Acquired immune deficiency syndrome projections in England and Wales: interplay of methodology and data

Since the late 1980s, regular monitoring of the human immunodeficiency virus epidemic in England and Wales has been carried out through the work of successive national working groups. One of their tasks has been to provide short-term projections of the incidence of acquired immune deficiency syndrome. In this paper the data and methods used in this projection work are reviewed and results critically assessed with the aim of highlighting the strong interaction between methodological developments and data acquisition.     

大型低价海量测点分布式微机监控管一体化系统实现研究

低成本自动化ICA模式的研究在国内外都十分重视，本文研究用BITBUS和IBM PC机组网构成测点数达任意多的分布式低价自动监、控、管一体化系统。本文论述结构组成，硬件，软件的设计实现；系统的多任务 实时操作控制设计；同时也论述了多任务系统的运行调度机制问题。     

Simple systems for computer-aided production management

Future production concepts where workshop employees responsibly carry through planning and scheduling tasks call for new principles ofcomputer-aided production management (CAPM). With the aid of a critical analysis ofdifferent planning and scheduling mechanisms it will first be laid down why the field of computer-aided production management is suited for a dialogue-oriented planning support based on simple models rather than for the objective of automation with the aid of refined optimization algorithms. Consequently, an alternative design is proposed. This is a prototypically realized concept aiming at computer-aided support of production management of production teams.     

机制导向的地方生态市建设

伴随着城镇化、工业化步伐的加快,改变城市建设理念,实现人与自然和谐共处已迫在眉睫,生态市建设由此应运而生。经过多年的努力,我国各地区生态市建设已初具规模。任何一项政策的贯彻落实都离不开执行主体、制度建设和资源供给的支撑,因此从这三方面对地方政府生态市建设的障碍因素进行系统分析尤为必要。推进地方政府的生态市建设进程,需要健全和完善相关机制,主要包括权责机制、规划机制、激励机制、监督机制和绩效评价机制。     

Lot quality assurance sampling: Information provided to female users of contraceptive methods regarding side effects

Women need to receive accurate information on the proper use of contraceptive methods (CM). The objective of our analysis was to evaluate the quality of CM counseling in health institutions of the public sector using the Lot Quality Assurance Sampling (LQAS) technique. We specifically analyzed whether health-service providers informed CM users of all the side effects they might experience, as specified under the Mexican health-care regulations. Our results demonstrated that, among the four CM analyzed –the intrauterine device, hormonal injection, condom and subdermal implant– only the users of the subdermal implant received complete information on side effects. Our findings thus indicate that the quality of family planning services in the institutions analyzed is deficient. We recommend that service providers be regularly trained in order to improve their performance and that LQAS methodology be adopted as an effective means of regularly monitoring the quality of health services in Mexico.     

2007年中国全面建设小康社会进程统计监测报告

 本文根据全面建设小康社会统计监测指标体系对中国2000~2007年全面建设小康社会进程进行了监测。监测结果表明：2007年,中国全面建设小康社会实现程度达到72.9%,比2000年的59.3%提高13.6个百分点,其中,东部、东北、中部和西部地区分别达到81.3%、74.8%、70.3%和64.6%。但是,从指标体系的六大方面来看,经济、社会、环境等方面的发展并不均衡;从23项监测指标的实现程度看,难易程度存在较大差异;从全国四大区域来看,区域之间的差距逐年加大。本文也分析了现阶段全面建设小康社会进程中出现的问题,并提出了相应建议。     

经济欠发达地区民间金融活动监测体系的构建——以陕西省的调查分析为例

民间金融是对正规金融的有益补充，同时也会对正规金融体系甚至是金融稳定造成一定的影响，因此如何监测民间金融活动使之更好地满足中小企业以及居民家庭对民间资金的需求是我们要迫切关注的问题。本文以陕西省为例，在调查分析的基础上，根据经济欠发达地区民间金融活动的特点，对民间金融活动监测的重点及如何构建监测体系进行了初步的研究和探讨。     

Monitoring point patterns for the development of space–time clusters

Existing statistical methods for the detection of space–time clusters of point events are retrospective, in that they are used to ascertain whether space–time clustering exists among a fixed number of past events. In contrast, prospective methods treat a series of observations sequentially, with the aim of detecting quickly any changes that occur in the series. In this paper, cumulative sum methods of monitoring are adapted for use with Knox's space–time statistic. The result is a procedure for the rapid detection of any emergent space–time interactions for a set of sequentially monitored point events. The approach relies on a 'local' Knox statistic that is useful in retrospective analyses to detect when and where space–time interaction occurs. The distribution of the local Knox statistic under the null hypothesis of no space–time interaction is derived. The retrospective local statistic and the prospective cumulative sum monitoring method are illustrated by using previously published data on Burkitt's lymphoma in Uganda.     

Spatial–temporal interpolation of non methane hydrocarbon levels in Kuwait

This article handles the prediction of hourly concentrations ofnon methane hydrocarbon (NMHC) pollutants at 15 unmonitored sites in Kuwait using the data recorded from 6 monitored stations at successive time points. The trend model depends on hourly meteorological variables and seasonal effects. The stochasticcomponent of the trend model which has spatiotemporal features is modeled as autoregressive temporal process. A spatial predictive distribution for residuals of the AR model is developed for the unmonitored sites. By transforming the predicted residuals back to the original data scales, we impute Kuwait’s hourly NMHC field.     

医疗保险大数据支撑下的监管体系运行绩效分析

加快基本医疗保险医疗服务监控系统建设,借助信息化手段增强监管能力,是完善社会保险反欺诈制度,提高医疗服务监管工作质量和水平的重要手段,本文分析了某统筹地区医疗服务监管工作的基本情况,阐明了基本医疗服务监控系统的一般规律。