基于Windows DNA技术的网络财务系统的实现

随着经济和技术的发展,财务系统网络化已在为一种必然趋势。在对Ｗｉｎｄｏｗｓ分布 式互联网应用框架技术深入分析的基础上,提出了一种实现企业信息集成的网络财务系统框型,结合组件对象模型（ＣＯＭ）组件技术,讨论具有动态浏览特点的网络财务系统的编码方法。     

德鲁克论21世纪管理的挑战——变革领导者

我们无法驾驭变革,只能走在变革的前面。彼得·德鲁克提出在21世纪管理最大的挑战之一是使组织成为变革的领导者。在这里,他作了五个方面的论述：（1）变革的政策;（2）创造变革;（3）引航;（4）变革与连续性的平衡;（5）赢得未来。《21世纪管理挑战》一书中对变革领导者的这些要求,实质上是他对创新管理的全面论述,这无疑是德鲁克管理思想的精髓,对我国的创新管理具有一定的借鉴意义。     

WindowsNT系统安全问题探讨

尽管WindowsNT系统被公认安全性能较高,但若系统管理不当,或是由于黑客的不轨行为,或是由于NT自身的安全漏洞,都有可能使整个系统溃于一旦,本试图从各个不同侧面分析WindowsNT的不安全隐患、原因及解决方案,旨在使我们的WindowsNT系统更安全一些。     

Sharp upper bounds for the expected values of non-extreme order statistics from discrete distributions

We consider the problem of determining sharp upper bounds on the expected values of non-extreme order statistics based on i.i.d. random variables taking on N values at most. We show that the bound problem is equivalent to the problem of establishing the best approximation of the projection of the density function of the respective order statistic based on the standard uniform i.i.d. sample onto the family of non-decreasing functions by arbitrary N  -valued functions in the norm of L²(0,1)$L^2(0,1)$ space. We also present an algorithm converging to the local minima of the approximation problems.     

Extreme quantiles and tail index of a distribution based on kernel estimator

In this paper, we reveal the relationship between the tail exponent introduced by Parzen (1979) and tail index for a distribution function. Furthermore, we analyze the domain of attraction of the weighted sum of the distributions and its tail index. We show that the extreme quantiles can estimate directly, through knowing only the tail index of the kernel distribution function used in estimating the distribution function. Moreover, we give a smoothing parameter of extreme quantiles, which does not depend on any distribution function. The simulations and the application to reals data show that the proposed smoothed parameter gives better results for a heavy-tailed distribution, and for small sizes sample in extremes level.     

SOVEREIGNS VERSUS BANKS: CREDIT,CRISES, AND CONSEQUENCES

Two separate narratives have emerged in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis. One interpretation speaks of private financial excess and the key role of the banking system in leveraging and deleveraging the economy. The other emphasizes the public sector balance sheet and worries about the risks of lax fiscal policy. However, the two may interact in important and understudied ways. This paper examines the co‐evolution of public and private sector debt in advanced countries from 1870 to 2012. We find that in advanced economies financial crises are not preceded by public debt build‐ups nor are they more likely when public debt is high. However, history shows that high levels of public debt tend to exacerbate the effects of private sector deleveraging after financial crises. The economic costs of financial crises rise substantially if large private sector credit booms are unwound at times when the public sector has little capacity to pursue macroeconomic and financial stabilization.     

Multi-dimensional poverty in Australia and the barriers ill health imposes on the employment of the disadvantaged

A little over one million individuals in Australia between the ages of 24 and 64 years are in Freedom poverty – they have low family income, and have either poor health or an insufficient level of education. These individuals are some of the most disadvantaged in society due to their multiple capability restrictions. Current political rhetoric focused on reducing the number of individuals out of the labour force to improve their living standards may offer a means of improving the lives of these most disadvantaged individuals. Indeed, of those in Freedom poverty, 80% are not in employment. But these individuals also have poor health and/or a poor education and these capability limitations may act as barriers to their labour force participation. Indeed, 49% of individuals in freedom poverty who were out of the labour force cited ill health as the reason for this (39% cited their own ill health, and 10% cited another's ill health). Not only will these individual's ill health act as a barrier to their engaging in the labour force, but ill health will also contribute to reduced quality of life. Political promises to improve the lives of citizens should not focus narrowly upon increasing labour force participation rates, but should take a holistic view of the lives of individuals taking note in particular of how health may be restraining their quality of life.     

Individual Preferences and Job Characteristics: An Analysis of Cooperative Credit Banks

The aim of this paper is to analyse individual preferences in relation to different job characteristics. More specifically, this work focuses on the case of employees of cooperative credit banks (CCBs) in Campania and accounts for certain fundamental institutional features: CCBs are designed to pursue specific member interests rather than profit maximization, and most employees are both owners and consumers. The research is conducted by applying a conjoint analysis approach with stated preference data. Novel features of the analysis include the application of this approach to empirical research on worker incentives and the use of a mixed logit model.     

CAPITAL INFLOWS,FINANCIAL STRUCTURE AND HOUSING BOOMS

We use a panel VAR to study the effect of shocks to capital inflows, which are identified using sign restrictions, on the housing market in OECD countries. To explore how effects of these shocks change with the structure of the mortgage market and the degree of mortgage securitization, we allow the VAR coefficients to vary with mortgage‐market characteristics. Our results indicate that capital‐inflow shocks have a significant and positive effect on real house prices, real credit available to the private sector, and real residential investment. The responses of these variables are stronger in countries with more developed mortgage markets and in countries where securitization is allowed.     

EXPANSIONARY AUSTERITY? INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE

This paper investigates the short‐term effects of fiscal consolidation on economic activity in OECD economies. We examine contemporaneous policy documents to identify changes in fiscal policy motivated by a desire to reduce the budget deficit and not by responding to prospective economic conditions. Using this new dataset, our estimates suggest that fiscal consolidation has contractionary effects on private demand and GDP. By contrast, estimates based on conventional measures of the fiscal policy stance used in the literature support the expansionary fiscal contractions hypothesis but appear to be biased toward overstating expansionary effects.