Inference for a Linear Functional of Cumulative Hazard Function Via Empirical Likelihood

This article discusses sampling plans, that is, the allocation of sampling units, for computing tolerance limits in a balanced one--way random-effects model. The expected width of the tolerance interval is derived and used as the basis for comparing different sampling plans. A well-known cost function and examples are used to facilitate the discussion.     

Convergence of Discount Time Series Dynamic Linear Models

This article studies the limiting behavior of multiple discount time series dynamic linear models (TSDLMs). It is shown that, under mild conditions, all discount TSDLMs converge to the constant (time-invariant) TSDLM. In particular, the limiting posterior precision matrix of the superposition of multiple discount TSDLMs is explored. For non seasonal models, the elements of the limiting posterior precision of the states are given in a recurrence relationship, while for seasonal models the solution of a linear system provides the elements of the respective limiting precision matrix. The proposed methodology uses canonical Jordan forms and it is illustrated with a detailed example of simulated data featuring both trend and seasonal time series.     

Estimation Bias in Complete-Case Analysis in Crossover Studies with Missing Data

Crossover designs are used often in clinical trials. It is not uncommon that subjects discontinue before completing all treatment periods in a crossover study. Despite availability of statistical methodologies utilizing all available data and software for obtaining valid inferences under the assumption of missing at random (MAR), naïve approaches, such as the complete case (CC) analysis, which is only valid with a strong assumption of missing completely at random are still widely used in practice. In this article, we obtain the analytical form of the estimation bias of treatment effects with CC for linear mixed models. We use simulation studies to examine the inflation of Type I error and efficiency loss in the inferences with CC under MAR. Invalidity and inefficiency of two other commonly used approaches for defining analyzed data in the presence of missing data, including data from at least two periods in three period crossover and available cases for a specific comparison of interest, are also demonstrated through simulation studies.     

社会多元化转型期隐私权与知情权关系研究

当代中国,社会的思维方式、行为方式、评价模式发生着深刻变化,并具体对隐私权与知情权的发展扩展产生重要影响。今天,隐私权与知情权冲突问题日益突出,冲突本质在于两者在价值与利益问题上的紧张关系,并具体展现为公法领域冲突与私法领域冲突两大方面。为化解权利冲突,应明确人格尊严与自由、社会政治与公共利益的基本冲突协调原则,构建包括认定、确立、调整、评价四个层次的完整冲突协调体系。     

当代资本主义经济停滞问题:制度结构与治理危机——基于积累的社会结构理论的分析

关于经济停滞问题的探讨是对马克思主义经济危机理论的传承。2008年金融危机爆发十余年,资本主义经济停滞趋于常态化。积累的社会结构理论从资本积累与支撑这一积累的制度环境之间的矛盾出发,发现了主流经济学探讨资本主义经济停滞所忽略的制度性因素。积累的社会结构学派沿着中间层次的路径,将2008年金融危机界定为系统性的结构危机,认为新自由主义SSA的失灵是此次经济停滞持续的原因。资本主义经济停滞引发欧美发达资本主义国家的社会治理危机升级,一系列政治、社会和文化危机不断加剧。积累的社会结构理论从微观层面深刻把握了资本主义制度转型的轨迹,但并未深入探讨开展根本的制度变革。在面临百年未有之大变局的时代境遇下,中国在参与全球治理的过程中不断探索并推动世界经济政治新秩序朝着更加公正、合理的方向发展。     

论风险社会中过失理论之选择

风险社会中科学技术高速发展,产生了大量的过失犯罪。过失犯罪理论主要包括旧过失论、新过失论、新新过失论。新过失论更契合于风险社会预防犯罪的需要。在责任事故犯罪中,不应放纵监督者的刑事责任,应大力提倡监督过失理论。     

从实际出发 与时俱进--马克思主义在中国的发展历程

中国共产党带领中国人民取得革命和建设伟大胜利的历史就是马克思主义在中国不断发展的历史,江泽民同志十六大的报告集中体现了新的历史条件下马克思主义在中国的新发展.     

基于双因素理论的民办高职院校教师薪酬激励性研究——以运城职业技术学院为例

民办高职院校实现跨越式发展必须在教学上凸显特色,发挥教师的积极性和创造性是民办高职院校迫切需要解决的问题之一。绩效薪酬在激励教师积极性方面可以发挥重要作用,设计具有强激励性的薪酬体系对民办高职院校发展具有现实意义。     

基于心理契约理论下的高职聘任制辅导员队伍建设

聘任制是一种新型的人事管理制度,目前已在高职院校辅导员队伍中广泛使用。根据聘任制高职辅导员队伍面临的职业现状,要构建聘任制辅导员心理契约管理的有效办法,必须找准角色定位,完善聘任制辅导员的管理机制;针对辅导员岗位描述,改善辅导员的知识结构,建立科学的工作体系。此外,还应建立有效的心理契约互动模式,提高辅导员职业忠诚度。     

顺应理论的心理语言学视角以及与大学英语教学

通过语言,记忆和认知因素之间的关系,从心理语言学的角度解释顺应理论的内在合理性,提出了语言触发机制和脚本论对顺应理论的进行合理解释。顺应理论的外在合理性又可通过语言信号刺激法实现,在大学英语教学中得以体现。