首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   159722篇
  免费   4380篇
  国内免费   1782篇
管理学   3802篇
劳动科学   31篇
民族学   2435篇
人才学   20篇
人口学   2160篇
丛书文集   21154篇
理论方法论   6868篇
综合类   116686篇
社会学   6508篇
统计学   6220篇
  2024年   282篇
  2023年   843篇
  2022年   1184篇
  2021年   1423篇
  2020年   1826篇
  2019年   1764篇
  2018年   1743篇
  2017年   2206篇
  2016年   2338篇
  2015年   3117篇
  2014年   7605篇
  2013年   9574篇
  2012年   9581篇
  2011年   11351篇
  2010年   9260篇
  2009年   9476篇
  2008年   9891篇
  2007年   12304篇
  2006年   12336篇
  2005年   11404篇
  2004年   10790篇
  2003年   10467篇
  2002年   8561篇
  2001年   7157篇
  2000年   4118篇
  1999年   1237篇
  1998年   651篇
  1997年   524篇
  1996年   449篇
  1995年   369篇
  1994年   282篇
  1993年   250篇
  1992年   208篇
  1991年   188篇
  1990年   102篇
  1989年   132篇
  1988年   74篇
  1987年   45篇
  1986年   48篇
  1985年   106篇
  1984年   145篇
  1983年   99篇
  1982年   97篇
  1981年   64篇
  1980年   60篇
  1979年   57篇
  1978年   54篇
  1977年   19篇
  1976年   12篇
  1975年   9篇
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
841.
842.
In this article, another version of the generalized exponential geometric distribution different to that of Silva et al. (2010 Silva , R. B. , Barreto-Souza , W. , Cordeiro , G. M. ( 2010 ). A new distribution with decreasing, increasing and upside-down bathtub failure rate. Computat. Statist. Data Anal. 54: 935–944 . [Google Scholar]) is proposed. This new three-parameter lifetime distribution with decreasing, increasing, and bathtub failure rate function is created by compounding the generalized exponential distribution of Gupta and Kundu (1999 Gupta , R. D. , Kundu , D. ( 1999 ). Generalized exponential distributions . Austral. NZ J. Statist. 41 ( 2 ): 173188 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) with a geometric distribution. Some basic distributional properties, moment-generating function, rth moment, and Rényi entropy of the new distribution are studied. The model parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood method and the asymptotic distribution of estimators is discussed. Finally, an application of the new distribution is illustrated using the two real data sets.  相似文献   
843.
A Lagrangian probability distribution of the first kind is proposed. Its probability mass function is expressed in terms of generalized Laguerre polynomials or, equivalently, a generalized hypergeometric function. The distribution may also be formulated as a Charlier series distribution generalized by the generalizing Consul distribution and a non central negative binomial distribution generalized by the generalizing Geeta distribution. This article studies formulation and properties of the distribution such as mixture, dispersion, recursive formulas, conditional distribution and the relationship with queuing theory. Two illustrative examples of application to fitting are given.  相似文献   
844.
We consider the geometric Markov renewal processes (GMRP) as a model for a security market. Normal deviations of the geometric Markov renewal processes for ergodic averaging and double averaging schemes are derived. We introduce Poisson averaging scheme for the geometric Markov renewal processes. European call option pricing formulas for GMRP are presented.  相似文献   
845.
In this article, the asymmetric Marcinkiewicz-Zygmund strong law of large numbers for linear random field under negative association is obtained. Our result generalizes a result in Gut and Studtmüller (2009 Gut , A. , Studtmüller , U. ( 2009 ) An asymmetric Marcinkiewicz-Zygmund LLN for random fields . Statist. Probab. Lett. 79 : 10161020 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). An asymmetric Marcinkiewicz-Zygmund LLN for random fields to the linear random field by using the Beverige-Nelson decomposition.  相似文献   
846.
This article characterizes uniform convergence rate for general classes of wavelet expansions of stationary Gaussian random processes. The convergence in probability is considered.  相似文献   
847.
Nonparametric predictive inference (NPI) is a powerful frequentist statistical framework based only on an exchangeability assumption for future and past observations, made possible by the use of lower and upper probabilities. In this article, NPI is presented for ordinal data, which are categorical data with an ordering of the categories. The method uses a latent variable representation of the observations and categories on the real line. Lower and upper probabilities for events involving the next observation are presented, and briefly compared to NPI for non ordered categorical data. As application, the comparison of multiple groups of ordinal data is presented.  相似文献   
848.
In this article, we revisit the importance of the generalized jackknife in the construction of reliable semi-parametric estimates of some parameters of extreme or even rare events. The generalized jackknife statistic is applied to a minimum-variance reduced-bias estimator of a positive extreme value index—a primary parameter in statistics of extremes. A couple of refinements are proposed and a simulation study shows that these are able to achieve a lower mean square error. A real data illustration is also provided.  相似文献   
849.
In this article, we discuss nonparametric estimation of a mean residual life function from length-biased data. Precisely, we prove strong uniform consistency and weak converge of the nonparametric mean residual life estimator in length-biased setting.  相似文献   
850.
The tail distortion risk measure at level p was first introduced in Zhu and Li (2012 Zhu, L., Li, H. (2012). Tail distortion risk and its asymptotic analysis. Insur. Math. Econ. 51(1):115121.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), where the parameter p ∈ (0, 1) indicates the confidence level. They established first-order asymptotics for this risk measure, as p↑1, for the Fréchet case. In this article, we extend their work by establishing both first-order and second-order asymptotics for the Fréchet, Weibull, and Gumbel cases. Numerical studies are also carried out to examine the accuracy of both asymptotics.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号