未成年人家庭道德教育地位的新认识

当前对家庭道德教育在未成年人思想道德教育中的地位与作用的认识存在一定的偏差。鉴于未成年人家庭道德教育的特殊意义,并对进一步明确其地位进行探讨。     

企业成长的动态分层及其现实意义

企业是市场经济最活跃的因子之一。但企业是怎样在成长 ?其两极化分层发展的动力和现实意义又何在 ?这一直是人们关注的焦点。笔者在总结前人研究的基础上提出了 6种企业成长类型 ,并对企业两极化成长的动因进行了尝试性探析     

Bayesian inference for pairwise interacting point processes

Pairwise interacting point processes are commonly used to model spatial point patterns. To perform inference, the established frequentist methods can produce good point estimates when the interaction in the data is moderate, but some methods may produce severely biased estimates when the interaction in strong. Furthermore, because the sampling distributions of the estimates are unclear, interval estimates are typically obtained by parametric bootstrap methods. In the current setting however, the behavior of such estimates is not well understood. In this article we propose Bayesian methods for obtaining inferences in pairwise interacting point processes. The requisite application of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques is complicated by an intractable function of the parameters in the likelihood. The acceptance probability in a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm involves the ratio of two likelihoods evaluated at differing parameter values. The intractable functions do not cancel, and hence an intractable ratio r must be estimated within each iteration of a Metropolis-Hastings sampler. We propose the use of importance sampling techniques within MCMC to address this problem. While r may be estimated by other methods, these, in general, are not readily applied in a Bayesian setting. We demonstrate the validity of our importance sampling approach with a small simulation study. Finally, we analyze the Swedish pine sapling dataset (Strand 1972) and contrast the results with those in the literature.     

哲学社会科学发展与繁荣的理论思考

为了更好地发展与繁荣我国的哲学社会科学 ,必须坚持在马克思主义指导下进行理论创新 ;坚持和发展马克思主义 ,需要首先按照原创涵义来准确理解和把握马克思的理论思想 ;提倡用科学的态度和严谨的学风展开百家争鸣 ;落实四个“同样重要”。     

高校校园文化建设浅论

本文对新时期高等学校校园文化建设的重要性进行了阐述 ,并结合高校实际 ,对高校校园文化建设的内容进行了分析 ,就物质文化、制度文化、精神文化三方面建设提出了一些措施。     

“阿包”:已知19世纪宁波首位圣公会教徒

原事裁缝业的“阿包”在1846年成为了19世纪宁波首位圣公会教徒。“阿包”信仰笃定,主动向身边的底层百姓布道,成果得到了传教士的肯定。“阿包”个性外向,但有时也脾性不定,这点深深地左右了他与传教士间的人际往来。1858年秋日,他与原本信奉罗马方济各会的中国医生“丁先生”展开了多次教义舌战,最终“阿包”打动了“丁先生”,推动其转入圣公会。“阿包”能以低微社会身份取得较大传教成果的原因主要有三:首先,他有着独特的身世资源,可以与底层民众心心相印;其次,他具备良好个人魅力,能动人以情;复次,他与传教士间有职业、宗教双重纽带绑定。在近代中西交流史上,“阿包”案例不仅构成检视外来文化“在地化”的良好样本,——近代外来文化中国化的历程从来不是精英“独创”,。     

试论党内民主监督制度化的重要性及其建议

文章论述了党内民主监督制度化的重要性,即保持党的先进性、党的执政地位和实践"三个代表"的需要,同时也提出了理顺和完善党内民主监督体制的对策,旨在为党的建设提供有益的启示.     

Ancestral Inference in Population Genetics Models with Selection (with Discussion)

A new algorithm is presented for exact simulation from the conditional distribution of the genealogical history of a sample, given the composition of the sample, for population genetics models with general diploid selection. The method applies to the usual diffusion approximation of evolution at a single locus, in a randomly mating population of constant size, for mutation models in which the distribution of the type of a mutant does not depend on the type of the progenitor allele; this includes any model with only two alleles. The new method is applied to ancestral inference for the two‐allele case, both with genic selection and heterozygote advantage and disadvantage, where one of the alleles is assumed to have resulted from a unique mutation event. The paper describes how the method could be used for inference when data are also available at neutral markers linked to the locus under selection. It also informally describes and constructs the non‐neutral Fleming–Viot measure‐valued diffusion.     

《邓小平理论与"三个代表"重要思想概论》教学中加强共产党执政规律教育探讨

在《邓小平理论与“三个代表”重要思想概论》教学中加强共产党执政规律教育,是贯彻党中央“深化对共产党执政认识”的需要,是为党和国家培养创新型人才的需要,是反和平演变,维护党执政的合法性,增强执政安全的需要。在具体的教学过程中,可从历时性的角度、心理感受的角度、共时性的角度、发挥师生互动作用的角度,深化当代大学生对共产党执政规律的认识。     

我国开征社会保障税的必要性及方案设计

文章针对我国社会保障制度存在的问题,论证了开征社会保障税的必要性,提出征收社会保障税的具体设计方案,以保护弱势群体,促进社会共同富裕.