Implied Preference for Seismic Design Level and Earthquake Insurance

Seismic risk can be reduced by implementing newly developed seismic provisions in design codes. Furthermore, financial protection or enhanced utility and happiness for stakeholders could be gained through the purchase of earthquake insurance. If this is not so, there would be no market for such insurance. However, perceived benefit associated with insurance is not universally shared by stakeholders partly due to their diverse risk attitudes. This study investigates the implied seismic design preference with insurance options for decisionmakers of bounded rationality whose preferences could be adequately represented by the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). The investigation is focused on assessing the sensitivity of the implied seismic design preference with insurance options to model parameters of the CPT and to fair and unfair insurance arrangements. Numerical results suggest that human cognitive limitation and risk perception can affect the implied seismic design preference by the CPT significantly. The mandatory purchase of fair insurance will lead the implied seismic design preference to the optimum design level that is dictated by the minimum expected lifecycle cost rule. Unfair insurance decreases the expected gain as well as its associated variability, which is preferred by risk-averse decisionmakers. The obtained results of the implied preference for the combination of the seismic design level and insurance option suggest that property owners, financial institutions, and municipalities can take advantage of affordable insurance to establish successful seismic risk management strategies.     

论语篇体裁理论在英语写作教学中的应用

本文以系统功能语言学的语篇体载理论为依托，对该理论在大学英语写作教学中的应用进行了探讨。教师在写作教学实践中可以从引导学生挖掘不同语篇体裁的交际目的和社会文化背景入手，指导学生从宏观角度有效把握不同语篇体裁的概括性结构定武，鼓励学生逐步改进思维方式，从而全面提高写作能力。     

论破窗理论对高校班级管理的启示

班级管理在大学教育中的作用十分重要。从破窗理论出发．明确了班级环境在班级建设与发展中的重要地位，论述了班级中潜抑力量与压抑力量转化的意义，在此基础上进一步提出，要从加强日常管理、形成良性反馈机制、处理好突发事件三个方面预防“破窗现象”，并针对破窗理论的运用提出了建议。     

浅论波普反历史决定论观念政治上的贫困——从政治的视角对波普诘难历史决定论的几点质疑

文章有两大基本特点：对波普诘难历史决定论的质疑是从政治学这个独特视角进行的；对波普诘难历史决定论的质疑主要是针对哲学界较少关注的几个观点。这些观点包括波普过分推崇讧伪的方法，贬低和轻视证实方法的观点；波普认为整体主义不能建设一个适合于人们生活的新社会，只能建设一个使人适合于他的新社会的观点；波普认为渐进工程工程师在改革范围内可以不抱成见提出自己问题的观点。对于这些观点，文章借用罗尔斯、阿尔蒙德、伊斯顿、科恩、熊彼得、林尚立等的观点和理论对其进行了深入的剖析。     

Effects of Marriage and Children on Financial Risk Tolerance: A Synthesis of Family Development and Prospect Theory

Family development and prospect theory were used as a framework to predict variability in individuals' subjective financial risk tolerance within distinct family structures. Gender, age, and income were expected to interact with the main effects of family structure (marital status and children). Theory-generated hypotheses were examined in Study 1 (data from university housing respondents, n = 76) and Study 2 (the 1998 Survey of Consumer Finances, n = 4,305). One family structure main effect (child presence) was significant for investment risk tolerance in both studies. Family structure interactions (marital status × age and child × income) were significant for employment risk (Study 1), and child × age was significant for investment risk in Study 2.     

国际营销中产品的包装、促销与传播学

全球经济一体化和企业国际化要求企业必须面对国际市场,参与国际竞争而重视国际营销则是颇为重要的方面。据此从包装的重要性出发,阐述了包装对于促销的意义、发展,进而论述了竞争整合营销传播战略对于企业的要求。     

谭献词学理论的继承与创新

谭献是晚清一位词学大家 ,在继承常州派张惠言、周济词学理论的基础上 ,根据自己创作和整理词集的经验和心得 ,提出了新的词学观点 ,进一步完善了常州派词论 ,对中国词学理论有杰出的贡献。谭献的词论主要有 :一、继承常州词派的观点 ,继续推尊词体。二、在词的创作方面 ,提倡比兴柔厚。三、在词的鉴赏批评上 ,提出“作者之用心未必然 ,读者之用心何必不然”的著名观点。     

试论邓小平的“唯民史观”

邓小平以其卓越的政治智慧和伟大人格,终其一生执著追求、倡导和践行的是一种以最广大人民群众的根本利益为主导的价值观,确立并形成了具有中国共产党人鲜明特色的"唯民史观"。这既是邓小平一生价值追求的永恒目标,也是他为我们党所规定和树立的核心价值观。     

关于建立“成都学”的思考

通过一个城市的历史,去透视整个人类文明发展的进程、值得趋避的经验与教训,是城市学研究的根本目的.把具有两千多年历史的成都作为一个聚焦点,可以涉猎城市规模、城市生态系统、社会结构和社会文化,以及地理、历史、人才、经济、技术,城市管理机制、生态机制、监督机制和应变机制等诸多问题,这也都是当今世界性"城市化"浪潮中人们普遍关心的话题.     

中古史书勘误三则

中华书局点校本中古史书是我们研究中古史料的最易得、最权威的本子。由于史书涉及内容广泛，在标点和校勘中难免存在一些可商榷之处。笔者谨将日前所见中古史书点校中的问题，列出三则，敬请方家指正。