谈伦理道德体系中德性与德行的动态关系

德性是一个人之所以为人的规范的根本把握和具体践履。德性作为一种内在的品质之育化,其相对稳定性直接表现为个体知行合一的深切体验。但随着市场经济对社会意识和德性成就条件的改变,人们的道德行为常常不能与我们所了解的一个人的德性想一致,甚至相反。因此,本文主要阐述德性与德行之间的动态关系,即一致性和非一致性及其原因,从而为找出一条提高道德教育实效性。构建和谐社会的途径和方法提供理论上的支持。     

C2C环境下顾客初始信任的影响机制研究:网上购物经验的调节作用

本文基于网上购物经验不同的顾客,运用实证研究探讨了C2C环境下顾客初始信任的影响机制。结果表明,感知产品、感知信用评分和感知客户评论均显著影响顾客初始信任;网上购物经验显著调节感知产品和感知信用评分对顾客初始信任的影响,而对感知客户评论与初始信任的关系未起到显著调节作用。本文深化了顾客初始信任的理论研究,对网上店铺赢得顾客初始信任及顾客购买意愿具有实践意义。     

基于博弈论的宏观经济政策动态非一致性研究

通过论述理性预期和动态非一致性理论在宏观经济博弈分析中的发展,分析了政府与公众的动态博弈过程及宏观经济政策在二者博弈后的结果,最后对我国宏观调控政策提出增强决策透明度,加强制度保障,健全宏观调控体系等有利于形成良好、准确的公众预期以及减少政策的动态非一致性的建议。     

河南省取消法律援助事项范围限制的可行性分析

法律援助事项范围的限制将一些需要法律援助的主体排除在外,这与“应援尽援”要求不符。实践中,河南省一些辖市取消法律援助事项范围的限制取得了良好的社会效果。取消法律援助事项范围限制不论是理论上还是实践上,都是可行的、合理的。由此引发的司法资源短缺、法律援助欺诈等问题,可通过进一步完善法律援助标准立法、设立公示制度、设置案情审查标准、确定不予援助案件范围、建立援助案件等级优先制等来解决。     

信用评级结果引用制度论析——后危机时代信用评级法律制度改革的思考

信用评级结果引用制度是适应信息社会、信用经济和政府职能社会化背景而出现的一种制度形式,是优化金融监管、提升监管绩效的必要制度安排,是完善金融市场结构、提高市场运行效率的重要手段.因诱发评级失灵、推波助澜金融危机废除信用评级结果引用制度是因噎废食之举.正确的做法应当是:树立规制信用评级结果引用行为的理念,制定规制信用评级结果引用行为的法律规范;确立“市场生产、主动评级、用者付费”模式保证信用评级结果信息这类公共产品的供给;适时制定统一、透明、动态的信用评级机构认可制度;针对结构性金融产品评级制定专门监管制度.     

Social status inconsistency and migration

We use NLSY79 panel data to extend the line of sociological research encouraged in the early work of Lenski by analyzing the effects of social status inconsistencies on the likelihood and direction of migration. Given that migration is often viewed as a way for individuals to locate prospective returns fitting for their qualifications, analysis of migration behavior offers an opportunity to examine the impact of status inconsistency. Key findings indicate that under-rewarded individuals, specifically relatively highly educated individuals in low status and low paying occupations, are more likely to migrate than are status consistent individuals. Over-rewarded individuals are less likely to migrate. These findings vary across metropolitan and nonmetropolitan places: individuals in nonmetropolitan areas who are under-rewarded or have mixed statuses have higher odds of migration than status consistent respondents. Individuals in metropolitan areas with inconsistent statuses are not more likely to migrate than status consistent respondents once other determinants of migration are entered in the analysis. Exploratory analysis shows migration increases the likelihood of achieving status consistency. Further examination of the interrelationship between migration and status inconsistency is recommended.     

Sovereign rescheduling probabilities in emerging markets: a comparison with credit rating agencies’ ratings

This study estimates default probabilities of 124 emerging countries from 1981 to 2002 as a function of a set of macroeconomic and political variables. The estimated probabilities are then compared with the default rates implied by sovereign credit ratings of three major international credit rating agencies (CRAs) – Moody's Investor's Service, Standard & Poor's and Fitch Ratings. Sovereign debt default probabilities are used by investors in pricing sovereign bonds and loans as well as in determining country risk exposure. The study finds that CRAs usually underestimate the risk of sovereign debt as the sovereign credit ratings from rating agencies are usually too optimistic.     

电视学术节目：商业逻辑与文化传播的博弈

电视学术勃兴已成为当下电视节目最为引人注目的现象之一。由学者与媒介“共舞”缔造的电视学术论坛向观众呈送了一道思想的盛宴与精神的饕餮大餐。在梳理电视学术论坛节目生态图景的基础上，试图探讨学术论坛现象出现的背景及缘由，并进一步指出，这种近似于一种媒介仪式的节目在诸多因素的合力作用下，其生存和发展仍存在巨大变数。若要让这叶文化扁舟能够在商业逻辑大行其道的媒介生态中安稳地前行，我们做的或许还远远不够。     

信用评估机构的基本经营战略:规模经济与范围经济

信用评估机构的信息产品归纳为物质型、深化型和扩展型信息产品,对这三类信息产品的成本收益分析表明:信用评估机构存在范围经济和规模经济,信用评估机构只有大规模、多产品生产,才能最大限度地利用信息共享性优势,增强自身在市场中的竞争力。     

Estimation of a two-equation panel model with mixed continuous and ordered categorical outcomes and missing data

Summary.  The paper proposes an estimation approach for panel models with mixed continuous and ordered categorical outcomes based on generalized estimating equations for the mean and pseudoscore equations for the covariance parameters. A numerical study suggests that efficiency can be gained in the mean parameter estimators by using individual covariance matrices in the estimating equations for the mean parameters. The approach is applied to estimate the returns to occupational qualification in terms of income and perceived job security in a 9-year period based on the German Socio-Economic Panel. To compensate for missing data, a combined multiple imputation–weighting approach is adopted.