Role of Leaders as Agents of Negotiation for Counterbalancing Cultural Dissonance in the Middle East and North Africa Region

This study provides a unique perspective in the field of cross-cultural management by exploring the relationship between “cultural dissonance”—the gap between cultural values and actual practice—and effective leadership attributes in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. Incorporating cultural dissonance into implicit leadership theory, the study uses measurements of dissonance on nine cultural dimensions to identify particular leadership preferences in seven MENA countries. The overall findings suggest that societies prefer leaders who counterbalance cultural dissonance by allowing space for negotiations by members of society to reduce disparities between cultural values—“the way things should be”—and actual practices—“the way things are.” The greater the disparity between cultural values and practices, the greater the citizens' desire that leaders act as agents of change by creating space for negotiation.     

区域知识资源配置结构和谐指数测度分析

通过分析知识资源配置结构和谐的内涵和构成,构建国家区域知识资源配置结构和谐指数测量的二阶段模型,以2000年至2007年我国31个省市的知识分布为研究对象,结合熵权TOPSIS和扩展的基尼系数方法,测量我国区域人力资本知识资源结构和谐指数、知识资源投入运行结构和谐指数、区域知识经济环境和谐指数和区域总体知识资源配置结构和谐指数,主要得出以下结论:人力资本知识资源结构较为和谐,指数变化幅度较小,但没有优化趋势;知识资源投入运行结构非常和谐,且愈趋优化;区域知识经济环境和谐指数相对最不和谐,区域间存在较大差异;区域总体知识资源配置结构较为和谐,但变化幅度较大,尚没有显著优化趋向。     

Forest Fire Risk Management and Public Participation in Changing Socioenvironmental Conditions: A Case Study in a Mediterranean Region

Under current conditions of accelerated socioenvironmental change in the Mediterranean forested landscapes, fire is one of the most critical and difficult risks to tackle within the region. This article summarizes the lessons learned from a project based on the participatory integration of qualitative local stakeholders' knowledge with expert GIS fire simulations carried out in the County of El Bages, Catalonia, Spain. First, in this article, a theoretical model--the forest fire circle--is presented in order to explain the reasons for the rise in the damage and frequency of forest fires in this Mediterranean area. Second, it describes the methodology developed and the stages followed during the project. Results show that: (1) the advocacy of old forest reactive management paradigm assumptions and practices based on uncontrolled forest succession can put vast wooded areas of the Mediterranean basin at critical risk; and (2) forest fire management approaches that ignore the crucial role of long-term prevention and local capacity building strategies have failed. In the final section, the content and the specific dimensions of the old reactive paradigm that has characterized forest fire risk management in Catalonia are discussed and contrasted with the possibly emerging preventative paradigm.     

基于DEA模型的京津冀科技与金融结合效率研究

由于金融业和科学技术的高度融合在较大程度上推动了中国经济社会的发展,科技与金融相结合发展已成为一种创新型发展趋势,文章借鉴现有的评价科技与金融结合效率的指标体系,运用数据包络分析模型对2005—2019年京津冀地区的金融投入与科技产出进行分析,研究其科技与金融相结合的效率,研究结果表明：在2019年京津冀三地科技与金融结合效率良好,均达到了有效状态,北京市科技与金融总体效率有9年未达到有效状态,天津市有13年未达到有效状态,河北省有12年未达到有效状态。根据研究结果,文章对京津冀地区科技与金融服务结合的未来发展提出建议。     

BUSDM – an algorithm for the bottom-up search of departures from a model

Searching for regions of the input space where a statistical model is inappropriate is useful in many applications. The study proposes an algorithm for finding local departures from a regression-type prediction model. The algorithm returns low-dimensional hypercubes where the average prediction error clearly departs from zero. The study describes the developed algorithm, and shows successful applications on the simulated and real data from the steel plate production. The algorithms that have been originally developed for searching regions of the high-response value from the input space are reviewed and considered as alternative methods for locating model departures. The proposed algorithm succeeds in locating the model departure regions better than the compared alternatives. The algorithm can be utilized in sequential follow-up of a model as time goes along and new data are observed.     

我国区域多机场复合系统协调发展研究

我国区域多机场复合系统发展存在区域内总航空运输需求不足,新机场航空运输量不足,非主要机场运输量不稳定,区域多机场分配运量难等现状。大都市区在确定是否发展多机场系统以及在规划发展多机场复合系统时,要从始发旅客需要达到一定的阀值、大力发展低成本航空公司、多机场系统分工协作等方面考虑发展策略。     

中原经济区框架内政府合作机制之拓新——法治的视角

在区域经济一体化的大背景下,地方政府之间的固有合作机制日益显示出其局限性。通过法治视角的重新审视,不难发现政府合作机制拓新的必要性。合作形式的立法拓展、合作机制的契约化以及合作争端的司法解决将会最终促成政府合作机制的法治化建构。     

资本形成和流动对我国东部地区经济影响的实证分析

东部地区经济的快速增长离不开资本的支持,但东部地区在财政收入与支出、固定资产投资、FDI、对外投资、银行存款与贷款余额五方面均存在差别。加上东部各省市不同的经济结构和外资利用情况,各省市经济的发展呈现较大差异。实证检验证明：东部地区资本流动省际差异巨大,从银行存贷资金来看,东部地区均是资金流出地;人均固定资产投资对各地区的经济均有显著的促进作用,但地区经济结构的差异也导致了财政收支和FDI对经济影响的差异;人均存贷差对东部整体影响的不显著,说明了东部地区储蓄转化为投资的无效率,但人均存贷差对东部三个区域却存在不同影响。     

推进江苏沿海文化产业发展的政府责任与措施

近年来,江苏省委、省政府做出了建设＂文化强省＂的战略部署。2009年,国务院通过了《江苏沿海地区发展规划》,江苏沿海的连云港、盐城、南通的发展上升到国家战略层面,成为江苏新的经济增长极。江苏省明确提出将在2012年使得文化产业发展成为国民经济支柱产业的战略目标。在加快发展江苏沿海区域经济的同时,加快开发江苏沿海文化产业,需要从政府组织、行业管理、资金支持、政策辅助等方面提供条件,确保江苏沿海与江苏其他地区文化产业协调发展,努力构筑新的文化产业高地。     

基于重复博弈的京津冀机场协作机制研究

在分析京津冀机场运营环境和运营现状以及机场运营特征的基础之上,设计了机场收益函数和博弈的策略组合,建立了完全信息静态博弈结构及其重复博弈模型,求解了重复博弈纳什均衡及其均衡条件,提出了实现机场协作的变量取值范围,并设计相应的政策机制。研究发现,京津冀机场业务分布不均,航线重叠率较高,而且业务饱和度较高的首都机场经营业绩不佳,实现京津冀机场的业务整合尤为必要。然而,当前机场所在当地政府出台了许多机场扩建规划,依据完全信息静态博弈模型分析可知,这会将机场发展推向"囚徒困境"。从本质上分析,三地机场竞争服从无限次重复博弈模型,在此条件下,三方合作成为子博弈精炼均衡,长期协作成为可能。通过合作条件分析发现:三方合作后的规模效应越大,合作越易成功;北京机场的非航空业务收入占总收入的比例越大,合作越易成功;即使津冀机场的规模效应大于首都机场的规模效应,津冀机场依然不倾向于合作,由此可见,津冀机场是合作的主要障碍。