'Polyphonic' welfare: Luhmann's systems theory applied to modern social work

This article applies a series of concepts from Niklas Luhmann's systems theory in an analysis of modern welfare organisations. The point of departure is that social help in late modern welfare states has become 'polycentric' in that 'help' is today being defined by various different agents: public, voluntary and private care providers. Empirically, this article investigates re-housing work with homeless people, a kind of social work which involves several different welfare organisations. The case study shows how these organisations define themselves by making internal constructions of their surroundings, and how their self-enclosed nature creates a certain 'insensitivity' towards one another. How to coordinate and translate within this 'polyphony' of incomparable observations and values represents a major managerial challenge for present-day social workers.     

对股市泡沫成因的博弈分析

股票市场泡沫是经济活动过程中存在的必然产物。本文将运用博弈论的观点来解释股市泡沫的成因。     

基于知识视角的制造企业与生产服务组织共生关系分析

生产服务对制造企业竞争能力的提升具有重要影响,二者之间的互动关系日益受到关注.鉴于生产性服务业的知识密集属性.将企业知识理论和共生理论融合起来.指出二者共生关系的本质是知识共生,进一步分析了二者共生的三个维度即互动学习共生、权益安排共生、关系资本共生.     

从读者反应理论看朱生豪、梁实秋的莎译本中文化空缺词的翻译

读者接受理论为文学翻译提供了一个更为开放的视角,值得重视和借鉴。然而,如果全盘接受读者接受理论的观点,把文学翻译仅仅看作一种译者主体行为,势必会导致不准确的翻译。读者对于文化空缺词的接受能力是一个历史的动态变化过程。     

走向多元化的儿童文学理论研究

新时期以来,儿童文学理论研究走向了多元化,理论研究的多元化集中在两个层次上:一是儿童文学的功能性研究;二是儿童文学接受主体的研究。     

刑事违法观与犯罪构成关系论

按照主观违法论而加以建构的传统犯罪构成理论有别于按客观违法论建构的大陆法系犯罪论体系,两者有着不同的研究进路和研究方法。主观违法论强调有责之违法,行为人的主观罪过、客观的危害行为、刑事责任能力都是违法的构成要素,这种因人而异的违法观不能很好地为司法实践提供理论根据。从主观违法论立场出发,我们不可能从构成要件其中一个方面单独地判断违法性是否存在,传统犯罪构成理论将犯罪构成要件定位于反映行为社会危害性的事实特征,因此,犯罪构成只反映定罪结论,不反映定罪过程。     

新时期中国经济现代化成功启动的原因

改革开放以来,中国经济现代化实现了成功启动。其成功启动,离不开对百余年中国现代化史的科学总结,离不开对旧有社会主义发展模式的深刻反思,离不开对旧的国际战略格局的超越,同时也离不开现代西方工业文明的深刻影响。正确总结其原因,对今天的现代化建设仍具有重要意义。     

Automobile prices and protection: The U.S.-Japan trade restraint

We examine the effects of the U.S.-Japan trade restraint on automobile prices and quality upgrading, for both Japanese imports and American small cars. From April 1981 to April 1984 the suggested retail price of all Japanese models increased by 15.8 percent, or 5.3 percent per year. We find that nearly the entire amount of this rise can be explained by the upgrading of individual models. This upgrading may benefit consumers who would purchase a luxury import in any case, but harms those who desire the basic imports. In addition to upgrading, we conclude that a second cost of the trade restraint has been to prevent the yen depreciation from being passed onto American consumers, in terms of lower imported auto prices. For U.S. small cars we find a 9.1 percent rise in the suggested retail price, or 3 percent per year, with a fraction of this amount due to model upgrading. If the yen depreciation had led to lower import prices without the trade restraint, then we expect that U.S. auto prices would have been lower, too.     

Diagnostics for dependence within time series extremes

Summary. The analysis of extreme values within a stationary time series entails various assumptions concerning its long- and short-range dependence. We present a range of new diagnostic tools for assessing whether these assumptions are appropriate and for identifying structure within extreme events. These tools are based on tail characteristics of joint survivor functions but can be implemented by using existing estimation methods for extremes of univariate independent and identically distributed variables. Our diagnostic aids are illustrated through theoretical examples, simulation studies and by application to rainfall and exchange rate data. On the basis of these diagnostics we can explain characteristics that are found in the observed extreme events of these series and also gain insight into the properties of events that are more extreme than those observed.     

会计信息可靠性与相关性的产权博弈分析

从产权经济学角度对会计信息的产权属性进行分析,把会计信息的产权主体定位为所有的信息使用者,认为会计信息的产权主体与会计信息质量特征之间存在密切关系。不同产权主体之间为有利于自身的信息进行博弈,可靠性和相关性孰轻孰重取决于各方在博弈中的力量对比。最后,文章提出重构会计信息市场、实现可靠性和相关性协调发展的若干对策。