重点建设项目社会稳定风险评估：问题与改进——以厦门市为例

重点建设项目社会稳定风险评估是从源头上防控社会稳定风险的重要举措。作为一项新兴的制度安排,重点建设项目社会稳定风险评估在几年来的快速发展过程中出现了一些不正确的认识以及运作,产生了一些负面效果。文章以厦门为例对重点项目建设社会稳定风险评估工作的现状、问题进行思考,提出完善重点建设项目社会稳定风险评估工作的一些建议。     

现代化进程中的法治追求

现代化是历史演进的大势所趋,也是中国正在经历着的发展过程。制度现代化,也即本文所言之法治,是这一进程的重要一环。法治体现了现代化进程中的人文价值关怀与效率追求。法治状态下的法律制度自身应当具有统一性、稳定性、可对话性和可交流性、正当程序性以及可诉性等品质。     

货币国际化、金融稳定与储备需求

本文基于央行应对银行挤兑，卖出储备干预外汇市场维持固定汇率的理论模型，提出货币国际化、金融稳定和外汇储备需求规模变动的实证检验假设，采用固定效应面板数据回归发现，与外汇储备的进口交易需求相比，当前金融稳定动机更能解释处于动态转变过程中的外汇储备规模需求；一国货币国际化程度越高，出于金融稳定动机的储备规模需求越小；非国际货币发行国储备规模在1993-2001年经历了从进口交易需求到金融稳定需求的转型；国际货币发行国储备规模则主要由金融稳定因素驱动。金融危机前后，外汇储备规模变动的金融稳定驱动因素更加明显。因此，适度规模外汇储备有助于金融稳定，金融稳定为实体经济创造良好发展环境，经济实力增长有助于顺利实施货币国际化进程。而货币高度国际化后，将会逐步减少外汇储备的金融稳定需求。     

论我国社会转型期的和谐心理建设

我国正处于社会的转型期,在这一阶段,各种社会矛盾大量出现。群体事件,执法者与民众的情绪对立的情况越来越普遍。要解决这些矛盾,除了加强法制建设和加强社会保障体系的建设之外。也应该加强心理疏导工作与和谐心理建设,预防和化解各种矛盾。在我国目前的社会历史时期,培养人们的生命意识,强化管理者的自我心理调节能力,加强社会的心理疏导工作,为社会成员提供适当的不良情绪发泄的途径有着十分重要的意义。     

Overlapping crime: Stability and specialization of co-offending relationships

Dyadic analyses of relationships between criminals have mostly ignored the multiplex nature of criminal ties. This study attempts to provide a more complete assessment of co-offending networks by incorporating the different types of crime that relate individuals with each other. Drawing on a large dataset of arrests in Quebec between 2003 and 2009, we focus on co-offending stability and specialization and illustrate how co-offending networks based on different types of criminal activities overlap. We portray a pattern of co-offending, which extends debate of criminal specialization/versatility to the dyadic level. Our study illustrates the ways in which the frequency and spectrum of crime include a relational component. More generally, the article emphasizes the need to consider the semantics of network ties, and further, the association between different types of networks, which ultimately offers a reassessment of social structure.     

The stability of job and family involvement: Applying the multi-wave,multi-variable technique to longitudinal data

The main aim of the study was to examine the stability of job and family involvement, applying multi-wave, multi-variable modelling within the framework of LISREL models. The abbreviated job and family involvement scales based on Kanungo's (1979, 1982) motivational model were examined on the basis of 3-year longitudinal data. The study was carried out by means of questionnaires, which were filled in by Finnish employees (n = 109) on three occasions. The results show that both job and family involvement remained relatively stable during the follow-up period. Further, the scales showed reasonable unidimensionality across time. In addition, the item reliability of the scales was found to be adequate. Of the demographic characteristics studied (i.e. gender, age, socioeconomic status, presence of children at home, age of the youngest child) only gender had a significant effect on involvement: men were found to be more involved with their jobs than were women.     

反馈型CNN解的稳定性

研究了具有时滞的反馈型细胞神经网络，利用李雅普诺夫函数、常数交易法以及不等式分析技巧，证明了具有时滞的反馈型细胞神经网络的解的有界性，同时给出了任意解全局指数稳定和渐近稳定的充分条件。     

导数分光光度法测定配合物的稳定常数

本文阐述了导数分光光度法测定配合物稳定常数的基本原理,并测定了Zn-PAR的稳定常数,得到了满意的结果。     

Long term stability of time preferences and the role of the macroeconomic situation

We look at the stability of survey based subjective time preferences over time using data from a Dutch panel survey with a long time horizon and find that the ranking of individual time preferences is stable. Simple observation of the aggregated measured time preferences reveals instability in aggregated preferences. In order to shed light on this instability we look at the relationship between the individual socio-economic situation and time preferences and the macroeconomic situation and time preferences. While we find no clear relationship between socio-economic situation and time preferences, we find that for the sample as a whole patience is positively correlated with economic growth, but negatively correlated with income inequality. When studying how the estimations differ across income groups we observe that there is a considerable asymmetry in how different income groups react to changes in the macroeconomic situation.     

Stability and Variability of Adolescents' Affiliation with Delinquent Friends: Predictors and Consequences

The effects of stability versus change in adolescents' affiliation with delinquent or nondelinquent friends over a two-year period (T1–T2) on delinquent behavior one year later (T3) were examined. In addition, T1 predictors of stability and change in the affiliation with delinquent or nondelinquent friends from T1 to T2 were assessed. Participants were 152 adolescents (77 girls, mean age 12.1 years at T1). Friends' delinquent behavior was assessed through friends' self-reports. The T1 predictor variables included adolescents' own delinquent behavior, attitude toward delinquent behavior, and parental monitoring. Adolescents' friendship affiliations at T2, but not at T1, predicted delinquent behavior at T3, suggesting a recency effect of friendship affiliation. Attitude toward delinquent behavior at T1 was the main predictor of stability versus change in adolescents' affiliation with delinquent or nondelinquent friends from T1 to T2.