An efficient new randomized response model

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the population proportion π of a sensitive group. We have suggested a randomized response (RR) model that is more efficient than the one envisaged by Gjestvang and Singh ([2006), A new randomized response model, Journal of Royal Statistcal Socity, B, (3), 523–530].     

Estimation of population mean based on dual use of auxiliary information in non response

Whenever there is auxiliary information available in any form, the researchers want to utilize it in the method of estimation to obtain the most efficient estimator. When there exists enough amount of correlation between the study and the auxiliary variables, and parallel to these associations, the ranks of the auxiliary variables are also correlated with the study variable, which can be used a valuable device for enhancing the precision of an estimator accordingly. This article addresses the problem of estimating the finite population mean that utilizes the complementary information in the presence of (i) the auxiliary variable and (ii) the ranks of the auxiliary variable for non response. We suggest an improved estimator for estimating the finite population mean using the auxiliary information in the presence of non response. Expressions for bias and mean squared error of considered estimators are derived up to the first order of approximation. The performance of estimators is compared theoretically and numerically. A numerical study is carried out to evaluate the performances of estimators. It is observed that the proposed estimator is more efficient than the usual sample mean and the regression estimators, and some other families of ratio and exponential type of estimators.     

A General Construction Method for Five-Level Second-Order Rotatable Designs

Response surface methodology is widely used for developing, improving, and optimizing processes in various fields. In this article, we present a method for constructing second-order rotatable designs in order to explore and optimize response surfaces based on an infinite class of supplementary difference sets. The produced designs achieve both properties of rotatability and estimation efficiency. Also, they possess good predictive properties.     

Model bias effects in small area coverage error estimation

For estimation of population totals, dual system estimation (d.s.e.) is often used. Such a procedure is known to suffer from bias under certain conditions. In the following, a simple model is proposed that combines three conditions under which bias of the DSE can result. The conditions relate to response correlation, classification and matching error. The resulting bias is termed model bias. The effects of model bias and synthetic bias in a small area estimation application are illustrated. The illustration uses simulated population data     

Approximate entropy: Statistical properties and applications

ApEn, approximate entropy, is a recently developed family of parameters and statistics quantifying regularity (complexity) in data, providing an information-theoretic quantity for continuous-state processes. We provide the motivation for ApEn development, and indicate the superiority of ApEn to the K-S entropy for statistical application, and for discrimination of both correlated stochastic and noisy deterministic processes. We study the variation of ApEn with input parameter choices, reemphasizing that ApEn is a relative measure of regularity. We study the bias in the ApEn statistic, and present evidence for asymptotic normality in the ApEn distributions, assuming weak dependence. We provide a new test for the hypothesis that an underlying time-series is generated by i.i.d. variables, which does not require distribution specification. We introduce randomized ApEn, which derives an empirical significance probability that two processes differ, based on one data set from each process.     

Optimal designs for contingent response models with application to toxicity–efficacy studies

We describe a general family of contingent response models. These models have ternary outcomes constructed from two Bernoulli outcomes, where one outcome is only observed if the other outcome is positive. This family is represented in a canonical form which yields general results for its Fisher information. A bivariate extreme value distribution illustrates the model and optimal design results. To provide a motivating context, we call the two binary events that compose the contingent responses toxicity and efficacy. Efficacy or lack thereof is assumed only to be observable in the absence of toxicity, resulting in the ternary response (toxicity, efficacy without toxicity, neither efficacy nor toxicity). The rate of toxicity, and the rate of efficacy conditional on no toxicity, are assumed to increase with dose. While optimal designs for contingent response models are numerically found, limiting optimal designs can be expressed in closed forms. In particular, in the family of four parameter bivariate location-scale models we study, as the marginal probability functions of toxicity and no efficacy diverge, limiting D optimal designs are shown to consist of a mixture of the D optimal designs for each failure (toxicity and no efficacy) univariately. Limiting designs are also obtained for the case of equal scale parameters.     

A Comparison of the Predictive Validity of Procedures for Analyzing Binary Data

Some approaches for analyzing binary data are briefly described and compared. The results of two empirical investigations in the context of assessing consumer preferences and a simulation study yield some interesting findings. The article concludes with some directions for future research in this area.     

A model-averaging treatment of multiple instruments in Poisson models with errors

We analyze Poisson regression when covariates contain measurement errors and when multiple potential instrumental variables are available. Without empirical knowledge to select the most suitable variable as an instrument, we propose a novel model-averaging approach to resolve this issue. We prescribe an implementation and establish its optimality in terms of minimizing prediction risk. We further show that, as long as one model is correctly specified among all potential instrumental variable models, our method will lead to consistent prediction. The performance of our method is illustrated through simulations and a movie sales example.     

Ethnicity-based movements and state’s response in Assam

Following reclamation of ethnic identity amid the gnawing scarcities, Assamese ethnic movement germinated in the 1950s, manifested in the form of language and anti-migrants agitations. It became more apparent in the early 1960s. Despite the Assam accord, signed in 1985, certain section of the society with radical leanings picked up arms for a mission of secession from India. Unfortunately, State’s intervention seemingly failed to contain armed conflict, rather convoluted the situation and gave rise to hybrid ethnic identities. In this manner, since the 2000s, the entire state is engulfed in internal feuds. How have the Assamese movements shifted from the socio-cultural to armed struggle for secession and then to internal feuds, and why has the State failed in curbing them are discussed in this paper.