Assessing student learning in the context of evaluating a chance course

This paper describes the use of different assessment methods to evaluate Chance courses in the NSF-funded Chance project. Multiple methods were used to measure changes in students' attitudes and beliefs about statistics, reasoning about probability and statistics, and ability to critique a newspaper article that reports statistical results. Samples of assessment materials and scoring rubrics used in the evaluation are included.     

高等农业职业教育《淡水养殖水化学》开展研究性学习的探索

国际 2 1世纪教育委员会的报告《教育———财富蕴藏其中》中提出面对未来社会的发展的 4种基本要求———学会认知、学会做事、学会共处、学会生存。这说明 ,在现代教育中 ,必须以学生发展为中心 ,开展研究性学习。我国实施的研究性学习就是改变我国传统的以教师为中心的教学模式 ,突出学生在学习中的主导地位。从贯彻素质教育的宗旨出发 ,在学科教学中渗透研究性学习 ,是培养学生综合能力的一种尝试和实践。     

高等教育投资回报率估算：基于西部三个城市的微观数据

本文基于中国西部三个城市,7949个住户的微观数据,利用内生的处理效应模型测算了城市家庭20-35岁青年的高等教育投资回报率。经验研究的结果显示：1. 现阶段青年人的高等教育投资内部报酬率大致在7%左右;按照30年工作时间计算的收入增加现值大约在8万元上下,高等教育使得月收入期望值平均增加80%。高等教育还能够使青年就业的可能性增加8%左右;2. 从性别的视角观察,高等教育对于女性的回报率高于男性,女青年内部报酬率大约在8.3%（男青年7.6%）;就业概率增加15.9%（男青年4%）,每月工资期望值增加122%（男青年67.5%）;3. 如果高等教育的全部花费增加到平均6万元,则从单纯的现金流意义上说,高等教育没有增加收入的价值了。     

Improving Risk Management: From Lame Excuses to Principled Practice

The three classic pillars of risk analysis are risk assessment (how big is the risk and how sure can we be?), risk management (what shall we do about it?), and risk communication (what shall we say about it, to whom, when, and how?). We propose two complements as important parts of these three bases: risk attribution (who or what addressable conditions actually caused an accident or loss?) and learning from experience about risk reduction (what works, and how well?). Failures in complex systems usually evoke blame, often with insufficient attention to root causes of failure, including some aspects of the situation, design decisions, or social norms and culture. Focusing on blame, however, can inhibit effective learning, instead eliciting excuses to deflect attention and perceived culpability. Productive understanding of what went wrong, and how to do better, thus requires moving past recrimination and excuses. This article identifies common blame‐shifting “lame excuses” for poor risk management. These generally contribute little to effective improvements and may leave real risks and preventable causes unaddressed. We propose principles from risk and decision sciences and organizational design to improve results. These start with organizational leadership. More specifically, they include: deliberate testing and learning—especially from near‐misses and accident precursors; careful causal analysis of accidents; risk quantification; candid expression of uncertainties about costs and benefits of risk‐reduction options; optimization of tradeoffs between gathering additional information and immediate action; promotion of safety culture; and mindful allocation of people, responsibilities, and resources to reduce risks. We propose that these principles provide sound foundations for improving successful risk management.     

No Mind Reading Necessary: Conducting Evidence-Based Electronic Resource Marketing and Outreach Using Marketing Research Assessment

Abstract

In her presentation entitled “No Mind Reading Necessary: Conducting Evidence-Based Electronic Resource Marketing and Outreach” at the North Carolina Serials Conference April 2019, Kate Hill discussed marketing research strategies and outreach tools used to increase online users’ access to electronic resources and primary resources. In an effort to connect users to seldom-used resources, Jackson Library collaborated with university partners to develop surveys to identify the information-seeking behavior of its users and apply the gathered marketing research to strategically plan outreach activities.     

机器学习视角下中国去产能产业的识别

随着中国环境压力的增加,政府提出了供给侧改革,去产能是改革的主要内容,但是由于产业特征的实时演变,需要对政策进行完善。文章运用模糊C均值算法和支持向量机算法分析现阶段需要进行去产能的产业,结果发现在现行去产能政策中大部分行业是需要去产能的,但煤炭开采和洗选业以及铁路、船舶、航空航天和其他运输设备制造业已不适合继续去产能,同时将化学原料和化学制品制造业加入去产能行列中。     

论思想解放的内在机制

今天的解放思想已经从人类社会特殊历史时刻才出现的重大的思想和理论变革运动转变为社会发展的经常性、普遍化、常规化、常态化的内在要求和有机组成部分。解放思想是人之生存结构中给定性与创造性、自然性与超越性之间的张力和冲突的集中体现，它的动力机制和制约机制具体表现为：创新的与保守的思想观念之间的张力和冲突、开放的与封闭的思维方式之间的张力和冲突、现代的与传统的文化模式之间的张力和冲突。在新的解放思想进程中，我们不仅要积极推动各个领域各个层面的具体的解放思想；而且要高度关注解放思想的机制体制建设，特别是解放思想的文化创新机制的形成：营造尊重不同思想观念的制度文化，确立开放包容和求异创新的思维方式，培育尊重个性和创新的文化模式。     

Debt‐Relief Effectiveness and Institution‐Building

This article provides new evidence on the effects of recent debt‐relief programmes on different macroeconomic indicators in developing countries, focusing on the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPCs). The relationship between debt relief and institutional change is also investigated to assess whether donors are moving towards ex‐post governance conditionality. Results show that debt relief is only weakly associated with subsequent improvements in economic performance but is correlated with increasing domestic debt which undermines the positive achievements in reducing external debt service. There is also evidence that donors are moving towards a more sensible allocation of debt forgiveness, rewarding countries which have better policies and institutions.     

试论洪大容的实学思想

朝鲜李朝后期的“北学派”肇始于洪大容,他的实学思想具有开创意义,尤其在宇宙自然观方面,为“北学派”实学奠定了宇宙自然观、世界观的基础。他的“实心实学”也受到当代韩、日两国实学界的关注。在“北学派”实学家中,洪大容最先到了中国,考察了京、热、冀、辽的经济、政治、文化、社会民情、风土文物,最早提出了北学中国的主张,因此,具有重要的文化史意义和开风气的作用。