21世纪报纸副刊的发展趋势

中国报纸副刊在一百多年的发展历史当中,既经历了"五四"时期的兴盛,也遭遇了上世纪90年代的全面转型。在媒介信息的爆炸式发展和中国报纸市场化运作步伐日益加快的今天,报纸副刊显现出七大发展趋势:多元化、专版化、新闻化、本土化、平民化、互动化、时尚化。只有把握住报纸副刊的发展走向,因势利导,才能使报纸副刊在未来的发展中实现内容上的升华与经营方式的突破。     

Ambient Asbestos Fiber Concentrations and Long‐Term Trends in Pleural Mesothelioma Incidence between Urban and Rural Areas in the United States (1973–2012)

Over the past 40 years, measured ambient asbestos concentrations in the United States have been higher in urban versus rural areas. The purpose of this study was to determine whether variations in ambient asbestos concentrations have influenced pleural mesothelioma risk in females (who generally lacked historic occupational asbestos exposure relative to males). Male pleural mesothelioma incidence trends were analyzed to provide perspective for female trends. Annual age‐adjusted incidence rates from 1973 to 2012 were obtained from the SEER 9, 13, and 18 databases for urban and rural locations, and standardized rate ratios were calculated. Female rural rates exceeded urban rates in almost half of the years analyzed, although the increases were not statistically significant, which is in line with expectations if there was no observable increased risk for urban locations. In contrast, male urban rates were elevated over rural rates for nearly all years examined and were statistically significantly elevated for 22 of the 40 years. Trend analyses demonstrated that trends for females remained relatively constant over time, whereas male urban and rural incidence increased into the 1980s and 1990s, followed by a decrease/leveling off. Annual female urban and rural incidence rates remained approximately five‐ to six‐fold lower than male urban and rural incidence rates on average, consistent with the comparatively increased historical occupational asbestos exposure for males. The results suggest that differences in ambient asbestos concentrations, which have been reported to be 10‐fold or greater across regions in the United States, have not influenced the risk of pleural mesothelioma.     

新中国成立以来中小学教研工作回顾与展望

新中国成立近70年，我国中小学教研工作经历了"初创定型期""停滞偏离期""恢复发展期""改革深化期"和"转型创新期"五个阶段。"教研"是学校教学与教育工作的一种重要实践样态，是我国基础教育工作的重要组成部分，是提升教师专业化水平的重要途径和促进学生全面发展的必要前提。研究发现，我国中小学教研工作存在诸多现实问题，如教师参与教研活动的效果不够明显、教研人员专业发展缺乏制度保障、教研职能定位不准、教研的管理体制不完善等。由此，我们应在"互联网+教育"的新模式下，强化教研与培养学生核心素养相结合；致力于由关注知识传授的研究转向关注全面育人的研究。     

Harnessing big data for a multifunctional theory of the firm

This paper explores the potential of big data, such as those compiled by the Google Books project, to inform the dominant theories of the firm that tend to be grounded on strong assumptions about the capitalist nature of the modern society. Combining the novel methodologies of the digital age with Niklas Luhmann's theory of functional differentiation, we draw on big data-driven abductive reasoning to redirect the attention of management scholars away from the dominant contract-based and competence theories of capitalist firms toward organizations navigating the regime of functional differentiation, which is marked by contingent and historically evolving prominence of individual function systems. We conclude that this navigation requires appropriate strategic management tools which are no longer primarily geared to the economic function system but rather entail a radical reconfiguration of the firm as a multifunctional organization.     

Differential equation model of carbon dioxide emission using functional linear regression

Carbon dioxide is one of the major contributors to Global Warming. In the present study, we develop a differential equation to model the carbon dioxide emission data in the atmosphere using functional linear regression approach. In the proposed method, a differential operator is defined as data smoother and we use the penalized least square fitting criteria to smooth the data. The profile error sum of squares is optimized to estimate the differential operators using functional regression. The solution of the developed differential equation estimates and predicts the rate of change of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere at a particular time. We apply the proposed model to fit the emission of carbon dioxide data in the continental United States. Numerical simulations of a number of test cases depict a satisfactory agreement with real data.     

1920—1940年代中国现代主义文学思潮摭谈

现代主义文学思潮虽然一直作为现实主义文学思潮的陪衬和余脉出现在中国现代文学史中,但也有其自身独特的艺术风格与存在理由。1920-1940年代的现代主义文学作品深入描写和记录了特殊年代中国人的真实心理感受以及部分都市人被异化扭曲的灵魂,在表现人物内心隐秘世界方面作了积极有效的艺术探索与实践。现代主义文学思潮以其特立独行的艺术姿态存在于20世纪前半叶的中国文坛,显示着自身的活力和影响。     

Trends and challenges of developing human capital in Singapore: an analysis of current practices and future potentials

As one of the most vibrant nations of Asia, Singapore is well known for its dynamic and innovative human capital development initiatives. These are driven mainly by the government policies, with inputs from public sector organizations and large local companies. Human resource development (HRD) related legislations, financial incentives, infra-structural support and deployment of management and info-communication technologies (ICT) help to sustain the national HRD initiatives. This paper presents an analysis of the current practices and future trends and challenges faced by organizations in Singapore. Some of these challenges are: ageing workforce, talent retention and development, rapid technological changes and cross-cultural skills development for working in the emerging markets. Eight trends and challenges identified here are expected to significantly impact the HRD profession in future. Implications of the trends and challenges are also discussed for future research and professional practice.     

中国穆斯林人口发展分析

中国穆斯林人口已达2300多万,主要分布西北五省区。"一普"至"六普"57年间穆斯林人口增长近2倍,属高增长之列。穆斯林人口的特点是人口身体素质好,百岁老人比例高;而人口文化素质较低,职业构成较差,有待于改进。出生率高而死亡率较低,这与穆斯林人口年龄构成轻、老年人口比例小有关。穆斯林不溺弃女婴使人口性别比一直处于正常状态。随着人口增长率的下降,穆斯林人口的身体素质和文化素质将进一步得到改善。     

We trust in government,just not in yours: Race,partisanship, and political trust, 1958–2012

Although it is generally accepted that political trust is reflective of satisfaction with the performance of the incumbent administration, this is only considered true for White Americans. Because their trust reflects a larger discontent with the political system, Black Americans, it is held, do not respond in the same way in the short term. This argument has yet to be tested with over-time data. Time matters. Not only does the race gap in trust change over time but the impact of partisanship and political winning is, by definition, time-dependent. The results of an analysis of the 1958–2012 American National Election Studies data show that Black Americans and White Americans are equally likely to tie short-term performance to trust in government. However, the relationship between partisanship and political trust and, therefore, system discontent, clearly differs for the two groups. Aggregate models that do not take race-partisan sub-group differences into account will therefore be misleading.