔斯坦·菲恩克和马丁·莫林尤沃的研究方法,本文对中巴自贸区服务贸易开放水平进行了测度,结果显示中巴服务贸易协定分别是中、巴对外服务开放程度最高的区域服务贸易安排。在中巴服务贸易协定中,中巴给予彼此的＂GATS＋＂承诺相对集中于＂商业＂、＂通讯＂和＂运输＂部门,且＂GATS＋＂承诺多表现于在服务提供模式3（多以＂允许外资拥有更多股权＂的形式出现）。从中巴服务部门竞争力对比状况和各自服务贸易开放实践视角出发,本文对中巴服务贸易协定下,中巴服务贸易进一步深入开放方向进行了研判,结果表明中方会在＂建筑＂、＂金融＂、＂旅游＂和＂商业＂部门,巴方会在＂通讯＂、＂商业＂和＂运输＂部门优先做出更深入承诺。最后,本文给出了一系列对策建议。     

环境污染、经济增长与医疗卫生服务对公共健康的影响分析——基于中国省际面板数据的研究

环境污染与经济增长对居民的公共健康水平有重要影响,但基于面板数据对此问题分区域的研究较少。本文在Grossman健康生产函数的基础上加入环境污染等多重因素,使用中国30个省市区1997年到2010年的面板数据,建立个体固定效应模型,将我国划分为东部、中部和西部三个区域,实证分析了环境污染、经济增长与医疗卫生服务对不同区域居民公共健康的影响及其差异。研究发现:环境污染、经济增长、医疗卫生服务与居民公共健康存在长期均衡的协整关系,经济增长与全国、东部和中部的公共健康关系呈现倒U型的特征;具体而言:东部区域,曲线已达到拐点,中部区域,当人均GDP为3311元时,曲线达到拐点;全国以及东、中、西部区域,工业烟尘排放量与人口死亡率呈正向关关系,工业二氧化硫排放量与人口死亡率只在中部地区显著正相关;全国、东部和中部区域人均医生数与人口死亡率呈显著负相关,西部地区未呈现这一特性;人均医疗保健支出与人口死亡率在中部地区显著负相关,医疗卫生服务可有效减少环境污染对居民的健康威胁。因此,制定差别化的环境污染、经济增长与医疗服务政策等有利于提升全国以及东中西部居民的公共健康水平。     

Development of an evidence‐informed in‐home family services model for families and children at risk of abuse and neglect

This paper describes the components of a programme designed to prevent child maltreatment which includes the promising practices of a continuous engagement process, cognitive‐behavioural parent and skill teaching, and development of formal and informal supports for families. The programme was also designed to be implemented wide scale. Methods for assessment of strengths and needs, individualization of goals and intervention strategies, and assessment of goal achievement are also described. Finally, preliminary results of a programme implementation fidelity and outcome evaluation are summarized. The authors conclude that this programme is ready for a more rigorous efficacy trial to continue to build the evidence base for this promising intervention addressing a prevalent social problem.     

大数据背景下智慧医养护一体化5I模式研究

从虚拟价值视角出发,着眼于智慧医养护大数据增值,搭建了智慧医养护大数据平台,并基于该平台构建了智慧医养护一体化5I模式。5I模式是一种以智能设备（Intelligent devices）为依托、以信息（Information）为载体、以整合（Integrate）为处理手段、以个性化（Individualized）与即时化（Immediate）为服务目标的智慧医养护一体化养老模式,利用大数据技术使服务需求主体（老年群体）、服务供给主体（社区、医院、护理院）、服务责任主体（政府、老人子女）都能及时获取完整的智慧医养护数据,并基于数据分析与数据挖掘,提供给老年群体快速精准的智慧医养护一体化服务,并建立完善的全周期监管服务体系。此外,从内外部详尽分析了5I模式的保障机制,以期实现智慧医养护一体化服务产业化,从而解决我国的养老诉求。     

基于认知视角下焦虑心理对大学生英语学习语言输出的影响

焦虑是一种特殊情感因素的反应,是大学生英语学习中普遍存在的现象,尤其在语言输出时,该影响特别突出。其产生与个体的认知特征和认知规律紧密相关。从认知视角入手,分析焦虑心理对大学生英语学习中输出的影响,通过开展合作＂教与学＂及减少输出时焦虑的认知干扰因素,可以降低焦虑对英语学习输出的影响程度。     

Multifamily therapy in the community mental health network: A pragmatic randomized and controlled study

Multifamily therapy (MFT) is a psychotherapeutic group intervention for patients with severe mental disorders (SMDs) and their families. The present study is a multicenter, randomized, and controlled trial that analyzes the benefit of MFT during outpatient treatment. The recruited patients were randomly assigned to the experimental group (n = 26), which received 24 MFT sessions in addition to their treatment as usual (TAU), or to the control group (n = 29), which received only TAU (individual and family sessions). Six months after the inclusion in the MFT, the experimental group showed a significant decrease in number of visits to the psychiatric emergency services, number of psychiatric admissions, and the days of admission. The need for hospital care 6 months after recruitment was also lower in the experimental group compared to the control group. These results suggest that the implementation of MFT during outpatient treatment facilitates community management of people diagnosed with mental health problems.