《文心雕龙》产生的文化背景

产生于齐梁时代的《文心雕龙》“体大而思精”，有着深厚而广阔的文化背景。第一，六朝文学创作的繁荣给《文心雕龙》的产生提供了肥沃的土壤；第二，齐梁时代儒、道、释三教同时流行带来了思想的活跃与解放，给《文心雕龙》的产生提供了大环境；第三，齐梁文坛复古与新变两种思潮的斗争为《文心雕龙》的产生创造了小环境；第四，魏晋以来文学理论批评的发展以及刘勰强烈的“树德建言”的欲望给《文心雕龙》的产生创造了理论批评的背景。     

克服功利化倾向 创造良性学术环境

这个时代的功利性语境为学术期刊的世俗化提供了契机.高校学报普遍存在着学术的功利化倾向,资源配置没有得到进一步激活.高校学报应克服功利化的倾向,创造良性的学术环境,重建时代精神的意义场,开启真正的学术维度,发挥出对政府决策和世道人心的深刻影响力.     

Timing Effects on Divorce: 20th Century Experience in the United States

Period divorce measures can misrepresent the underlying behavior of birth cohorts as changes in cohort timing produce changes in period probabilities of divorce. Building on methods used to adjust period fertility and marriage measures, we adjust U.S. period divorce rates for timing effects, calculating a timing index for every year between 1910 and 2000. The adjusted probability of divorce, PMED*, increases nearly linearly from 1910 through 1990, remaining at about that level through 2000. Period measures greatly exaggerate divorce risks from the early 1970s to the mid‐1980s, but understate them at other times. Adjusted values for recent years do not suggest a decline in the likelihood of divorce, with year 2000 values indicating a divorce probability of 0.43 – 0.46.     

Trends in intercountry adoption: Analysis of data from 20 receiving countries, 1998–2004

The implications of developments in intercountry adoption worldwide in the early years of the twenty-first century are explored, based on analysis of data from 20 receiving countries. Between 1998 and 2004, intercountry adoption increased by 42 per cent. Problems in data collection and analysis are examined, as is the reliability of estimates of numbers of children sent by countries of origin when derived from data provided by receiving countries. Also considered are various measures of standardization which can be used to facilitate comparison between countries and show trends over time. The potential for more detailed comparative analysis is explored.     

Karen Horney and Psychotherapy in the 21st Century

Many ideas currently circulating in the psychological and psychoanalytic communities have correspondence with the theories put forth by Karen Horney during the first half of the twentieth century. This paper provides an overview of Horney’s theoretical departures from Freud and an introduction to her then controversial views of motivation and relationship. Compatibility between Horney’s ideas and attachment theory, self-psychology, intersubjectivity, and the person in the environment is discussed. Two clinical cases are presented, illustrating Horney’s theory and approach. An earlier version of this paper was presented at the 2004 National Meeting of the Committee on Psychoanalysis of the Federation of Societies for Clinical Social Work in New York.     

高校人事分配制度改革的理论、实践与发展趋势

我国新时期的高校人事分配制度改革在政府政策推动下启动,在各类高校努力探索的实践过程中逐步走向深入。理论研究者分别从系统、辩证、发展、比较等不同角度进行了思考和探讨,引导着高校人事分配制度改革不断趋于完善,在设岗、聘任、考核和薪酬等实践中涌现出众多新动向。     

Time series modelling of two millennia of northern hemisphere temperatures: long memory or shifting trends?

Summary.  The time series properties of the temperature reconstruction of Moberg and co-workers are analysed. It is found that the record appears to exhibit long memory characteristics that can be modelled by an autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average process that is both stationary and mean reverting, so that forecasts will eventually return to a constant underlying level. Recent research has suggested that long memory and shifts in level and trend may be confused with each other, and fitting models with slowly changing trends is found to remove the evidence of long memory. Discriminating between the two models is difficult, however, and the strikingly different forecasts that are implied by the two models point towards some intriguing research questions concerning the stochastic process driving this temperature reconstruction.     

评价论研究述评与发展趋势展望

评价论研究是学术研究的重要领域,现有研究成果颇丰。通过对评价本质、评价标准、社会评价、自我评价、评价合理性、评价方法等主要问题的研究现状的评述,可以看出评价论研究的发展趋势是回应时代问题、确立实践范式、促进多学科发展三方面。     

中国第三产业内部就业结构变动趋势分析

我国第三产业占GDP的比重和第三产业从业人员的比重明显低于发达国家,甚至也低于或接近于发展中国家的一般水平。研究第三产业内部四个层次各自占第三产业增加值的比重和占第三产业从业人员的比重,对于确定第三产业的发展方向和解决就业问题意义重大。通过比较发现:第一层次就业比重存在饱和点,但仍然能缓解就业的巨大压力,特别是批发零售和贸易餐饮业:第二层次是吸纳就业的主要力量,特别是金融保险业、房地产业、社会服务业;第三层次就业率较低;第四层次就业比重过大。     

Body Weight Distributions for Risk Assessment

Precise age-specific average body weight estimates are necessary for deterministic risk assessments, and an accurate body weight distribution is equally important in probabilistic risk assessments. Age-specific body weight distributions for U.S. residents are estimated using NHANES (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey) data collected in four surveys over the last 24 years. The weighted mean and standard deviation of natural log-transformed body weights are computed for single-year age groups and population age-specific weight patterns further described using piece-wise polynomial spline functions and nonparametric age-smoothed trend lines. These functions are used to compare distributional changes in age-specific body weight in the United States from the first NHANES survey in 1976-1980 to the most recent in 1999-2002. Analysis demonstrates that age- and sex-specific average body weight changes over this time period are not uniform. Use of these functions to compute body weight distributions for selected child-age categories is demonstrated.