我国跨行政区流域生态补偿机制研究 ——以淮河流域、太湖流域为例

流域生态补偿是利用经济手段对流域生态的外部性进行矫正的一种手段。政府强干预型与市场主导型的流域生态补偿机制都各有优缺点。当前,我国流域生态补偿存在法律机制尚不完善,水资源的产权模糊,补偿主体不明确,补偿方式单一,公民参与渠道不畅等困境。为构建高效的跨行政区流域生态补偿机制,必须制定专门性的流域生态补偿法律,充分发挥地方立法的自主性,健全流域生态补偿的法律体系;既要在近期充分发挥政府在流域生态补偿中的主导作用,又要在远期着眼于建立市场手段为主的流域生态补偿机制;拓宽公众参与途径,建立信息公开机制以及公众参与的经济激励机制,以提升流域生态补偿的制度认可度与制度效用。     

Will the ASA's Efforts to Improve Statistical Practice be Successful? Some Evidence to the Contrary

ABSTRACT

Recent efforts by the American Statistical Association to improve statistical practice, especially in countering the misuse and abuse of null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) and p-values, are to be welcomed. But will they be successful? The present study offers compelling evidence that this will be an extraordinarily difficult task. Dramatic citation-count data on 25 articles and books severely critical of NHST's negative impact on good science, underlining that this issue was/is well known, did nothing to stem its usage over the period 1960–2007. On the contrary, employment of NHST increased during this time. To be successful in this endeavor, as well as restoring the relevance of the statistics profession to the scientific community in the 21st century, the ASA must be prepared to dispense detailed advice. This includes specifying those situations, if they can be identified, in which the p-value plays a clearly valuable role in data analysis and interpretation. The ASA might also consider a statement that recommends abandoning the use of p-values.     

Stress-strength reliability of exponentiated Fréchet distributions based on Type-II censored data

In this paper, we consider inference of the stress-strength parameter, R, based on two independent Type-II censored samples from exponentiated Fréchet populations with different index parameters. The maximum likelihood and uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimators, exact and asymptotic confidence intervals and hypotheses testing for R are obtained. We conduct a Monte Carlo simulation study to evaluate the performance of these estimators and confidence intervals. Finally, two real data sets are analysed for illustrative purposes.     

A new aging concept derived from the increasing convex ordering

In this paper, a comparison between the life distribution of a new unit with that of a used unit in the increasing convex order is made leading to a new class of life distributions which we call “new better than used in convex ordering of second order”. This class includes as subclasses the NBU and the NBUC and is a subclass of the NBUCA class. Preservation properties under convolution, random maxima, mixing and formation of coherent structures are established. Stochastic comparisons of the excess lifetime when the inter-arrival times belong to the NBUC(2) class are developed. Some applications of Poisson shock models and a test of exponentiality against NBUC(2) alternative are presented.     

A Factor-Adjusted Multiple Testing Procedure With Application to Mutual Fund Selection

In this article, we propose a factor-adjusted multiple testing (FAT) procedure based on factor-adjusted p-values in a linear factor model involving some observable and unobservable factors, for the purpose of selecting skilled funds in empirical finance. The factor-adjusted p-values were obtained after extracting the latent common factors by the principal component method. Under some mild conditions, the false discovery proportion can be consistently estimated even if the idiosyncratic errors are allowed to be weakly correlated across units. Furthermore, by appropriately setting a sequence of threshold values approaching zero, the proposed FAT procedure enjoys model selection consistency. Extensive simulation studies and a real data analysis for selecting skilled funds in the U.S. financial market are presented to illustrate the practical utility of the proposed method. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.     

水工美学的理论框架

人文水利要解决的是水与文化、水利与人的关系问题。水工美学的研究对象是山、水、水工建筑物的序结构,是美学四载体形、光、与声、色的最优配置。我们应以诗心、书骨、画眼、园趣、乐感、文蕴、哲理去建构水工美学。     

脉冲加热红外热成像无损检测技术回顾

脉冲红外热成像无损检测技术是上世纪末发展起来的一门新兴无损检测技术,该文从脉冲红外热成像无损检测的提出、理论模型的研究以及技术特点对该技术进行了回顾,并展望了其未来发展趋势.     

长江经济带水足迹字典序优化配置研究

针对长江经济带日益突出的人水矛盾,基于水足迹理论,构建基于人口数量的流域水足迹字典序优化配置模型,并提出水资源承载力的平衡指数模型,综合辨识人口结构对长江经济带水足迹字典序优化配置的作用机制。研究表明：人口总量对水足迹字典序优化配置具有显著的正向影响,人类活动强度是影响区域水资源承载力的平衡指数的关键要素;基于人口数量的流域水足迹字典序优化配置方案具有显著的城乡二元结构特征,本质上反映了城乡基础设施及产业结构的空间差异状态。该配置方案还具有人口就业结构特征,本质上反映了产业用水效率的空间差异状态。     

松花江水污染事件与流域生态补偿的制度构建

通过对松花江水污染事件的反省,探讨我国流域生态补偿制度的构建问题。认为水污染事件背后是分处松花江上下游的吉林和黑龙江两省之间基于“相互性”而长期存在的利益冲突,构建流域生态补偿的法律制度是化解矛盾的主要方法。流域生态补偿法律制度的框架包括补偿主体与受偿主体、补偿资金的筹集、流域生态补偿管理机构以及补偿资金的支付等内容。     

水权范畴研究

建立水权制度的目的是促进水权交易,即定"源"以促"流",因而水权理论建构应遵循的原则是:凡不能或不宜流通的权利均不应纳入水权范畴。水权即取水权,是主体从国家所有的水资源中分离一定量之水并取得其所有权的权利。水权不应包括水资源所有权、水资源经营权、水所有权、水环境权。