人民币汇率制度选择的理论分析

本文在阐述分析国际汇率制度变革的历史基础上,指出"中间"汇率制度的新设置—爬行带汇率制度以及"BBC"准则中区间软化后的监督区理论是我国现行汇率制度改革选择的理论依据。     

语言资源监测研究发展态势

在国家语言文字工作委员会的指导下,国家语言资源监测与研究中心已连续六年开展语言监测工作,每年通过《中国语言生活状况报告（下编）》发布调查报告与监测数据。语言监测项目较为全面丰富,涉及多个语种、多种领域、多类媒体,关注多项反映语言动态变化的词汇类别。语言监测工作能够客观反映语言生活实态,较为有效地开发利用语言资源,积极引导语言文字舆情。我国语言监测的特点体现在运作模式具有独创性,紧密结合社会热点,不断改进监测技术与方法。     

Monitoring Indicators of Children’s Victimization in School: Linking National-, Regional-, and Site-Level Indicators

The paper presents a conceptual framework and methodology developed by the authors to create systematic empirical basis to monitor important social indicators. The focus here is on ways to employ indicators of victimization in school in order to inform a range of constituencies interested in the well being of school children. The paper outlines the importance of developing a wide range of indicators based on a theoretical model of social context of schools, as perceived from multiple perspectives (students, staff, parents, the general public). The importance of linking national-, regional-, and site-level indicators is emphasized and demonstrated. The paper presents examples of analyses and reports that can inform practice, policy making and evaluation in the area of school safety. Finally, monitoring indicators of victimization on all levels is described as a democratic youth empowering process.     

Controlling Type-I Error Rate in Monitoring Structural Changes Using Partially Sequential Procedures

In the present article, we develop some asymptotically power on partially sequential nonparametric tests for monitoring structural changes. Our test procedures are based on Wilcoxon score. We use the idea of curved stopping boundaries. We derive some exact results and perform simulation studies to provide various properties of the tests. We see that one of the proposed procedures significantly controls the Type I error rate. This procedure may be very effective for fluctuation monitoring. We illustrate the procedures by using real life data from the stock market.     

Bringing about social justice through feminist research for monitoring,evaluation, and learning? A conversation from Oxfam GB

ABSTRACT

At Oxfam, we have spent much of the last two years talking about feminist principles. In the context of the #Metoo and #Aidtoo movements, the presence (or absence) of these feminist values and principles is increasingly – and rightly – under the spotlight. In this article, we reflect on what it takes to embed these values in our research practice within the monitoring, evaluation, and learning (MEL) function of an international non-government organisation such as Oxfam. These values shape our understanding of the purpose of carrying out MEL activities as a tool for bringing about social justice, through examining gender and power relations, why they exist and how they change. We reflect on the successes and challenges we have faced while utilising evaluation for greater gender equality. By doing so, we aim to start shedding light on the structural changes needed to bring about social changes through MEL, and research more broadly.     

Assessment of the monitoring and evaluation system of a population-based program: Theory-driven evaluation approach

The purpose of this study was to assess the performance of a monitoring and evaluation system (M&E) for a population-based program and to identify factors influencing its performance. The state health department provided a grant, guide, and training for health districts to implement the program and report quarterly and annually to the M&E. Some health districts did not meet this requirement. We also found that the M&E did not adequately capture the actual work of the districts in communities as related to the work plan. We identified several factors that negatively affected the performances of the M&E. For example, the state and health districts did not have a shared vision on how to develop and implement the program, and what to report to the M&E. We proposed strategies that could improve the timeliness and content of reports to the M&E, as well as its utilization in the future.     

Monitoring and evaluation design of Malawi’s Right Foods at the Right Time nutrition program

Child stunting is a public health problem in Malawi. In 2014, the Government of Malawi launched the Right Foods at the Right Time (RFRT) program in Ntchisi district delivering nutrition social and behavior change communication, a small-quantity lipid-based nutrient supplement to children 6–23 months, and nutrition sensitive activities. Monitoring and evaluation (M&E) systems are key aspects of successful program implementation. We describe these and the methodology for an impact evaluation that was conducted for this program. Two monitoring systems using traditional and electronic platforms were established to register and track program delivery and processes including number of eligible beneficiaries, worker performance, program participation, and to monitor input, output, and outcome indicators. The impact evaluation used comparative cross-sectional and longitudinal designs to assess impact on anthropometric and infant and young child feeding outcomes. Three cross-sectional surveys (base-, mid-, and end-line) and two longitudinal cohorts of children followed in 6-month intervals from 6 to 24 months of age, were conducted in sampled households in the program and a neighboring comparison district. Additional M&E included qualitative studies, a process evaluation, and a cost-effectiveness study. The current paper describes lessons from this program’s M&E, and demonstrates how multiple implementation research activities can inform course-correction and program scale-up.     

构建中国影子银行统计指标体系：基于国际比较视角

当前,针对影子银行体系,主要的国际组织和国家、地区均以监测为主,而统计影子体系是监测的前提。通过国际比较分析,本文构建了中国影子银行体系的统计指标体系。研究发现：一是国际社会关于影子银行体系统计方法至少包含五种：广义非银行金融机构法、广义非银行信用中介法、基于经济功能的狭义非银行信用中介法、基于风险的（狭义）非银行信用中介法和狭义非核心负债法;二是是否统计非MMFs投资基金,是IMF和FSB统计范围的主要差异,前者排除,而后者包含;三是从资产还是负债角度统计本身没有优劣之分,只要明确一个视角,就可以避免统计混乱和重复统计。结合中国实践,借鉴FSB狭义非银行信用中介法,从负债融资视角出发,本文构建了中国的狭义影子银行体系统计口径,涵盖规模指标、结构指标（资产结构指标、负债结构指标等）,以及影子银行体系与其他金融部门之间的关联性指标。可以大致观察到影子银行体系总量和规模特征,以及潜在的风险点及其传染路径。     

所有权结构、资本结构、董事会治理与公司价值

本文以中国上市公司为样本,实证检验了公司所有权结构、以董事会监督为核心的治理结构及资本结构对公司价值的影响。结果显示:法人股权与国家股权相比占相对多数时,公司价值上升。公司债务比率上升时,公司价值下降。董事会监督并未对公司价值产生显著影响。然而,如果考虑到公司所有权结构对资本结构、治理结构与公司价值之间关系的影响,我们发现,随着法人股权的增加,公司债务比率的上升以及有效的董事会监督将会促进公司价值上升。     

关于修订全国科技进步监测指标体系的设想

本文针对全国科技进步统计监测指标体系,提出了进一步修订建议,如：增加教育投入强度和教育产出的指标,修改反映资本使用效率的指标,以及完善反映环境保护、社会生活信息化水平的指标等。