生态共同体视阈下“天人合一”再解读——兼论川滇藏交界地带涉藏州县生态文明建设

“天人合一”哲学思想追求个体自身和谐、社会关系和谐、人与自然和谐,是我国传统文化的精髓,所倡导的“和”文化契合当代生态文明建设的目标,对经济、社会发展有着深远的影响。在中央第七次西藏工作座谈会生态保护精神的积极引导下,川滇藏交界地带涉藏州县应坚持“生态保护第一”,践行“两山论”,实现绿色发展。本文系统梳理“天人合一”的内容含义、历史价值与现实意义,探究“天人合一”思想与生态共同体、乡村振兴的学理性前提,并对生态共同体视阈下的“天人合一”观念、精神和实践再解读。目前,川滇藏交界地带涉藏州县存在返贫风险系数较高、经济社会发展动能不足的建设困境。基于此,川滇藏交界地带涉藏州县应坚持科学规划引领、因地制宜突出特色、完善基础设施与配套服务、优化产业结构、加强基层治理制度创新和能力建设、集聚地区高效治理发展合力,实现高质量发展。     

农村水利与污染的博弈论研究

本文以重庆市璧山区丁家镇为研究对象,对博弈者选择规范治理发展模式和传统发展模式进行博弈模拟.结果显示,博弈者同时选择规范治理发展模式是最佳选择,利益收获最大,分配更加均衡;同时选择规范发展模式有不错的收益,可基本实现可持续发展.只有其中一方选择规范治理发展模式或规范发展模式并非是利益均衡点,分析了污染因素,包括生活污染、工业污染、农业污染和其后的利益博弈关系并提出建议.     

Liberalization,crisis and growth in MENA region: Do institutions matter?

The main purpose of this study is to investigate the interaction between financial liberalization, banking crisis and economic growth by taking into consideration the role of institutions. Our sample covers 15 Middle East and North African observed during the period 2000–2013. Using a dynamic panel data framework, our findings reveal that financial liberalization contributed to improve economic growth in MENA countries while banking crisis had harmful effects on MENA economies. The quality of institutions did not have a clear impact except for rule and order and democratic institution. These results have important policy implications. To grow output and avoid the occurrence of banking crisis, MENA countries should reinforce their institutions quality by adopting good practice of governance and regulation.     

Sensitivity analysis of longitudinal data with intermittent missing values

Several models for longitudinal data with nonrandom missingness are available. The selection model of Diggle and Kenward is one of these models. It has been mentioned by many authors that this model depends on untested modelling assumptions, such as the response distribution, from the observed data. So, a sensitivity analysis of the study’s conclusions for such assumptions is needed. The stochastic EM algorithm is proposed and developed to handle continuous longitudinal data with nonrandom intermittent missing values when the responses have non-normal distribution. This is a step in investigating the sensitivity of the parameter estimates to the change of the response distribution. The proposed technique is applied to real data from the International Breast Cancer Study Group.     

A network perspective on international banking integration

The aim of this article is to develop new international banking integration indicators together with their components: openness and regularity (balance) of the bilateral bank flows. We define the Standard of Perfect Banking Integration (SPBI), which characterizes the scenario attainable when bank flows are not geographically biased, and cross-border asset trade is not affected by home bias. We assess the gap between a hypothetical scenario of geographic neutrality and the current level of banking integration, along with both of its components. The empirical application to the banking systems of 23 countries over the 2003–2009 period enables us to conclude that the level of banking integration has advanced rapidly over the last few years and, according to our indicators, is close to 45% as of 2009, i.e., we are not halfway to the SPBI. However, notable differences among countries are both persistent and growing, and the integration level achieved for each banking system differs when either assessed from the bank inflows or outflows perspective.     

人口规模、“省直管县”与地方公共品供给的影响 ——来自湖北省市、县两级数据的经验证据

 本文在构建地方公共品最优供给模型基础上,运用湖北省县级和地市级面板数据就人口规模、“省直管县”对地方公共品供给的影响进行了实证检验。研究发现：基于Bordherding-Deacon常弹性拥挤函数的模型比较有效的刻画了地方公共品的供给;地市和县人口增加产生的“规模效应”大于“拥挤效应”;在县级公共服务需求的价格弹性为正,价格机制在县域公共品供给中是失灵的,而在地市级价格弹性为负,价格机制发挥着一定作用;无论地市级还是县级,公共品需求的收入弹性都大于1而富有弹性,符合“瓦格纳法则”;上级财政补助在改善地方公共服务中的作用不明显。     

三地县级财政困难的实证比较分析

分税制改革后,基层财政持续紧张,出现了大量的收支缺口和赤字,制约地方经济发展.在对三省三县进行实地调研之后,作者分析了县级财政困难的深层次原因.     

DEEP FINANCIAL INTEGRATION AND VOLATILITY

We investigate the relationship between foreign direct ownership of firms and firm‐ and region‐level output volatility using a novel panel data set for European countries. We document a positive, highly robust, relationship between firm‐level foreign ownership and volatility of value added. This relationship holds cross‐sectionally and in panels with firm fixed effects where the relationship captures within‐firm variation over time. Considering domestic firms with assets in foreign countries, we document that it is international diversification, rather than the nationality of the owner, that explains this positive correlation. Our results can also be found at the aggregate level, where we show that region‐level volatility is correlated positively with foreign investment in the region. We show that this positive relation between aggregate volatility and foreign investment can be explained by the granularity of the firm size distribution and the fact that foreign ownership is concentrated among the largest firms.     

从郡县沿革探讨东瓯都城地望

汉唐以来东瓯故地的建置沿革经历了一个复杂的过程,其中与东瓯都城有关的东汉"章安县东瓯乡"在永和三年独立为"永宁"县后,演变为唐宋以来的温州和台州南部郡县。《新唐书.地理五》语"黄岩,本永宁"概括了唐代黄岩县原属汉永宁县故地的历史。考古发现的温岭大溪东瓯古城与塘山东瓯贵族墓葬的地理位置,与汉唐以来东瓯都城故地的郡县沿革史吻合,应距东瓯国都城遗存不远。     

山西省现代农业影响因子分析及对策研究

根据山西省2001-2009年统计年鉴的资料,我们采用主成分分析法对影响山西省现代农业发展的因子进行分析研究,结果表明：人口数量、耕地资源禀赋、农业现代化水平和土地的产出水平是制约山西省现代农业发展的主要因素。为此,建议采取严格控制人口、提高耕地质量、加强农业基础建设、大力推进农产品品牌建设以及以工业化理念经营农业等相应对策,以确保山西现代农业的顺利发展。