首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   5704篇
  免费   175篇
  国内免费   36篇
管理学   644篇
劳动科学   1篇
民族学   6篇
人口学   94篇
丛书文集   99篇
理论方法论   283篇
综合类   774篇
社会学   288篇
统计学   3726篇
  2024年   3篇
  2023年   37篇
  2022年   42篇
  2021年   57篇
  2020年   102篇
  2019年   186篇
  2018年   232篇
  2017年   329篇
  2016年   180篇
  2015年   172篇
  2014年   198篇
  2013年   1218篇
  2012年   398篇
  2011年   198篇
  2010年   200篇
  2009年   218篇
  2008年   219篇
  2007年   226篇
  2006年   206篇
  2005年   213篇
  2004年   165篇
  2003年   150篇
  2002年   139篇
  2001年   134篇
  2000年   105篇
  1999年   91篇
  1998年   73篇
  1997年   62篇
  1996年   40篇
  1995年   34篇
  1994年   42篇
  1993年   32篇
  1992年   36篇
  1991年   25篇
  1990年   26篇
  1989年   24篇
  1988年   22篇
  1987年   13篇
  1986年   8篇
  1985年   10篇
  1984年   7篇
  1983年   15篇
  1982年   9篇
  1981年   3篇
  1980年   4篇
  1979年   4篇
  1978年   4篇
  1977年   3篇
  1976年   1篇
排序方式: 共有5915条查询结果,搜索用时 703 毫秒
141.
The estimation of the mixtures of regression models is usually based on the normal assumption of components and maximum likelihood estimation of the normal components is sensitive to noise, outliers, or high-leverage points. Missing values are inevitable in many situations and parameter estimates could be biased if the missing values are not handled properly. In this article, we propose the mixtures of regression models for contaminated incomplete heterogeneous data. The proposed models provide robust estimates of regression coefficients varying across latent subgroups even under the presence of missing values. The methodology is illustrated through simulation studies and a real data analysis.  相似文献   
142.
We consider the estimation of the conditional hazard function of a scalar response variable Y given a Hilbertian random variable X when the observations are linked via a single-index structure in the quasi-associated framework. We establish the pointwise almost complete convergence and the uniform almost complete convergence (with the rate) of the estimate of this model. A simulation is given to illustrate the good behavior in the practice of our methodology.  相似文献   
143.
In this article, we propose a general class of partially linear transformation models for recurrent gap time data, which extends the linear transformation models by incorporating non linear covariate effects and includes the partially linear proportional hazards and the partially linear proportional odds models as special cases. Both global and local estimating equations are developed to estimate the parametric and non parametric covariate effects, and the asymptotic properties of the resulting estimators are established. The finite-sample behavior of the proposed estimators is evaluated through simulation studies, and an application to a clinic study on chronic granulomatous disease is provided.  相似文献   
144.
The ability to work at older ages depends on health and education. Both accumulate starting very early in life. We assess how childhood disadvantages combine with education to affect working and health trajectories. Applying multistate period life tables to data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) for the period 2008–2014, we estimate how the residual life expectancy at age 50 is distributed in number of years of work and disability, by number of childhood disadvantages, gender, and race/ethnicity. Our findings indicate that number of childhood disadvantages is negatively associated with work and positively with disability, irrespective of gender and race/ethnicity. Childhood disadvantages intersect with low education resulting in shorter lives, and redistributing life years from work to disability. Among the highly educated, health and work differences between groups of childhood disadvantage are small. Combining multistate models and inverse probability weighting, we show that the return of high education is greater among the most disadvantaged.  相似文献   
145.
This article examines how young Filipino men looking to work in international seafaring deploy servitude as a means of attaining education-to-work transition. It focuses on those applying to work for free as ‘utility men’ (gofer or flunkey) in Manila’s manning and crewing agencies that supply seafarers to ship operators around the world in exchange for the promise of boarding a ship. Based on participant observation and life history interviews, the article accounts for how they transform their servitude into diskarte – strategy by which they navigate the limited employment opportunities in the Philippines – by constructing their ‘utility manning’ as an informal and negotiated pathway to employment. The young Filipino men’s seeking and enduring servitude, geared towards gleaning better social possibilities, becomes a profoundly rational act of investing in and securing their future.  相似文献   
146.
Focusing on the model selection problems in the family of Poisson mixture models (including the Poisson mixture regression model with random effects and zero‐inflated Poisson regression model with random effects), the current paper derives two conditional Akaike information criteria. The criteria are the unbiased estimators of the conditional Akaike information based on the conditional log‐likelihood and the conditional Akaike information based on the joint log‐likelihood, respectively. The derivation is free from the specific parametric assumptions about the conditional mean of the true data‐generating model and applies to different types of estimation methods. Additionally, the derivation is not based on the asymptotic argument. Simulations show that the proposed criteria have promising estimation accuracy. In addition, it is found that the criterion based on the conditional log‐likelihood demonstrates good model selection performance under different scenarios. Two sets of real data are used to illustrate the proposed method.  相似文献   
147.
We introduce a general class of continuous univariate distributions with positive support obtained by transforming the class of two-piece distributions. We show that this class of distributions is very flexible, easy to implement, and contains members that can capture different tail behaviours and shapes, producing also a variety of hazard functions. The proposed distributions represent a flexible alternative to the classical choices such as the log-normal, Gamma, and Weibull distributions. We investigate empirically the inferential properties of the proposed models through an extensive simulation study. We present some applications using real data in the contexts of time-to-event and accelerated failure time models. In the second kind of applications, we explore the use of these models in the estimation of the distribution of the individual remaining life.  相似文献   
148.
The Perron test which is based on a Dickey–Fuller test regression is a commonly employed approach to test for a unit root in the presence of a structural break of unknown timing. In the case of an innovational outlier (IO), the Perron test tends to exhibit spurious rejections in finite samples when the break occurs under the null hypothesis. In the present paper, a new Perron-type IO unit root test is developed. It is shown in Monte Carlo experiments that the new test does not over-reject the null hypothesis. Even for the case of a level and slope break for trending data, the empirical size is near its nominal level. The test distribution equals the case of a known break date. Furthermore, the test is able to identify the true break date very accurately even for small breaks. As an application serves the Nelson–Plosser data set.  相似文献   
149.
The exact distributions of X+Y, X Y and X/(X+Y) are studied when X and Y are independent Pareto and gamma random variables. Applications are discussed, to real problems in clinical trials, computer networks and economics.  相似文献   
150.
《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2012,41(13-14):2437-2444
We propose a new approach to estimate the parameters of the Cox proportional hazards model in the presence of collinearity. Generally, a maximum partial likelihood estimator is used to estimate parameters for the Cox proportional hazards model. However, the maximum partial likelihood estimators can be seriously affected by the presence of collinearity since the parameter estimates result in large variances.

In this study, we develop a Liu-type estimator for Cox proportional hazards model parameters and compare it with a ridge regression estimator based on the scalar mean squared error (MSE). Finally, we evaluate its performance through a simulation study.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号