本地市场游戏服务器需求量的确定方法

网络游戏近年飞速发展成为网络业三大(网上金融、网络教育、网络游戏)赢利且利润优厚的领域之一。游戏公司和运营商要正确地把握市场导向，需要对市场进行调查和系统化分析，以确定游戏服务器容量和需求。本文给出了基于相关影响因素确立服务器容量的一种决策模型，为商家正确把握市场动态提供了依据。     

Bayesian adaptive dose‐escalation procedures for binary and continuous responses utilizing a gain function

One of the main aims of early phase clinical trials is to identify a safe dose with an indication of therapeutic benefit to administer to subjects in further studies. Ideally therefore, dose‐limiting events (DLEs) and responses indicative of efficacy should be considered in the dose‐escalation procedure. Several methods have been suggested for incorporating both DLEs and efficacy responses in early phase dose‐escalation trials. In this paper, we describe and evaluate a Bayesian adaptive approach based on one binary response (occurrence of a DLE) and one continuous response (a measure of potential efficacy) per subject. A logistic regression and a linear log‐log relationship are used respectively to model the binary DLEs and the continuous efficacy responses. A gain function concerning both the DLEs and efficacy responses is used to determine the dose to administer to the next cohort of subjects. Stopping rules are proposed to enable efficient decision making. Simulation results shows that our approach performs better than taking account of DLE responses alone. To assess the robustness of the approach, scenarios where the efficacy responses of subjects are generated from an E _max model, but modelled by the linear log–log model are also considered. This evaluation shows that the simpler log–log model leads to robust recommendations even under this model showing that it is a useful approximation to the difficulty in estimating E _max model. Additionally, we find comparable performance to alternative approaches using efficacy and safety for dose‐finding. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

论大学生运动员控制体重与饮食——以跆拳道为例

从分析大学生运动员赛前减控体重的方法入手,阐述了大学生运动员既能以"优势体重"参赛,又不危害身体健康和竞技水平的观点,通过查阅部分相关文献,提出了一套办法和推荐食谱以供参考。     

上证50股票价值的综合评价

采用主成分分析法对上证50的全部50家上市公司的股票价值进行综合评价。首先从这50家上市公司2005年度的财务报表数据中选取十一个重要指标作为基础,利用主成分分析法加以处理,合并为三个主成分,代入综合评价函数得到这50家上市公司股票的综合得分和综合排名;再对标准化的各因素指标的权重作进一步的讨论,最终得出这50家上市公司股票的综合排名。     

一种新型乙氧基化催化剂的合成及性能研究

本文研究 一种新型的催化剂-变白云母水合物，经酸碱处理后用于催化脂肪醇的乙氧基化反应。初步实验结果表明，化合物具有活性高、产物分子量分布窄、游离醇含量低等优良性能。     

一类对角型退缩椭圆组弱解的全局正则性

本文证明了在控制增长及自然增长条件下，带A2类权函数的对角型拟线性方程组的全局正则性。     

Estimators for the Horvitz-Thompson Statistic Based on Some Posterior Distributions

The knowledge of first-order inclusion probabilities characterizing a sampling scheme is essential in design-based estimation of finite population totals. Sometimes the scheme is so complex that these probabilities cannot be computed exactly. Instead, both inclusion probabilities and corresponding sampling weights are simulated. One empirical Horvitz-Thompson estimator for a population total using simulation-based range-preserving estimates of sampling weights is obtained by applying the restricted maximum likelihood principle directly to each inclusion probability. The assumption of a prior distribution and the assessment of resulting posterior for a weight lead to two other estimators. One of them is the posterior mean estimator of the Horvitz-Thompson statistic. In a simulation involving Polish agricultural census data and a sequential fixed-cost sampling scheme, this estimator has attractive properties also from a frequentist point of view.     

基于心理账户理论的离合框架效应研究评述

通过回顾心理账户理论对离合框架效应的解释情况,发现已有文献对心理账户理论的支持情况并不理想。可能的原因是该理论的成立存在三个重要前提:不对广告价格信息重新加工;计算离框架各单品价格时,采用加法运算;加总离框架各单品价格时权重相等。消费者特点、商品价格特点以及价格表现形式能影响各个前提的成立。后续的研究,一方面要谨慎应用心理账户理论解释离合框架效应,另一方面要深入探讨已有文献中的争议和尚未研究的问题。     

基于变权综合的多指标席位分配模型

从指标的综合加权入手,对经典席位分配模型进行了推广,建立了多指标席位分配模型,以拓宽这种模型的应用范围.采用指标标准化,变权综合的方法对各种指标进行加权,克服了传统加权方法的不公平问题。最后以学校科研项目的分配说明多指标席位分配方法的更加合理,更加公平和广泛。     

基于AHP法和熵权法的独立学院教师绩效考核

文章针对独立学院教师绩效考核过程中存在指标体系不健全、考核成绩计算过程中各项目权重分配不科学等问题,提出将基于层次分析法的主观赋权法与基于熵的客观赋权法相结合的主客观赋权法,以此提高权重分配的科学性与准确性;最后,选取某独立学院的教师进行实证分析.