论中国"科技力"研究

科技力作为综合国力的重要构件,其研究具有重大意义。目前关于中国科技力的研究刚刚起步,许多相关问题尚待深入探讨。有关中国科技力研究的问题主要是:科技力内涵与体系、当代中国科技力水平与科技强国战略、国内国外科技强国战略的经验教训、科学发展观与中国科技强国战略。     

全球变局下的管理科学与工程研究

世界经济和科技格局变化是当前全球变局的重要驱动力,大国之间的竞争与合作将成为新时代大国关系的常态,同时全球视野下的人类发展也将面临前所未有的挑战。新形势下,以全球供应链的风险防范、国际贸易的摩擦、国际合作内容和形式的变化、海外重大工程建设以及突发公共卫生事件频发等为典型的全球治理问题对管理科学与工程研究提出了新的要求。本文在对文献及相关项目的研究现状进行总结的基础上,详细分析了我国在此方向的发展基础及优势,最后基于相关领域专家的问卷调查结果,阐述了该领域的主要研究方向。     

CATEGORY WIDTH COGNITIVE STYLE AS A FACTOR IN ACCOUNTANTS' PERCEPTIONS OF ACCOUNTING INFORMATION

This paper reports the findings of a laboratory experiment designed to investigate the relationship of category width (CW) cognitive style with accountants' perceptions of accounting information. Subjects drawn from large accounting firms in Sydney, Brisbane, and Melbourne, Australia, were classified into broad, medium, and narrow categories following the test devised by Pettigrew [19]. Subjects were requested to state their level of confidence in decisions they had made after receiving (1) conventional accounting information or (2) conventional accounting information and human resources accounting (HRA) information using a one-group pretest-posttest design. The results indicated a significant relationship between CW cognitive style and the accountants' confidence in their decisions. Furthermore, CW cognitive style moderated the accounting-information/decision-making relationship.     

法庭科学的审查

法庭科学是我国证据理论研究中较少涉及的问题。法庭科学是现实存在的,应当对其进行司法审查。科学研究与法庭科学审查之间有着联系及区别。法庭科学可采性的判断标准应当是"科学知识"。法庭科学审查有着自身的特殊性。     

DEVIL'S ADVOCACY AND DIALECTICAL INQUIRY EFFECTS ON PREDICTION PERFORMANCE: TASK INVOLVEMENT AS A MEDIATING VARIABLE

Critics of previous laboratory experiments comparing devil's advocacy (DA) to dialectical inquiry (DI) have suggested that these experiments produced misleading results because (1) they used subjects who had low levels of task involvement and (2) the DI treatment used was confusing to subjects and required further explanation to be useful. The present study examines the effects of four inquiry methods—expert (E), DA, DI, and DI with explanatory statement (DI+)—on subjects' performance at a financial prediction task. Results show that DA, DI, and DI + were superior to E when the state of the world differed significantly from assumptions underlying the expert's plan. For subjects with high task involvement, DI and DI + were more effective than E and DA. The results support some of the criticisms of previous laboratory research and suggest that future research on these decision aids should include task involvement as a factor.     

知识经济与甘肃人力资源的开发管理

本文在探讨知识经济时代人力资源开发与管理特点的基础上 ,从劳动力资源、人才资源等方面入手 ,分析了甘肃人力资源的现状 ,提出了我省应大力发展教育、注重素质培养 ,营造“尊重知识 ,尊重人才”的社会氛围 ,建立合理的人才资源流动、使用新机制等政策性建议     

试论我国行政事业单位人力资源管理的现状及对策

行政事业单位的管理水平对整个国民经济的发展有着重要的作用。目前我国人力资源管理还存在种种缺陷,为改变现状,从宏观上应改革现有的行政事业单位管理体制;从微观上对基层工作人员引入竞争机制,对中上层干部,实行终身雇佣制,同时应建立公平的干部选拔机制和合理的分配体制。     

国民精神重塑的百年追思

中国最早于１９世纪末提出国民精神重塑的问题。五四新文化运动虽然抓住提高国民素质的两大关键性问题──科学与民主,然而由于其新思想是“舶来品”,与民众的思想观念存在着严重的脱节,难以产生广泛的社会效果。在紧张的政治斗争中,又对农民身上的封建文化因素作某些体让。所以,中国民众始终未受现代性的陶冶与训练。今天,我们要站在时代的高度,进行科学与民主的普及与提升的工作。当前,重点是培育国民的科学精神;不但要把民主作为社会制度来实现,而且要作为培育人的独立性人格的价值目标来实现。同时要认识中国民主化进程的特殊性、长期性。     

Decision settings analysis – a tool for analysis and design of human activity systems

The paper describes a methodology to be used for analysis and design of human activity systems. The methodology is based on an analysis of the decision settings whereas most other decision analysis methodologies are analysing the process. The decision concept is analysed and discussed. A distinction between programmed and programmable as well as non-programmed and non-programmable decisions is proposed. A classification of different information types for decision making is presented. A methodology based on a systemic and systematic analysis of the information requirements of an organization is proposed. This methodology also indicates organizational discrepancies and information imbalances. The methodology focuses the settings of the decisions on all levels of organizations. The methodology can be regarded as a dynamic, learning system. The author proposes further research on the individuals decision making abilities.     

Coherent mortality forecasting by the weighted multilevel functional principal component approach

In human mortality modelling, if a population consists of several subpopulations it can be desirable to model their mortality rates simultaneously while taking into account the heterogeneity among them. The mortality forecasting methods tend to result in divergent forecasts for subpopulations when independence is assumed. However, under closely related social, economic and biological backgrounds, mortality patterns of these subpopulations are expected to be non-divergent in the future. In this article, we propose a new method for coherent modelling and forecasting of mortality rates for multiple subpopulations, in the sense of nondivergent life expectancy among subpopulations. The mortality rates of subpopulations are treated as multilevel functional data and a weighted multilevel functional principal component (wMFPCA) approach is proposed to model and forecast them. The proposed model is applied to sex-specific data for nine developed countries, and the results show that, in terms of overall forecasting accuracy, the model outperforms the independent model and the Product-Ratio model as well as the unweighted multilevel functional principal component approach.