Training Intraverbal Naming to Establish Matching-to-Sample Performances

The current study evaluated whether training intraverbal naming would be sufficient to establish visual-visual matching-to-sample (MTS) performances in college students. In the first experiment, we used a multiple-probe design across stimulus sets to assess whether six participants could match arbitrary visual stimuli (AB) after learning to tact their two experimentally defined classes (A’ and B’) and then intraverbally relate their names (i.e., “A’ goes with B’”). All participants matched the stimuli accurately after training, as well as emitted the trained intraverbals. In the second experiment, we used a multiple baseline design across four participants to assess whether the same training would produce bi-directional intraverbals in the form of “B’ goes with A’,” and MTS performance consistent with symmetry (BA). All participants responded accurately during matching and intraverbal tests. Across both experiments, participants stated the trained intraverbals while performing the matching task. Results showed that MTS performance can be established solely by verbal behavior training.     

国际资本流动冲击有利于经济增长吗

本文估算并应用潜在产出描述经济增长,尝试从国际合作角度设定动态结构面板向量自回归模型,识别自发性国际资本流动的综合性结构冲击,并进一步分解为共同冲击和特有冲击,提出研究国际资本流动冲击对经济增长影响的计量思路,以金砖国家为例进行实证分析。研究发现：国际资本流动冲击对金砖各国经济增长的效应因资本账户开放进程而异,但对金砖整体经济增长存在正效应,且不为金砖各国之间的资本流动冲击所扰;将金砖国家视为以国际合作形式联合的整体进行计量分析是可行且有经济意义的。中国应推进包括金砖国家在内的全方位南南合作,不断完善资本账户开放条件,分散国际资本流动冲击并使其有利于长期共同发展。     

On the Properties of the Likelihood Function of Spanos' Conditional t Heteroskedastic Model

This article investigates the properties of the likelihood function of Spanos’ conditional t heteroskedastic model (Spanos, 1994 Spanos , A. ( 1994 ). On modeling heteroskedasticity: The student's t and elliptical linear regression models . Econometric Theor. 10 : 286 – 315 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) On modeling heteroskedasticity: the student's t and elliptical linear regression models. It is shown that estimability of the degrees of freedom of t distribution and the block-diagonality of the information matrix of the joint likelihood function with respect to conditional mean parameters and remaining parameters hold for the model. The joint maximum likelihood estimator and its inference based on the t-statistic and χ²-statistic are examined in finite samples by simulation when the degrees of freedom is known and unknown.     

Strong Consistency of Conditional Value-at-risk Estimate for ϕ-mixing Samples

In this article, we investigate the strong consistency of conditional value-at-risk estimate for ? ?mixing samples under mild conditions. Moreover, the corresponding strong consistency rate is also obtained.     

Prediction of Times to Failure of Censored Items for a Simple Step-Stress Model with Regular and Progressive Type I Censoring from the Exponential Distribution

The problem of predicting times to failure of units from the Exponential Distribution which are censored under a simple step-stress model is considered in this article. We discuss two types of censoring—regular and progressive Type I—and two kinds of predictors—the maximum likelihood predictors (MLP) and the conditional median predictors (CMP) for each type of censoring. Numerical examples are used to illustrate the prediction methods. Using simulation studies, mean squared prediction error (MSPE) and prediction intervals are generated for these examples. MLP and the CMP are then compared with respect to MSPE and the prediction interval.     

On Conditionally Independent Random Variables,Copula and Order Statistics

The copula representations for conditionally independent random variables and the distribution properties of order statistics of these random variables are studied.     

一类基于非参数回归的条件异方差检验

现有基于参数模型构造的条件异方差检验往往存在模型设定偏误问题。为了避免模型误设对检验结果的影响,并且同时捕获多种条件异方差现象,本文基于非参数回归构造了不依赖于特定模型形式的条件异方差检验统计量。该统计量可视作条件方差和无条件方差之间差异的加权平均,在原假设成立时渐近服从标准正态分布。数值模拟结果一方面表明本文统计量具有良好的有限样本性质,另一方面也说明条件均值模型误设会导致错误地拒绝条件同方差的原假设,凸显了本文引入非参数方法构造条件异方差检验的必要性。实证分析采用本文统计量探讨了国际主要股指收益率的条件异方差现象,得到了与Engle (1982)不同的检验结果,可能意味着股指收益率呈现出非线性动态特征。     

广西西江流域工业化发展分析

目前广西西江流域工业化发展处于工业化中前期阶段。西江流域工业化发展有其优势和劣势。充分发挥政府的作用、加快基础设施建设、加快工业园区建设和促进民营工业的发展,是推进西江流域工业化快速发展的战略路径。     

条件句的研究方法论

探讨西方传统语法、语用学、功能语言学和认知语言学对条件句的研究,指出其优缺点。通过综合功能法分析了法律条文的条件句类型和语义,说明条件句的分析从多角度进行能得出更好的启发 分析了汉语条件句的研究方法,发现其经历的阶段和过程与西方语言学相似,可以后者为指导。