跨太平洋伙伴关系协议与美国贸易保护的新路径

从贸易限制的视角,依据国际关系中的现实主义和自由主义理论,提出两大核心假设：构建中的TPP条款为因变量,成文后的TPP条款为自变量,二者皆为美国贸易保护提供了新路径。选取核心议题里的知识产权、竞争政策、劳工和环境规则,水平与交叉议题上的监管一致议题作为主要研究对象,分析作为因变量的TPP条款提供贸易保护的方法,它们分别是：白金标准、体系竞争、主协议条款且有争端解决机制、监管机制规则。尝试用中美两国在WTO发生的贸易摩擦案例分析并预测作为自变量的TPP条款对于中美贸易的影响,预期未来中美两国在服务贸易领域以及新议题领域摩擦加剧,美国在TPP制定的贸易规则对我国贸易方式影响深远。     

广东入境旅游规模差异及其演变趋势研究

文章以广东省21个地市的2002-2013年共12年的入境旅游人数为样本数据,运用位序规模理论,标准差(VOC)、基尼系数(G)以及赫芬达尔系数(Hn)等计量指标,以及分形理论的R/S分析法依次分析了广东省入境旅游规模分布现状、区域差异化程度及未来入境旅游规模的演化趋势,得知广东省入境旅游规模呈高度首位型分布、区域间差异化较为明显且集聚程度下降,其入境旅游规模将在未来一段时间内持续扩大。     

Political confrontation over fiscal processes: The impact of the U.S. Congressional Budget Act

In July 1974 the U.S. Congressional Budget Act was signed into law. This legislation was the result of a heavily fought political confrontation between President Nixon and Congress over who controlled the Federal budget. In addition to the issue of control, the Act was prompted by dissatisfaction with the procedures used by Congress to determine Federal receipts and expenditures. The purpose of this paper is to assess the impact this legislation had on the U.S. economy in its early years.The first section of the paper sets up a simple modeling framework. The model is specified so as to illustrate how a change in the budget process resulting from the Congressional Budget Act could potentially produce changes in the level of total output. This section also explains the derivation of a tax and expenditure series used in the model's empirical testing. The second section addresses some of the theoretical issues, and presents the results of simulations based on the Chase, Wharton, and Data Resources econometric models. Broad conclusions are gathered in the final section.     

城市化战略中的城镇规模问题研究

我国现有的城市规模与分布存在着诸如规模分散、集中度较低、小城市比例过大、在发展与建设上盲目追求扩大城市规模而导致城市布局不合理等诸多问题。合理确定我国小城镇的适宜规模,对促进我国城市化与经济社会的良性互动发展有着极为重要的战略意义。我国城市化发展战略中的城镇规模与布局可采用比照法,专家意见法等方法来确定。     

美国在日韩邦交正常化谈判中的作用（1951-1965）

日韩邦交正常化谈判(1951-1965)历时长达14年之久,不可避免地受到国际环境的影响,尤其受到美国东北亚战略的影响。反之,日韩会谈也从一个侧面反映了东北亚冷战格局的演变。探讨美国在日韩邦交正常化谈判中的作用,可以分析美国为什么“搭台”以及如何“搭台”的。     

MFN tariff treatment of imports from China: Effects on U.S. employment

This article estimates the effects on U.S. output and employment of granting most-favored-nation (MFN) tariff treatment to imports from the People's Republic of China (PRC). Import demand elasticities are used to estimate changes in imports resulting from the lower tariff rates. A highly disaggregated U.S. input-output table and labor-output ratios are used to convert changes in imports into changes in domestic output and employment at a detailed sectorial level. U.S. import restraints on the textile and apparel industry are incorporated into the analysis. The article explores the implications of increased imports from the PRC for U.S., PRC, and LDC policy makers.     

论冷战期间美国的大战略体系

大战略是一战后西方军事理论界提出的新概念,二战后广为流行,并成为国家决策的重要内容。冷战期间,美国政府为了对抗、削弱并击溃苏联东欧集团,铲除所谓共产主义威胁,赢得冷战的胜利,制订并实施了以遏制战略为核心的大战略,形成了一个金字塔般的战略体系。在这个战略体系中,位于顶端的是遏制战略;其下是政治战略、经济战略、军事战略、文化战略等各领域的分类战略;这些分类战略的子战略或曰具体战略,诸如威慑战略、贸易管制战略、和平演变战略、大规模报复战略、灵活反应战略、现实威慑战略等,则为第三层次的战略。遏制战略以各分类战略及其子战略为依托,统领着众多分类战略和子战略;各分类战略和子战略则依据遏制大战略制订并以遏制大战略的目标为最终目标。该大战略体系在促使苏东裂变、结束冷战中发挥了重要作用。     

论1972年韩国“维新政变”

1972年10月17日,韩国总统朴正熙宣布戒严法,解散重组韩国国会。12月23日,朴正熙在新的总统选举中再次当选,并在四天后通过新宪法,史称＂维新政变＂。本文依据相关的一手文献,集中分析了朴正熙发动维新政变的原因,并着重阐述美国对这场政变的反应。最后,本文进一步探讨了政变的有关影响。     

Frank Capra and Leni Riefenstahl: Politics,Propaganda and the Personal

Abstract

The circumstances that led Frank Capra to view Leni Riefenstahl's notorious documentary of the 1934 Nuremberg rallies, Triumph of the Will, is well-known. What is less known is the extent to which the themes inherent in Capra's filmmaking through the 1930s, and Riefenstahl's own interest in ideas of national identity, social commentary and romanticism in her fictional and documentary films, mapped out a set of cinematic coincidences between the two little discussed in the body of literature devoted to these directors. This article lays out a number of those coincidences and, in the process, compares the theoretical strain of political romanticism that winds its way through Capra and Riefenstahl's work. The iconic and symbolic imagery in their films suggests interesting and important comparative aspects to their canon, but also that a fascination in political romanticism led them to differing conclusions about the impact and threat of media and propaganda forces lined up in alliance with totalitarian powers during the 1930s and '40s.     

美国的蔬菜流通与批发市场

介绍了美国蔬菜流通的特点、流通渠道、流通份额及蔬菜批发市场建设和运作的特点