“America Will Not Tolerate Slave Traders”: Counter-Trafficking Policies and US Power

The US government has implemented an ambitious set of policies designed to combat human trafficking and sex trafficking in women and girls in particular. This article argues that anti-trafficking discourse and policy can be understood as a project to sustain and strengthen US power. This power has been wielded through the use of foreign aid, which influences the actions of both state and non-state actors overseas. Existing policies reinforce unilateralism and executive-branch dominance. Policymakers have also used gender strategically to moralize their actions and assert global leadership on this issue. Gender is thus deployed to serve US interests.     

The impact of US tariffs against China on US imports: Evidence for trade diversion?

We provide evidence on the existence of short-run trade diversion effects towards third countries as a consequence of tariff shocks. We exploit sudden policy changes in the context of the trade dispute between the United States and China in 2018. Based on a data set covering monthly product-level information on US imports from 30 countries for the period 2016 until May 2019, we employ a difference-in-differences estimation framework. Doing so, we can show a strong negative direct effect of US tariffs on US imports from China, but do not find evidence for significant short-run trade diversion effects towards third countries.     

出口导向、浮动恐惧与全球经济失衡

在国际收支货币分析方法的基础上,推导一个主权货币作为国际储备货币条件下全球经济失衡的模型,从出口导向、浮动恐惧、国际美元储备和美元环流角度对全球经济失衡进行分析。把全球的国家分为储备货币国和非储备货币国。由于存在“浮动恐惧”,非储备货币国对储备货币国往往采用事实上的固定汇率制。非储备货币国如果希望通过出口导向战略来促进经济增长,则需要以非储备货币国国内信用创造或国际储备不断增长为条件。在经历了20世纪80年代后多次金融危机,越来越多的国家不再采用国内信用创造增长的方式而采用积累国际储备的方式来促进经济增长,这导致了非储备货币国的国际储备越来越多。同时,根据储备货币国家和非储备货币国家的对应关系,储备货币国的经常账户会产生逆差。非储备货币国家的国际储备又通过资本和金融账户流回到储备货币国,储备货币国产生了大量的对外负债。这种情况的持续导致了全球经济失衡。     

布什政府转型外交评析

2006年初，美国国务卿赖斯提出的转型外交，其实是美国朝野相当一部分人士对全球化和信息化时代美国外交的变革的深层次思考的结果，它服务于新世纪美国全球战略的调整，服务于美国的民主改造战略，不会因为执政党的更迭轻易发生改变。作为美推行转型外交重要目标国，中国学者和相关部门应该对此开展持续研究并及早应对。     

Design priorities and disciplinary perspectives: the case of the US National Children's Study

Summary.  The National Children's Study (NCS), which was undertaken in 2000 by collaboration between several US federal government agencies, is one of the largest and boldest longitudinal studies of children's health ever undertaken. One of the key design issues has been the nature of the NCS sample. The paper describes the nature of the choices and the reasons for the decision that the NCS be based on a national probability sample. Designed as a study of the environmental influences on children's health and development, the NCS is expected to identify, enrol and follow about 100000 children from their birth to the age of 21 years. A broad definition of relevant environments of interest, and a full partnership between government, university and medical scientists, introduces considerable challenges in the design of the study.     

美国小企业计划及其对中国企业年金的启示

美国是一个社会保障制度健全的国家,尤其在退休金计划上更是如此。同时,美国的小企业也很发达,为美国的经济发展做出了巨大的贡献。本文从这两个视角出发,将美国小企业年金计划与中国的企业年金进行比较,以期为中国的中小企业年金的发展,提供一些借鉴。     

对美国制造业重振雄风的政策认知过程的系统透视

文章概述了20世纪美国制造业的衰落和重振,从系统观点出发对其激励政策链条着重作了研究,提出政策系统是一个从观念到操作的层次和过程链。     

澳大利亚参与伊拉克战争原因探析

澳大利亚参加美国对伊拉克战争,与第二次世界大战后澳大利亚卷入有涉美国利益的历次战争或冲突一样,是澳美同盟关系平稳发展的体现。对澳大利亚来说,它是一场履行同盟义务和着眼于国家未来安全的保险战争;是一场密切澳美同盟关系借以实现其经济利益以及提升其在地区乃至国际性事务中的地位与影响的战争;在更广泛的意义上,澳大利亚参战体现了西方世界对外战略的基本价值观念。     

俄、沙关系发展的历史与现状

沙特一直与美国保持着稳定的友好关系,与俄罗斯的关系不冷不热、若即若离。然而,911事件使美、沙关系发生了转折性的变化,两国的战略同盟趋于松散。与此同时,俄沙关系开始升温。在沙特看来,俄可充当其第二把“保护伞”,也是安排世界石油格局的理想合作伙伴;而俄则视沙为其重返中东和解决车臣问题的希望,且沙特雄厚的石油资本还可助其经济发展一臂之力。     

美伊战争与2003年油价走势

2003年的世界油气价格在震荡中走高，并维持在高位，其主要原因有：美伊战争、委内瑞拉石油工人罢工、欧美石油库存偏低以及供应偏紧，其中受美伊战争影响最大。