Reconsidering the Connection between Capacity and Governance

Public Organization Review - High levels of sub-national policy experimentation and public cynicism about politics and government, combined with significant challenges and opportunities for...     

Aalen's Linear Model for Sampled Risk Set Data: A Large Sample Study

Borgan and Langholz (1997) describe a method for estimating the parameter functions in Aalen's linear hazard regression model from sampled risk set data. Using a counting process formulation and the martingale central limit theorem, we provide a study of the asymptotic distributional properties of the estimator. The results are applied to study the efficiencies of the nested case-control and counter-matched designs relative to a full cohort analysis.     

The Trans-Theoretical Model of Change: A Reliable Blueprint for Assessment in Work with Children and Families?

Correspondence to John Corden, 1 Brockfield Road, Huntington, York YO31 9DX, UK. Email: John_Corden{at}msn.com Summary In this paper, the authors consider the promotion of Prochaskaand DiClemente’s transtheoretical model of change (theTTM) to the assessment of parenting capacity, within the literaturewhich supports the Framework for Assessment. A number of criticismsof the model, originating from within its original area of applicationare reviewed, and considered in the context of the assessmentof parenting. The authors go on to raise certain questions aboutthe validity of transferring this model from the field of addictivebehaviours to that of parenting and child protection.     

人口与环境可持续发展

人口环境系统是人口、资源、环境组成的对立统一的自然社会系统 ,是高度融合的有机整体。人口环境系统动因包括人口环境运动的推动、关系的调整和规律的作用。地球环境系统被人口压力突破后表现出矛盾的滞后性、影响的多重性和经济陷于衰退。人口过多、素质偏低和老龄化加快三症并发 ,成为中国人口与环境发展的独特现象。环境的作用包括给人类提供自然资源、自净功能或环境容量 ,提供舒适性环境的精神享受。环境问题的实质是人类索取超过资源本身、排污超过环境自净能力、自然资源耗竭超过极限便不可逆转。中国传统工业是一柄双刃剑 ,高投入、高消费求得增长 ,物耗和污染代价巨大。环境污染的主因是决策者和建设者缺乏可持续发展意识。可持续发展是实现人口与环境协调发展的科学、合理的社会结构范式。可持续发展可形象地比作人类发展坐标轴 :纵坐标是时间上的连续性 ,即兼顾当代与后代 ,控制人口 ,提高素质 ,珍惜资源 ,保护环境 ;横坐标是空间上的立体性 ,即精神文明、物质文明、社会文明、生态文明并举 ;轴心是人口与环境关系的良性互动。     

"自然人"的制度功能与内部结构

"自然人"作为现代民法中首要的民事主体,其本身的建构以及与其他制度的相互联系,无不体现文明的法治对人的终极关怀.故从普遍人性中的合理因素入手,探讨自然人制度建构对维护人性的的应有功能是有意义的.     

Absorptive and transformative capacities in nanotechnology innovation systems

We identify managerial challenges offered by an emergent nanotechnology innovation system in which knowledge is dispersed, asymmetric and contested. We argue the proposed models of knowledge absorption and transformation enhance existing theories of knowledge and emergent technology by recognizing how and why knowledge flows among the actors in emergent technology innovation system. We base our argument on combined research evidence from a Delphi study concerning the future of European manufacturing, from which a selected statement has been analyzed, and from analysis of the NanoManufacturing Institute at Leeds University, UK; specifically its work in building ties between different actors associated with nanotechnology. We conclude our paper with suggestions for future research.     

考虑通行约束和运力限制的灾后应急物资联合调度优化研究

考虑到灾后路网受损难以运输应急物资，本文研究了应急响应中车辆-直升机联合调度的路径优化问题。针对受灾地区的实时路况，通往灾区的救援工具受到数量以及装载量的约束，本文将受灾点等待救援的平均时间最短以及应急网络总费用最低设为目标，构建运力受限条件下带通行约束的救援物资联合运输多目标优化模型，然后根据随机邻域搜索变异和分级交叉的思想构建出一种带精英策略的非支配排序混合进化算法（NSHEA-II）得到模型的解，并利用算例分析对该算法进行可行性检验。结果发现，本文构建的NSHEA-II算法相对NSGA-II算法能够得到较好的结果且波动性较小，这为决策者制定救援物资的配送方案提供有效的技术支撑。     

大宗物资集中采购的调运计划研究

大宗物资调运问题是一个受多因素影响的复杂问题,一般来讲,其调运数量大、地域跨度大、时间紧。如何协调供需以及运输能力,保证物资采购部门的经济利益是本文所要研究的问题。本文首先给出了大宗物资集中采购的调运模式,然后针对采购部门在大宗物资调运过程中遇到的困难,为采购部门提出了以获取数量折扣、准时采购、降低库存成本和协调运输能力为准则的调运计划模型。数值计算表明应用本文所建模型编制调运计划能够达到降低采购费用、协调运输能力的目的,为大宗物资调运计划的编制提供了一种较为有效的方法。     

战略财务弹性与企业价值：建模与实证

本文引入战略财务弹性的概念,利用动态能力的战略管理分析框架和实际数据,从理论和实证两个方面剖析和测度企业财务的动态能力,得到战略财务弹性的三个能力因子,即与财务相关的企业位势、财务管理路径和财务管理过程。实证结果表明,战略财务弹性能够更好地刻画企业财务的应变能力,并且对企业价值有着显著的正向作用。     

过剩经济与我国工业制成品 出口产业结构动态优化

我国经济已告别短缺迈入过剩经济时代 ,加入 WTO也指日可待。在这种经济背景下 ,如何选择我国的出口主导产业以顺应我国经济的发展 ?文章通过对出口产业结构的国际比较 ,以期为我国出口产业结构的动态优化提供一些建议