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191.
罗来武 《深圳大学学报(人文社会科学版)》2012,29(3):121-127
从增长的成分看,中国经济30多年的快速发展,更主要地来源于工业化。但是,由于政策的偏向和结构的失衡,中国现行的工业化模式日益遇到越来越多的问题和挑战。这些问题在很大的程度上来源于第三产业滞后于第二产业的发展,城市化或服务业化滞后于工业化的进程。化解当前所遇到的系列经济及社会问题,根本措施在于通过深度改革,促进现代服务业和第三产业的发展,使服务业与工业产业能够良性互动。 相似文献
192.
财政支出作为财政政策的重要组成部分,体现了一国政府职能的内在要求。现阶段,如何合理安排财政支出以有效刺激居民消费,已经成为我国经济政策的重要内容。通过建立财政支出与居民消费的向量误差修正模型(VEC模型),可以发现财政支出部分"挤出"居民消费,居民收入无论短期还是长期均是居民消费增长的重要因素。 相似文献
193.
Piero Demetrio Falorsi Giorgio Alleva Fabio Bacchini Roberto Iannaccone 《Statistical Methods and Applications》2005,14(1):83-99
Various approaches to obtaining estimates based on preliminary data are outlined. A case is then considered which frequently
arises when selecting a subsample of units, the information for which is collected within a deadline that allows preliminary
estimates to be produced. At the moment when these estimates have to be produced it often occurs that, although the collection
of data on subsample units is still not complete, information is available on a set of units which does not belong to the
sample selected for the production of the preliminary estimates. An estimation method is proposed which allows all the data
available on a given date to be used to the full-and the expression of the expectation and variance are derived. The proposal
is based on two-phase sampling theory and on the hypothesis that the response mechanism is the result of random processes
whose parameters can be suitably estimated. An empirical analysis of the performance of the estimator on the Italian Survey
on building permits concludes the work.
The Sects. 1,2,3,4 and the technical appendixes have been developed by Giorgio Alleva and Piero Demetrio Falorsi; Sect. 5
has been done by Fabio Bacchini and Roberto Iannaccone.
Piero Demetrio Falorsi is chief statisticians at Italian National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT); Giorgio Alleva is Professor
of Statistics at University “La Sapienza” of Rome, Fabio Bacchini and Roberto Iannaccone are researchers at ISTAT. 相似文献
194.
195.
梁海钢 《湛江师范学院学报》2000,(2)
进入 90年代 ,美学研究的转型问题成为学术界的一大热点 ,本文基于当下文化现状 ,分析这种转型的表现 ,指出其发生的原因及合理性。 相似文献
196.
In traditional bootstrap applications the size of a bootstrap sample equals the parent sample size, n say. Recent studies have shown that using a bootstrap sample size different from n may sometimes provide a more satisfactory solution. In this paper we apply the latter approach to correct for coverage error in construction of bootstrap confidence bounds. We show that the coverage error of a bootstrap percentile method confidence bound, which is of order O ( n −2/2 ) typically, can be reduced to O ( n −1 ) by use of an optimal bootstrap sample size. A simulation study is conducted to illustrate our findings, which also suggest that the new method yields intervals of shorter length and greater stability compared to competitors of similar coverage accuracy. 相似文献
197.
Michael Sørensen 《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》1998,25(2):331-343
For curved ( k + 1), k -exponential families of stochastic processes a natural and often studied sequential procedure is to stop observation when a linear combination of the coordinates of the canonical process crosses a prescribed level. For such procedures the model is, approximately or exactly, a non-curved exponential family. Subfamilies of these stopping rules defined by having the same Fisher (expected) information are considered. Within a subfamily the Bartlett correction for a point hypothesis is also constant. Methods for comparing the durations of the sampling periods for the stopping rules in such a subfamily are discussed. It turns out that some stopping times tend to be smaller than others. For exponential families of diffusions and of counting processes the probability that one such stopping time is smaller than another can be given explicity. More generally, an Edgeworth expansion of this probability is given 相似文献
198.
E. D. Mc Cune 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(3):243-250
A new method of approximating one quantile of a distribution function in terms of the corresponding quantile of another distribution function is introduced. The method utilizes the Cornish-Fisher expansion so as to eliminate the requirement for knowing the cumulants while at the same time retaining the desired simplicity as well as the property of not affecting the order of the error of the approximation. 相似文献
199.
Ping Zhang 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(10):2765-2775
The goal of the current paper is to compare consistent and inconsistent model selection criteria by looking at their convergence rates (to be defined in the first section). The prototypes of the two types of criteria are the AIC and BIC criterion respectively. For linear regression models with normally distributed errors, we show that the convergence rates for AIC and BIC are 0(n-1) and 0((n log n)-1/2) respectively. When the error distributions are unknown, the two criteria become indistinguishable, all having convergence rate O(n-1/2). We also argue that the BIC criterion has nearly optimal convergence rate. The results partially justified some of the controversial simulation results in which inconsistent criteria seem to outperform consistent ones. 相似文献
200.