首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   8805篇
  免费   177篇
  国内免费   75篇
管理学   410篇
劳动科学   3篇
民族学   73篇
人才学   1篇
人口学   63篇
丛书文集   747篇
理论方法论   353篇
综合类   4827篇
社会学   106篇
统计学   2474篇
  2024年   4篇
  2023年   25篇
  2022年   33篇
  2021年   60篇
  2020年   96篇
  2019年   107篇
  2018年   136篇
  2017年   239篇
  2016年   142篇
  2015年   174篇
  2014年   308篇
  2013年   1184篇
  2012年   497篇
  2011年   443篇
  2010年   401篇
  2009年   434篇
  2008年   486篇
  2007年   587篇
  2006年   563篇
  2005年   536篇
  2004年   459篇
  2003年   457篇
  2002年   374篇
  2001年   364篇
  2000年   217篇
  1999年   107篇
  1998年   86篇
  1997年   69篇
  1996年   66篇
  1995年   84篇
  1994年   56篇
  1993年   52篇
  1992年   44篇
  1991年   27篇
  1990年   26篇
  1989年   35篇
  1988年   23篇
  1987年   17篇
  1986年   5篇
  1985年   4篇
  1984年   10篇
  1983年   8篇
  1982年   1篇
  1981年   3篇
  1980年   2篇
  1979年   2篇
  1978年   2篇
  1977年   1篇
  1976年   1篇
排序方式: 共有9057条查询结果,搜索用时 0 毫秒
91.
Abstract

In this paper we find the maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) of hazard rate and mean residual life functions (MRLF) of Pareto distribution, their asymptotic non degenerate distribution, exact distribution and moments. We also discuss the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimate (UMVUE) of hazard rate function and MRLF. Finally, two numerical examples with simulated data and real data set, are presented to illustrate the proposed estimates.  相似文献   
92.
Abstract

The present paper introduces a new family of distributions with quadratic mean residual quantile function. Various distributional properties as well as reliability characteristics are discussed. Some characterizations of the class of distributions are presented. The estimation of parameters of the model using method of L-moments is studied. The practical application of the class of models is illustrated with a real life data set.  相似文献   
93.
In most reliability studies involving censoring, one assumes that censoring probabilities are unknown. We derive a nonparametric estimator for the survival function when information regarding censoring frequency is available. The estimator is constructed by adjusting the Nelson–Aalen estimator to incorporate censoring information. Our results indicate significant improvements can be achieved if available information regarding censoring is used. We compare this model to the Koziol–Green model, which is also based on a form of proportional hazards for the lifetime and censoring distributions. Two examples of survival data help to illustrate the differences in the estimation techniques.  相似文献   
94.
This article considers the properties of a nonparametric estimator developed for a reliability function which is used in many reliability problems. Properties such as asymptotic unbiasedness and consistency are proven for the estimator and using U-statistics, weak convergence of the estimator to a normal distribution is shown. Finally, numerical examples based on an extensive simulation study are presented to illustrate the theory and compare the estimator developed in this article with another based directly on the ratio of two empirical distributions studied in Zardasht and Asadi (2010 Zardasht , V. , Asadi , M. ( 2010 ). Evaluation of P(X t  > Y t ) when both X t and Y t are residual lifetimes of two systems . Statistica Neerlandica 64 : 460481 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]).  相似文献   
95.
By representing fair betting odds according to one or more pairs of confidence set estimators, dual parameter distributions called confidence posteriors secure the coherence of actions without any prior distribution. This theory reduces to the maximization of expected utility when the pair of posteriors is induced by an exact or approximate confidence set estimator or when a reduction rule is applied to the pair. Unlike the p-value, the confidence posterior probability of an interval hypothesis is suitable as an estimator of the indicator of hypothesis truth since it converges to 1 if the hypothesis is true or to 0 otherwise.  相似文献   
96.
In this work we investigate nonnested tests for two competing univariate dynamic linear models with autoregressive disturbances, where the motivation for instrumental variable estimation is mainly due to the recognized presence of current endogenous variables in the regression function, either in one or both models. As the previous transformation of both models yields regression functions which are nonlinear in the parameters, the attractive Gauss-Newton regression (GNR) approach, firstly advocated by Davidson and Mackinnon (1981 Davidson , R. , Mackinnon , J. G. ( 1981 ). Several tests for model specification in the presence of alternative hypotheses . Econometrica 49 : 78193 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), will be used to obtain the results.  相似文献   
97.
The Lomax (Pareto II) distribution has found wide application in a variety of fields. We analyze the second-order bias of the maximum likelihood estimators of its parameters for finite sample sizes, and show that this bias is positive. We derive an analytic bias correction which reduces the percentage bias of these estimators by one or two orders of magnitude, while simultaneously reducing relative mean squared error. Our simulations show that this performance is very similar to that of a parametric bootstrap correction based on a linear bias function. Three examples with actual data illustrate the application of our bias correction.  相似文献   
98.
In this article, a bivariate generalisation of the gamma distribution is proposed by using an unsymmetrical bivariate characteristic function; an extension to the non central case also receives attention. The probability density functions of the product and ratio of the correlated components of this distribution are also derived. The benefits of introducing this generalized bivariate gamma distribution and the distributions of the product and the ratio of its components will be demonstrated by graphical representations of their density functions. An example of this generalized bivariate gamma distribution to rainfall data for two specific districts in the North West province is also given to illustrate the greater versatility of the new distribution.  相似文献   
99.
In this article, we propose a class of additive transformation models for recurrent event data, which includes the additive rates model as a special case. The new models offer great flexibility in formulating the effects of covariates on the mean function of recurrent events. Estimating equation approaches are developed for the model parameters, and asymptotic properties of the resulting estimators are established. In addition, a model checking procedure is presented to assess the adequacy of the model. The finite sample performance of the proposed estimators is examined through simulation studies, and an application to a bladder cancer study is presented.  相似文献   
100.
In this article, we investigate the limitations of traditional quantile function estimators and introduce a new class of quantile function estimators, namely, the semi-parametric tail-extrapolated quantile estimators, which has excellent performance for estimating the extreme tails with finite sample sizes. The smoothed bootstrap and direct density estimation via the characteristic function methods are developed for the estimation of confidence intervals. Through a comprehensive simulation study to compare the confidence interval estimations of various quantile estimators, we discuss the preferred quantile estimator in conjunction with the confidence interval estimation method to use under different circumstances. Data examples are given to illustrate the superiority of the semi-parametric tail-extrapolated quantile estimators. The new class of quantile estimators is obtained by slight modification of traditional quantile estimators, and therefore, should be specifically appealing to researchers in estimating the extreme tails.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号