东亚地区主义与美国东亚霸权

东亚地区合作的思想由来已久,并有着深厚的内在基础。但东亚地区真正起步还是在冷战以后。这个过程与美国东亚霸权紧密相连。某种程度上,东亚地区合作只是美国东亚霸权的附属产品。但美国东亚霸权目标和手段的内在矛盾决定了美国对东亚地区合作的两面性。东亚地区正是充分利用这个两面性,促进了本地区的合作与整合,形成了一股具有内生变量的,不以美国东亚霸权志趣为转移的力量或态势。但随着东亚地区实力的上升和进一步整合,美国这种内在矛盾性将进一步凸现。未来如何化解美国东亚霸权和东亚地区发展这种矛盾成为目前非常紧迫的课题。     

民营企业和华人企业的战略联盟构建

随着中国-东盟自由贸易区的构建,中国民营企业与东南亚华人企业形成战略联盟也越来越为世人瞩目。本文在分析了中国民营企业战略态势和东南亚华人企业战略态势的基础上,根据中国民营企业与东南亚华人企业战略联盟的形成从理论上进行了探讨。     

Maternal union instability and childhood mortality risk in the Global South, 2010–14

Efforts to improve child survival in lower-income countries typically focus on fundamental factors such as economic resources and infrastructure provision, even though research from post-industrial countries confirms that family instability has important health consequences. We tested the association between maternal union instability and children’s mortality risk in Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean, and Asia using children’s actual experience of mortality (discrete-time probit hazard models) as well as their experience of untreated morbidity (probit regression). Children of divorced/separated mothers experience compromised survival chances, but children of mothers who have never been in a union generally do not. Among children of partnered women, those whose mothers have experienced prior union transitions have a higher mortality risk. Targeting children of mothers who have experienced union instability—regardless of current union status—may augment ongoing efforts to reduce childhood mortality, especially in Africa and Latin America where union transitions are common.     

英俄角逐中亚与1873年英俄协定

本文以19世纪前期的中亚为背景,勾勒了该时期英俄争夺中亚,并达成1873年英俄协定的历史概貌,以便使我们对英俄进行殖民掠夺的本性有一个全新的认识.     

传统海洋文化视角下中国与东南亚的交流

自古以来,因地缘上的临近,中国与东南亚交往密切,在此过程中,中国和东南亚之间的关系不断发展,中国和东南亚地区的海洋文化在双方的沟通过程中也不断地丰富和发展。中国“海上丝绸之路”的开辟极大地推动了中国与东南亚的经济和文化交流,以农耕性、和平性和内向性为特征的中国南海传统海洋文化对中国与东南亚的交流起到了纽带作用。以中国南海传统海洋文化为视角,从其形成、特征和内容三个层次进行分析,阐述了中国与东南亚的交流。     

怛逻斯城与唐代丝绸之路

哈萨克斯坦塔拉兹市地处丝绸之路要冲,古称“怛逻斯”。公元5世纪,粟特人建怛逻斯城,后来成为西突厥领地。唐朝称霸中亚后,在西域所设最远的羁縻州就在怛逻斯城,后为突骑施可汗占据。8世纪,突骑施的兴起,客观上为唐朝在西方建立了一道军事屏障,对遏止阿拉伯帝国东侵至关重要。然而,唐高宗却自毁长城,多次向突骑施汗国发动战争,导致安西四镇不得不直接面对来自黑衣大食的军事威胁。751年的怛逻斯之役,四镇节度使高仙芝兵败大食。对古代中国来说,怛逻斯河简直是一道不可逾越的鸿沟,可谓汉唐王朝国力向西发展的极点。     

中国对中亚能源投资的法律问题及对策

中国与中亚在能源方面合作不断加强,逐步形成了更加紧密的能源安全共同体,然而在双方投资与合作过程中诸多相关法律问题也不断涌现,使中国对中亚地区的能源投资风险加大。文章对中亚能源投资中对投资的界定、投资准入、政治风险及环境保护等相关投资法律问题进行研究与分析,提出中国在中亚投资与合作过程中的相应对策,将对中国能源投资规避风险、保护投资利益大有裨益。     

Kairos economies in the post-Soviet transition period of Central Asia

There are times when entire populations of certain countries have had to readjust their lives and economic strategies as all of society is under transition. Post-Soviet Central Asia underwent this period after 1991. During times of transition, there are always people that tend to be able to make use of the new uncertainties, even at the risk of entering legal grey areas. Here new social groups emerge, ethnic origin becomes relevant and new kinship ties are made. These transformation periods are often short and provide limited opportunities for analysing the strategies of those pioneers that I call Kairos economists. They often act only in cooperation with residents of the border and with duty customs and security personnel. This article analyses this special economy with the help of case studies that have been observed during the transformation period from the Soviet to an independent Central Asia.     

China’s flexible overseas food strategy: food trade and agricultural investment between Southeast Asia and China in 1990–2015

Using the UN Comtrade database and multiple sources of agricultural investment data, this paper outlines the emerging patterns of food trade and agricultural investment between Southeast Asian countries and China. The paper shows that China has adopted a flexible overseas food strategy. First, China has increased food export and shifted its food trade with Southeast Asia from a dependent relationship towards a complementary relationship at the regional level in recent years. Second, China tends to adapt to the existing conditions of food production and trade in Southeast Asian countries instead of fundamentally altering them. Finally, Chinese overseas agricultural investment is less driven by domestic food demand but more oriented for profit making, and this gives it flexibility in diversifying investment. An adequate understanding of China’s flexible food strategy in bilateral and multilateral relationships holds implications for global food security.     

Replica localization in East Asia: the case of the Asian hedge fund industry

Hedge funds exemplify complex finance in the global economy and are appearing in diverse national settings. One question that follows is whether hedge funds in the Asian region have been localized and exhibit significant differences to their US/UK counterparts or whether there is predominantly one global model. The analysis here point to the importance of what is called replica localization, wherein local control has entailed little deviation from the practices of Anglo-American hedge funds. Evidence generated from databases and interviews confirms the largely equivalent structures and strategies found in the new Asian hedge fund sector. The significance is that a small but growing Asian financial space has been carved out that is funded by Asian capital and managed by Asian elites but matches external models. To further delineate globalized finance, comparative research is needed to determine when and why complex finance is either present or absent outside of Anglo-American economies.