New High-Speed Computing Devices

“One method of error analysis (not the one we will use) is based upon the principles of mathematical statistics. Unfortunately, statistical methods can only be meaningfully applied when one has large amounts of data for a given system. In many cases … these large quantities of data are not available … then statistical methods are not applicable, and some other methods must be devised.”     

The Consistent System

The Consistent System (CS) is an interactive computer system for researchers in the behavioral and policy sciences and in fields with similar requirements for data management and statistical analysis. The researcher is not expected to be a programmer. The system offers a wide range of facilities and permits the user to combine them in novel ways. In particular, tools for statistical analysis may be used in combination with a powerful relational subsystem for data base management. This paper gives an overview of the objectives, capabilities, status, and availability of the system.     

A specification strategy for order determination in arma models

In this paper a specification strategy is proposed for the determination of the orders in ARMA models. The strategy is based on two newly defined concepts: the q-conditioned partial auto-regressive function and the p-conditioned partial moving average function. These concepts are similar to the generalized partial autocorrelation function which has been recently suggested for order determination. The main difference is that they are defined and employed in connection with an asymptotically efficient estimation method instead of the rather inefficient generalized Yule-Walker method. The specification is performed by using sequential Wald type tests. In contrast to the traditional testing of hypotheses, these tests use critical values which increase with the sample size at an appropriate rate     

Bayes Analysis and Comparison of Accelerated Weibull and Accelerated Birnbaum–Saunders Models

Several models are proposed in the literature for modeling fatigue data resulting from materials subject to cyclic stress and strain. Accelerated Weibull and accelerated Birnbaum–Saunders distributions are most commonly used models. Whereas the accelerated Weibull model is easier compared to accelerated Birnbaum–Saunders, it fails to represent the situation equally well. The present article focuses on Bayes analysis of the two models and provides a comparison based on some important Bayesian tools. Model compatibility study using predictive simulation ideas is preceded by the said comparison. Throughout, the posterior simulations are carried out by Markov chain Monte Carlo procedure.     

Estimation of a finite population total in two-stage and stratified sampling under superpopulation models

Optimal sampling strategies which minimise the expected mean square error for a linear design as well as model-design unbiased estimators for a finite population total for two-stage and stratified sampling are obtained under different superpopu1ation models     

人才流动的增智效应对我国酒店业人才开发的启示

人才是酒店资源中最重要的资源,酒店的人才管理兼具投资性大和流动性强的特点,如何进行有效的人才投资、又防止人才过度流失是酒店人力资源开发和管理中的一个重要课题。按照人才流动的增智效应理论,人才的合理流动将带来酒店业的发展;即使显而易见的酒店业之间的人才流失,也会带来酒店人才开发管理中深层次的增智效应,必将有利于提升酒店管理水平和服务质量,并给出积极的应对策略。     

组织信息资源管理论纲

本文在简要分析现代组织管理环境基本特点的基础上,对社会组织的信息资源管理的功能、原则及其运作等若干问题进行了认真的探讨,以期进一步完善现代组织管理理论。     

项目风险分析与管理

本文在分析比较传统风险分析方法的基础上,提出了一个更为有效的风险分析方法,即“交叉分析-蒙特卡罗模拟”综合模型。并利用此模型对H集团的某技改投资项目进行了案例分析。在此基础上,提出了建立项目风险防范预警系统的风险管理模式。     

基于QFD矩阵的竞争战略决策框架

借助于全面质量管理理论中的QFD矩阵,本文提出了一种顾客导向的竞争战略决策框架,它有效地将内部竞争能力与外部竞争要素放在一起进行分析与决策。文中还进一步探讨了其中的竞争要素的特征以及竞争冲击曲线理论,为有效地作出竞争战略决策提供了基础。     

Top management departures in cross-border acquisitions: Governance issues in an international context

This study examined top management team departures in U.S. manufacturing firms acquired by a foreign multinational during the six-year period following acquisition. Results indicated that greater cultural distance between the United States and the home country of the foreign multinational, higher levels of international integration in the target industry, and poor preacquisition performance in the U.S. target company were related to greater postacquisition top management departures. These effects were moderated significantly by the foreign acquirer’s international business and U.S. acquisition experience and showed different patterns over the short-term, intermediate-term, and long-term. Implications for future research on top management teams involved in cross-border acquisitions are discussed.