BIVARIATE DISTRIBUTION WITH TRUNCATED POISSON MARGINAL DISTRIBUTIONS

ABSTRACT

A bivariate distribution, whose marginal distributions are truncated Poisson distributions, is developed as a product of truncated Poisson distributions and a multiplicative factor. The multiplicative factor takes into account the correlation, either positive or negative, between the two random variables. The distributional properties of this model are studied and the model is fitted to a real life bivariate data.     

Spectral goodness of fit for network models

We introduce a new statistic, ‘spectral goodness of fit’ (SGOF) to measure how well a network model explains the structure of the pattern of ties in an observed network. SGOF provides a measure of fit analogous to the standard R² in linear regression. Additionally, as it takes advantage of the properties of the spectrum of the graph Laplacian, it is suitable for comparing network models of diverse functional forms, including both fitted statistical models and algorithmic generative models of networks. After introducing, defining, and providing guidance for interpreting SGOF, we illustrate the properties of the statistic with a number of examples and comparisons to existing techniques. We show that such a spectral approach to assessing model fit fills gaps left by earlier methods and can be widely applied.     

PROPERLY RESCALED COMPONENTS OF SMOOTH TESTS OF FIT ARE DIAGNOSTIC

The paper illustrates a typical pitfall associated with a conventional interpretation of components of smooth tests of fit, for example the first nonzero components of the smooth tests for Poissonity, exponentiality, normality and the geometric distribution. In order to achieve a directed diagnosis concerning the kind of departure from a hypothesised model, an appropriate rescaling of components is necessary.     

Use of an empirical probability generating function for testing a Poisson model

We present a test of the fit to a Poisson model based on the empirical probability generating function (epgf). We derive the limiting distribution of the test under the Poisson hypothesis and show that a rescaling of it is approximately independent of the mean parameter in the Poisson distribution. When inspected under a simulation study over a range of alternative distributions, we find that this test shows reasonable behaviour compared to other goodness-of-fit tests like the Poisson index of dispersion and smooth test applied to the Poisson model. These results illustrate that epgf-based methods for anlyzing count data are promising.     

Testing Goodness of Fit of Parametric AFT and PH Models with Residuals

In this article, we consider the problems of testing the goodness of fit of the parametric accelerated failure time model and the Cox proportional hazards model. We consider omnibus test statistics based on residuals. The statistical distributions of Kolmogorov, Cramer-von Mises–Smirnov, and Anderson–Darling statistics are all investigated by means of Monte Carlo simulations. Type-I, Type-II, and independent random censoring situations are all considered in this study. A Monte Carlo power study has also been carried out for these tests to distinguish between various baseline models, which reveals that the Anderson–Darling test performs better than the others.     

A Correlation Test for Normality Based on the Lévy Characterization

A powerful test of fit for normal distributions is proposed. Based on the Lévy characterization, the test statistic is the sample correlation coefficient of normal quantiles and sums of pairs of observations from a random sample. Since the test statistic is location-scale invariant, critical values can be obtained by simulation without estimating any parameters. It is proved that this test is consistent. A power comparison study including some directed tests shows that the proposed test is competitive, it is more powerful than the well-known Jarque–Bera test, and it is comparable to Shapiro–Wilk test against a number of alternatives.     

Intermediate efficiency by shifting alternatives and evaluation of power

We study a modification of the notion of asymptotic intermediate efficiency of statistical tests by defining it in terms of shifting alternatives. We prove a theorem providing conditions for its existence and show that this modification is closely related to the original Kallenberg's asymptotic intermediate efficiency in a quite general setting. Next, we find estimates for differences between powers of the Neyman–Pearson test under original alternatives and that of a given test under shifted alternatives. We also present some simulation results. They attest to consistency of theoretical results with observed empirical powers for quite small sample sizes.     

A fuzzy robust regression approach applied to bedload transport data

Fuzzy least-square regression can be very sensitive to unusual data (e.g., outliers). In this article, we describe how to fit an alternative robust-regression estimator in fuzzy environment, which attempts to identify and ignore unusual data. The proposed approach concerns classical robust regression and estimation methods that are insensitive to outliers. In this regard, based on the least trimmed square estimation method, an estimation procedure is proposed for determining the coefficients of the fuzzy regression model for crisp input-fuzzy output data. The investigated fuzzy regression model is applied to bedload transport data forecasting suspended load by discharge based on a real world data. The accuracy of the proposed method is compared with the well-known fuzzy least-square regression model. The comparison results reveal that the fuzzy robust regression model performs better than the other models in suspended load estimation for the particular dataset. This comparison is done based on a similarity measure between fuzzy sets. The proposed model is general and can be used for modeling natural phenomena whose available observations are reported as imprecise rather than crisp.     

张东荪论《论语》中的“仁”

张东荪以西方近代伦理学思想为依据对《论语》中的仁进行了阐释,视"仁"为一种能统摄诸德之德,而仁本身又不可从概念的意义上加以界说,而只能从求仁的工夫、途径以及初步的仁与最后的仁等方面来显示仁的深远广大。可以说,他为我们提供了对《论语》中"仁"的一种阐释,能引发我们对"仁"的进一步思考。