Demography and housing demand—what can we learn from residential construction data?

There are obvious reasons why residential construction should depend on the population’s age structure. We estimate this relation on Swedish time series data and Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development panel data. Large groups of young adults are associated with higher rates of residential construction, but there is also a significant negative effect from those above 75. Age effects on residential investment are robust and forecast well out-of-sample in contrast to the corresponding house price results. This may explain why the debate around house prices and demography has been rather inconclusive. Rapidly aging populations in the industrialized world makes the future look bleak for the construction industry.

劳动力市场分割对农村流动劳动力收入水平的影响——来自甘肃省十个样本村的调查与争析

近年来,劳动力外出务工已成为农民增收的一个重要途径。农村流动劳动力作为一个特殊群体,影响其收入的因素既具有居民收入的一般规律。又具有其特殊性。现有的研究一般以传统人力资本理论和收入均等化理论等为基础,来分析农村流动劳动力收入水平的影响因素。本文以甘肃省农村流动劳动力的调查数据为样本,试图从流动劳动力的人口学特征、就职行业、流动去向及工作稳定性等四个方面分析劳动力市场分割对农民工收入水平的影响。     

Negotiated identities: Male migration and left-behind wives in India

This paper examines the impact of husbands’ migration on the lives of women left behind. Using data from the India Human Development Survey 2005, we focus on two dimensions of women’s lives: women’s autonomy and control over their lives; and women’s labour force participation. Results suggest that household structure forms the key mediating factor through which husbands’ absence affects women. Women not residing in extended families are faced with both higher levels of responsibilities and greater autonomy, while women who live in extended households do not experience these demands or benefits.     

Is demography destiny? The role of structural and demographic factors in Australis past and future labour supply

Following the release of the Intergenerational Report, the Australian Treasury identified the levers to address the economic effects of demographic ageing as ‘the three Ps’: population, participation and productivity. To date, the first ‘P’, population, has been treated as an exogenous factor, with the common view being that there is very little that the government can do to supplant demographic ageing. Focusing upon labour supply, this paper shows how variation in Australia’s underlying demography can significantly alter Australia’s future labour supply. Although governments cannot redirect the cohort flow component of population ageing, much can be achieved in promoting growth of the labour supply by maintaining or increasing fertility (in the longer term), or increasing targeted migration (in the short to medium term). This paper also decomposes the relative role of cohort flow, changing demography and changing labour force participation on the growth of the labour supply over the past 20 years. Over this period, the entry of the baby boom generation (cohort flow) and increased labour force participation of women accounted for almost all of the growth in the labour force. Changing demography had very little effect. However, Australias future labour supply will not include a large increase in cohort flow (as caused by the baby boomers) or a very large increase in female labour force participation. Regardless of the assumptions used, labour supply growth will be considerably lower in the next and subsequent 20 years, when compared to the previous 20.     

刑法司法解释溯及力的若干问题探讨

文章在分析我国刑法司法解释溯及力理论和实践的基础上,论述了刑法司法解释应有溯及力,以及溯及力存在的各种情况。还就刑法司法解释溯及力在司法实践中的几种特殊问题进行了探讨。     

浅谈增强支部凝聚力的几条途径

增强支部凝聚力、战斗力 ,必须搞好“一班人”的团结。为此 ,要有大局意识 ,一切工作要以党的事业和全局利益为重 ;要搞好五湖四海 ,不搞小圈子 ;要眼界宽阔 ,胸襟宽阔 ;要处理好敏感问题 ,保持良好的同志关系 ;要开展批评和自我批评 ,及时解决不团结问题     

论人口老龄化进程与全科医学的互动关系

全科医学是 2 0世纪 6 0年代在北美兴起的一门综合性临床医学学科 ,它是以人为中心 ,以维护和促进健康为目标 ,向个人、家庭与社区提供连续、综合、便捷的基本卫生服务的新型医学学科。人口老龄化进程对全科医学形成和发展有重要影响。全科医学的发展对我国人口老龄化进程也有重大影响 ,有助于社区卫生工作的完善与发展、加快社区养老社会化服务的进程 ,有助于实现健康老龄化。     

深化户籍管理制度改革 进一步适应市场经济发展

改革开放动摇了传统户籍管理制度,市场经济发展要求建立城乡一体化的劳动力市场,在传统户籍管理制度基础上的修修改改已不能满足时代要求。因此,必须建立与市场经济发展相一致的全新户籍管理制度。     

Ethnic‐Controlled Economy or Segregation? Exploring Inequality in Latina/o Co‐Ethnic Jobsites1

Recent research has increasingly focused on how ethnicity operates within labor markets. Due to perceptions of intragroup homogeneity and assumptions that inequality only occurs between majority whites and people of color, most research has neglected intragroup economic inequality. This study examines how skin color, immigration/nativity status, and gender influence wage differentials in Latina/o co‐ethnic jobsites (where workers are the same ethnicity). Using data from the Los Angeles Study of Urban Inequality (LASUI), it is found that there are skin color, immigration/nativity status, and sex wage gaps among Latina/os working in co‐ethnic jobsites. Moreover, illustrating intersectionality, immigrant women and dark‐skinned immigrants suffer from wage gaps in co‐ethnic jobsites. Unexpectedly, some Latinas experience a wage advantage, in comparison with Latinos, which is associated with lighter skin. The author suggests that Latinas are subjected to multiple‐jeopardy situations in which they experience an intersection of inequalities in jobsites saturated by co‐ethnics but that lightness of skin color functions as a form of social capital. Thus, research on the benefits or costs associated with working with co‐ethnics cannot be extended to the entire ethnic group. The conclusion is that for Central Americans and Mexicans, co‐ethnic jobsites are generally forms of segregated employment with limited protection from discrimination.     

珠三角区域的创新路径选择与增长转型——理论、实践与政策评论

2008年的全球金融危机给了珠三角外向型经济以沉重打击,也为经济转型提供了契机。本文针对《珠江三角洲改革发展规划纲要（2008—2020年）》中提出的自主创新、产业升级和增长转型三个问题进行了理论阐述和实证分析,并对所实施的政策进行了评论,提出了通过创新的路径选择促进产业升级和增长方式转变的对策。