日本的和平博物馆与和平研究

日本所拥有的和平博物馆数量位居世界之首,但大多数公共和平博物馆与战争博物馆一样,没有展示日本的侵略历史;即使涉及这方面,也只是展现日本作为第二次世界大战中原子弹爆炸受害者的形象,而完全忽略亚洲其他国家人民遭受日本蹂躏的苦难经历。然而另有一些公共和平博物馆和私人博物馆如高知民众所,却客观地反映了日本在二战中的侵略历史,市民们在那里建构和平的活动很是积极。在和平教育中,和平博物馆不仅在学校而且在社区均扮演着重要的角色。在冲突化解和宣扬和平思想方面,和平博物馆将发挥相当的作用。     

论抗战时期国共合作的思想基础

抗战时期国共合作的思想理论基础是三民主义。没有三民主义思想理论的指导,就不可能有国共再次合作;没有国共合作,也就不可能有抗日战争的最后胜利。     

努力发挥比较优势,加快湖北文化发展

为落实中部地区崛起战略,湖北应努力发挥比较优势,加快文化发展,增强文化自觉,推进文化创新,扩大文化开放,把湖北省建成中西部文化强省。     

共青团围绕党的中心任务而奋斗的百年历程及基本经验

作为党的助手和后备军,中国共产主义青年团紧跟党的步伐,围绕党的中心任务,走过了百年辉煌历程。百年来,共青团坚持党的领导,将党领导团正确的方针政策落到实处;坚持改革,不断增强团围绕党的中心任务而奋斗的能力;教育引导青年,重视青年在革命、建设、改革中的作用,在新民主主义革命时期、社会主义革命和建设时期、改革开放和社会主义现代化建设时期、新时代中国特色社会主义建设时期都作出了重要贡献。未来建设中,共青团要不断突出政治性,增强先进性,保持群众性,巩固、夯实、筑牢其围绕党的中心任务而奋斗的领导基础、政治基础和青年群众基础。     

Worldviews or Social Groups as the Source of Moral Value Attitudes: Implications for the Culture Wars Thesis

Individual moral value attitudes are typically explained by reference to social experiences as indicated by social group variables. Contrary to this view, the emergent culture wars perspective claims that two worldviews that transcend social groups are ultimately and fundamentally responsible for moral value attitudes. Although this relationship has been claimed for the general population, it has not been investigated with national representative data. This paper contrasts the worldview and social group explanations by examining the relative importance of the worldviews implicated in the culture wars literature and the social groups found to be important in previous research. I find social groups to be more important than worldviews, but that worldviews also have explanatory power. I conclude with a discussion about possible clarifications of the culture wars thesis.     

Limit theorems for dependent Bernoulli variables with statistical inference

We consider a class of dependent Bernoulli variables where the conditional success probability is a linear combination of the last few trials and the original success probability. We obtain its limit theorems including the strong law of large numbers, weak invariance principle, and law of the iterated logarithm. We also derive some statistical inference results which make the model applicable. Simulation results are exhibited as well to show that with small sample size the convergence rate is satisfying and the proposed estimators behave well.     

Preferences of the Central Bank of Brazil under the inflation targeting regime: Estimation using a DSGE model for a small open economy

The main objective of this paper is to estimate the preferences of the Central Bank of Brazil after the inflation targeting regime (January 2000 to December 2013), using a DSGE model with microeconomic foundations for a small open economy, based especially on the work of Kam et al. (2009). The model used in this study considers that the Central Bank minimizes a loss function, taking into account the deviation of inflation from its target, output stabilization, the interest rate smoothing and, unlike the previous works, the exchange rate. The results show that the major concern of the monetary authority in the period was the stabilization of inflation, followed by interest rate smoothing, exchange stabilization and, finally, output stabilization. The large value for the exchange rate smoothing parameter suggests the presence of fear of floating in the Brazilian case. An improved inflation targeting strategy should allow for less Central Bank intervention in the exchange rate market.     

限制战争:格劳秀斯主权理论新解

格劳秀斯希望能够限制战争,并通过为战争立法,使人类尽可能免受战争灾难。出于这一考虑,其主权理论的贡献不仅在于首次从国际法和国际关系层面对主权的内涵进行了阐释,而且在阐释主权内涵时体现出非常鲜明的限制战争的理念。格劳秀斯意图通过约束发动战争的主体来限制战争,其排斥人民主权的目的也在于限制战争。格劳秀斯从国际法层面立法限制战争的思想对后世产生了重要影响,也成为现代国际法中废弃战争和禁止战争思想的理论源头。     

Can Psychosocial Intervention Improve Peer and Sibling Relations Among War‐affected Children? Impact and Mediating Analyses in a Randomized Controlled Trial

Social resources are considered important protectors in traumatic conditions, but few studies have analyzed their role in psychosocial interventions among war‐affected children. We examined (1) whether a psychosocial intervention (teaching recovery techniques, TRT) is effective in improving peer and sibling relations, and (2) whether these potentially improved relations mediate the intervention's impacts on children's mental health. Participants were 428 Palestinian children [10–13 (mean = 11.29, standard deviation SD = .68)‐year‐old girls (49.4 percent) and boys (50.6 percent)], who were cluster‐randomized into the TRT and wait‐list control groups. They reported the quality of peer (friendship and loneliness) and sibling (intimacy, warmth, conflict, and rivalry) relations, and posttraumatic stress, depressive and psychological distress symptoms, as well as psychosocial well‐being at baseline (T1), postintervention (T2), and six month follow‐up (T3). Results showed gender‐specific TRT intervention effects: Loneliness in peer relations reduced among boys and sibling rivalry reduced among girls. The TRT prevented the increase in sibling conflict that happened in the control group. The mediating hypothesis was partially substantiated for improved peer relations, and beneficial changes in sibling relations were generally associated with improved mental health.