财务困境的预测研究

财务困境预测通用的四种方法为判别分析、逻辑回归、神经网络和支持向量机。实证研究显示,支持向量机和神经网络模型预测的误判率较低,逻辑回归和判别分析模型预测的误判率稍高。     

公司经营困境风险的动态评价模型研究

以医药制造业上市公司为例,在一个特定的行业背景下,采用非配对取样方式,应用Log istic离散时间风险模型,对公司经营困境风险进行了动态评价。结果显示,股票的S igm a系数值、股权集中度、公司规模及资产负债率与经营困境风险显著相关。评价中发现,为了达到一个较好且合适的分类识别正确率,决策者必须在型Ⅰ类错误成本与型Ⅱ类错误成本之间进行权衡。此外,在行业内选取了经营困境公司与经营健康公司作为2个对照组,发现2组公司的经营困境风险动态演化过程存在明显差异,这种可视化演示方法对经营困境发生的危险时段有预测作用。     

现金流量在财务困境预测中的信息含量实证研究——来自2003-2004年度ST公司的新证据

本文选取2003-2004年度60家财务困境样本和120家非财务困境样本,分别运用单变量和多变量logistic分析检验了现金流量信息在财务困境预测中的相对信息含量和增量信息含量,研究发现:(1)在我国上市公司陷入财务困境前1年,经营性现金流量的相对信息含量仅次于资产报酬率和资产周转率,其预测效率优于其它应计制会计变量;(2)无论在财务困境前1年还是前2年,现金流量类变量在会计比率的基础上均具有显著的增量信息含量。本文的研究结果显示,从财务困境预测研究的角度看,充分挖掘现金流量信息的预测价值应成为未来此类研究的方向;从投资者角度看,现金流量表为投资者提供了决策有用的信息。     

Survey of midwives’ perinatal mental health knowledge,confidence, attitudes and learning needs

Background

Midwives have a primary role in facilitating the first stage of perinatal mental health risk reduction through inquiring about perinatal mental health, identifying risk factors and current perinatal mental health problems, providing support or crisis intervention, referring for treatment and decreasing stigmatisation.

A longitudinal study of perinatal depression among Chinese high-risk pregnant women

Background

Information is needed on the prevalence of depression in Chinese women with medically defined complications across the perinatal period, as well as key risk factors to develop appropriate perinatal mental health services and ensure the services target those most in need.

Social resources and Arab women’s perinatal mental health: A systematic review

Background

Women’s mental health in the perinatal period is understudied worldwide and in Arab countries especially.

“If you don’t ask … you don’t tell”: Refugee women’s perspectives on perinatal mental health screening

ProblemNational guidelines recommending mental health screening in pregnancy have not been implemented well in routine maternity care. Women of refugee background are likely to have experienced traumatic events and resettlement stressors, yet are not often identified with mental health issues in the perinatal period.BackgroundGlobally, perinatal mental health conditions affect up to 20% of women. Many difficulties in accessing mental health care in pregnancy exist for women of refugee background including stigma, and cultural and language barriers. Technology can provide an efficient and effective method to overcome some of these barriers.AimTo determine if a digital perinatal mental health screening program is feasible and acceptable for women of refugee background.MethodsThis qualitative evaluation study used focus group and semi-structured telephone interviews with refugee and migrant women from four communities. Interpreters were used with women who spoke little or no English. Data were analysed using both an inductive and deductive approach to thematic analysis.FindingsUnder the three key themes: ‘Women’s experiences of perinatal mental health screening in pregnancy’; ‘Barriers and enablers to accessing ongoing mental health care’ and ‘Improvements to the program: the development of audio versions’, women found the program feasible and acceptable.DiscussionScreening using a mobile device offered women more privacy and opened up discussions with midwives on emotional health. Improvements in service coordination and access to further mental health management for women is required.ConclusionPerinatal mental health screening is an acceptable and feasible option for women of refugee background. Integrated models of care, case management, and patient navigators are options for improvements in uptake of referral and treatment services.