论高校思想政治理论课评价的激励功能

激励功能是高校思想政治教育理论课评价的最直接、最现实、最本质的功能之一,是具有"归宿"意义的功能。激励功能对于思想政治理论课评价来说,既是手段又是目的,既是形式又是内容。在高校思想政治理论课评价的激励功能中,通过积极的评价来增强教师和学生的自信心,提高自我肯定度,称为正向激励;通过适度的否定的评价来使教师和学生知不足而改进,增强其责任感和创造性,称为负向激励。     

中国劳动关系和谐度预警机制的研究

本文用AHP法、模糊评价的定量方法确定了中国劳动关系和谐度的层次结构模型和评价方法,并根据评价值用蓝灯,绿灯,黄灯,红灯对劳动关系安全域进行预警,使中国劳动关系和谐度能真正直观反应社会和谐的"风向标"。本文不只是从分析原理上进行介绍,更多的是从可操作性上进行了阐述。     

Evaluation of trace evidence in the form of multivariate data

Summary.  The evaluation of measurements on characteristics of trace evidence found at a crime scene and on a suspect is an important part of forensic science. Five methods of assessment for the value of the evidence for multivariate data are described. Two are based on significance tests and three on the evaluation of likelihood ratios. The likelihood ratio which compares the probability of the measurements on the evidence assuming a common source for the crime scene and suspect evidence with the probability of the measurements on the evidence assuming different sources for the crime scene and suspect evidence is a well-documented measure of the value of the evidence. One of the likelihood ratio approaches transforms the data to a univariate projection based on the first principal component. The other two versions of the likelihood ratio for multivariate data account for correlation among the variables and for two levels of variation: that between sources and that within sources. One version assumes that between-source variability is modelled by a multivariate normal distribution; the other version models the variability with a multivariate kernel density estimate. Results are compared from the analysis of measurements on the elemental composition of glass.     

初论国民经济动员学的研究纲领

国民经济动员学科的建立,关键在于确立其研究纲领。笔者主张以借鉴决策理论学派的成果为主,兼及现代管理理论各学派中对国民经济动员学科建设有益的理论观点,通过对国民经济动员活动的深入考察,面向国民经济动员实践的需要,通过创造性思维,建立国民经济动员学的管理学研究纲领。目前,应当首先从国民经济动员潜力评价和国民经济动员决策支持系统两个方面入手,形成科学研究的突破口,迅速积累研究成果,完善国民经济动员学科体系。     

Envisioning Beijing 2020 through sketches of urban scenarios

To provide the decision-makers in Beijing, China, with an assessment of alternative development futures, we introduce scenario planning to process of drafting Beijing's 2020 Plan. The sketches of scenarios for Beijing are fruitful in several ways. First, the development of scenarios can meet the Beijing Municipal Commission of Urban Planning (BMCUP)'s needs to explore different urban development options. Second, scenario planning can accommodate uncertainty in economic and population growth caused in part by China's rapid social and economic transformation. Third, in the course of creating evaluation framework to assess scenarios, scenario planning informs decision-makers about choices regarding predicted outcomes. We demonstrate that in a city that is experiencing unforeseen growth in the era of transformations, the decision-making process can be informed by evaluating the performance of alternative development scenarios.     

Socioeconomic evaluation of a correctional programme in Sweden—long-term effects Samhällsekonomisk utvärdering av ett kriminalvårdsprogram i Sverige—långsiktiga effekter

The present article focuses on the long-term socioeconomic outcome of a correctional programme in Sweden, called KrAmi (n=62), using a systematic comparison with a control group of probation clients (n=51). The evaluation, which had a quasi-experimental design, was based on actual costs for each client (n=113) for a period of five years, from 1995 to 1999. The follow-up period was two years, during which the socioeconomic costs decreased step-wise for both groups, probation groups more so than programme groups. The deteriorations were 70–80% compared to the period before treatment. Rehabilitation to labour market, measured in pension points, was more successful for programme groups than for control groups. Thanks to this, as well as lower costs during the treatment period, the programme groups’ socioeconomic profitability, measured with a 15-year cost–benefit analysis (CBA), was greater than that of the control groups. The cost–effectiveness analysis (CEA) shows that the KrAmi groups are better off in work rehabilitation, depreciation time (one year compared with two and a half years for probation groups) and repayment ratio (14 SEK compared to 6 SEK for probation groups) although cost savings are greater for probation groups.     

城市可持续发展综合评价指标体系研究

城市可持续发展指标体系的构建，应遵从科学性、可比性、可操作性、层次性、系统性和创新性六原则，应包含经济、社会和资源环境三个子系统，设立四个指标层次，41个指标。而各项指标的权重当采用客观赋权法中的熵值法确定。     

Evaluating technical efficiency of human capital formation in the Italian university: Evidence from Florence

This paper models the human capital formation in the Italian university and utilizes a measure of technical efficiency to estimate the output-efficiency of human capital formation in the University of Florence, by using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) on a selected set of inputs and outputs. It uses the Program Evaluation (PE) procedure as well, in an attempt to attribute shares of the variation in efficiency to factors that are beyond the control and factors that are under the control of the graduates and faculties. The authors thank two anonymous referees for their valuable comments.     

Tailored program evaluation: Past, present, future

This paper discusses measurement issues related to the evaluation of computer-tailored health behavior change programs. As the first generation of commercially available tailored products is utilized in health promotion programming, programmers and researchers are becoming aware of the unique challenges that the evaluation of these programs presents. A project is presented that used an online tailored health behavior assessment (HBA) in a worksite setting. Process and outcome evaluation methods are described and include the challenges faced, and strategies proposed and implemented, for meeting them. Implications for future research in tailored program development, implementation, and evaluation are also discussed.