Valuation of childhood risk reduction: the importance of age, risk preferences, and perspective.

This article explores two problems analysts face in determining how to estimate values for children's health and safety risk reductions. The first addresses the question: Do willingness‐to‐pay estimates for health risk changes differ across children and adults and, if so, how? To answer this question, the article first examines the potential effects of age and risk preferences on willingness to pay. A summary of the literature reporting empirical evidence of differences between willingness to pay for adult health and safety risk reductions and willingness to pay for health and safety risk reductions in children is also provided. The second dimension of the problem is a more fundamental issue: Whose perspective is relevant when valuing children's health effects—society's, children's, adults‐as‐children, or parents'? Each perspective is considered, followed ultimately by the conclusion that adopting a parental perspective through an intrahousehold allocation model seems closest to meeting the needs of the estimation problem at hand. A policy example in which the choice of perspective affects the outcome of a regulatory benefit‐cost analysis rounds out the article and emphasizes the importance of perspective.     

河南农业经济结构调整对农业劳动力的挑战

河南是农业大省,要使河南农业进一步发展,农民收入进一步增加,河南农业经济必须进行结构调整。农业经济结构调整的主体是农业劳动力,而农业劳动力素质,特别是农业劳动力文化素质的高低则成为河南农业经济结构调整的关键。文中重点分析了河南省农业劳动力文化素质的现状及与农业经济结构调整要求的差距,最后提出了提高河南省农业劳动力文化素质的对策。     

基于聚集经济的影响外商直接投资的因素分析

文章选取广东省 2 1个行政区 1996至 2 0 0 2年的数据 ,采用主因子分析和多元统计回归分析对影响外资在广东聚集的因素进行分析 ,因子分析从 11个解释变量中提取出五个主因子 ,它们分别是经济发展规模和水平、产业聚集、劳动力聚集、经济开放度和政策因子。回归分析表明了每个解释变量对利用外资额的弹性。文章最后提出了产业聚集的引资策略。     

《洪堡的礼物》叙事艺术初探

《洪堡的礼物》的叙事模式是用主人公的心理时空结构故事,通过显示主人公的灵魂世界激活故事情节;小说文本故事里嵌着故事,时空交错,完成了作者设计的奇特的故事叙述。     

一种框架支持的企业体系结构开发过程分析

企业体系结构是近年来国外学术和技术领域兴起的一个研究热点.本文介绍了企业体系结构的研究背景,在此基础上进一步分析了企业体系结构、企业体系结构框架及其他相关概念的内涵和相互联系,给出了在企业体系框架指导下开发企业体系结构的一般过程.     

重庆市股份制商业银行的SWOT分析

根据一般企业的SWOT分析理论,对商业银行的SWOT分析要素进行设计。运用这种方法对重庆市股份制商业银行的内部优势、劣势以及外部机遇和威胁进行分析。根据分析结果,提出相应的经营措施。     

Uncertainty Analysis for Computer Model Projections of Hurricane Losses

Projecting losses associated with hurricanes is a complex and difficult undertaking that is wrought with uncertainties. Hurricane Charley, which struck southwest Florida on August 13, 2004, illustrates the uncertainty of forecasting damages from these storms. Due to shifts in the track and the rapid intensification of the storm, real-time estimates grew from 2 to 3 billion dollars in losses late on August 12 to a peak of 50 billion dollars for a brief time as the storm appeared to be headed for the Tampa Bay area. The storm hit the resort areas of Charlotte Harbor near Punta Gorda and then went on to Orlando in the central part of the state, with early poststorm estimates converging on a damage estimate in the 28 to 31 billion dollars range. Comparable damage to central Florida had not been seen since Hurricane Donna in 1960. The Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology (FCHLPM) has recognized the role of computer models in projecting losses from hurricanes. The FCHLPM established a professional team to perform onsite (confidential) audits of computer models developed by several different companies in the United States that seek to have their models approved for use in insurance rate filings in Florida. The team's members represent the fields of actuarial science, computer science, meteorology, statistics, and wind and structural engineering. An important part of the auditing process requires uncertainty and sensitivity analyses to be performed with the applicant's proprietary model. To influence future such analyses, an uncertainty and sensitivity analysis has been completed for loss projections arising from use of a Holland B parameter hurricane wind field model. Uncertainty analysis quantifies the expected percentage reduction in the uncertainty of wind speed and loss that is attributable to each of the input variables.     

娱乐类文本短信的语用分析

本文选取娱乐类文本短信,试用指示语、预设、言语行为、会话含义、礼貌原则、关联理论等语用学的基本理论来分析它,旨在探究语用规律和娱乐类文本短信的关系,以期对语言交际和语言教学有所启发和指导。     

西南科技大学岗位聘任制和岗位津贴制的改革与探索

为适应事业单位试行人员聘用的需要,更为学校适应新形势发展的需要,西南科技大学以全员聘用和岗位聘任为突破口,实行了人事分配制度改革,建立了“以岗定酬”的岗位津贴制。通过对学校人事分配制度改革的思路和具体做法的介绍,以进一步完善和推行全员聘任制。